Charles Schwab's Kevin Horner notes an impressive rally in Ulta Beauty (ULTA) serving as its own headwind into earnings Thursday. He points a technical dip in shares below the 50-day SMA as a warning sign against momentum. Kevin uses his expertise to highlight levels to watch once Ulta reports.

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Volatility in the oil market persists with tankers being sunk in the Middle East. Kevin Green talks about how countries across the globe are releasing hundreds of millions of oil barrels to control crude costs. Chemical stocks also caught a bid as U.S. and Iran tensions grow. KG later turns to the S&P 500 and his "cautious" approach for Thursday's trading action as put options accelerate.

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Charles Schwab's Nathan Peterson weighs how geopolitical and crude oil volatility hit Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. However, as he explains it, crypto has shown surprising resilience. Nate later highlights key levels he sees as current resistance than can become new support. He also talks about how banking lobbyists are attempting to find "middle ground" with Florida's new stablecoin legislation.

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Energy markets are tense as the IEA moves toward a record oil release amid Middle East risks. Marley Kayden and Sam Vadas warn February’s 2.4% CPI misses the impact of surging crude, while focus shifts to retail earnings from Dollar General (DG) and DICK’S Sporting Goods (DKS) alongside key economic data.

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Nebius (NBIS) experienced a rebound rally and lifted other data center and neocloud stocks after Nvidia (NVDA) announced a $2 billion investment in the company. Rick Ducat compares the stock's outperformance to peers like CoreWeave (CRWV), Applied Digital (APLD), and Oracle (ORCL). He also shows key support and resistance levels paired with elevated options activity following headlines of Nvidia's investment.

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Meghna Maharishi covers the latest on the airline and travel sector. She estimates that the U.S./Iran war could cost airlines up to $24 billion extra in fuel. However, she thinks they will pay less by cutting flights and conserving cash in other ways. If not, this would “wipe out” profits across the sector, she says. “This could be particularly bad for the ultra-low cost carriers,” she adds. Meghna compares the impact of the conflict to the impact of the Russia/Ukraine conflict in 2022.

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Lyle Fitterer discusses the broad market, noting that the war in Iran has pushed back expectations for a Fed rate cut to the fall at earliest. He thinks the yield curve will steepen based on this, although it’s relatively flat right now. Lyle shares where he sees opportunities in fixed-income, advising high-quality and conservative positioning. “We’re probably past peak credit,” he adds, and covers why he doesn’t think investors should look for hyperscaler access in this sector.

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Jake Johnston covers the latest CPI report and how the U.S./Iran conflict will push inflation numbers higher over the next few months. Companies not as exposed to the commodities cycle may interest investors, including large tech and communication services, he argues. 

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On the heels of Serve Robotics' (SERV) most recent earnings report, CEO Ali Kashani talks about the report and its most recent partnership with White Castle. It adds to Serve's roster of partnerships with Uber (UBER) Eats and DoorDash (DASH). Ali mentions the company's recent acquisition and expansion into hospitals as key growth drivers, with expectations to add thousands more delivery robots in the coming years. 

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Brian Jacobsen and Sarah Foster preview next week’s Fed meeting. Sarah isn’t sure whether the latest CPI report is good or bad news because of the conflict with Iran. She notes that before the war, we were already in a difficult place for inflation. Brian points out how many industries rely on the Strait of Hormuz, including fertilizer, but sees the conflict as a “temporary detour” for inflation levels. The Fed prefers to look at the PCE report to measure inflation, and they discuss how that changes the outlook and whether they might cut rates this year.

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