Charles Schwab's Nathan Peterson weighs how geopolitical and crude oil volatility hit Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. However, as he explains it, crypto has shown surprising resilience. Nate later highlights key levels he sees as current resistance than can become new support. He also talks about how banking lobbyists are attempting to find "middle ground" with Florida's new stablecoin legislation.

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Energy markets are tense as the IEA moves toward a record oil release amid Middle East risks. Marley Kayden and Sam Vadas warn February’s 2.4% CPI misses the impact of surging crude, while focus shifts to retail earnings from Dollar General (DG) and DICK’S Sporting Goods (DKS) alongside key economic data.

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Nebius (NBIS) experienced a rebound rally and lifted other data center and neocloud stocks after Nvidia (NVDA) announced a $2 billion investment in the company. Rick Ducat compares the stock's outperformance to peers like CoreWeave (CRWV), Applied Digital (APLD), and Oracle (ORCL). He also shows key support and resistance levels paired with elevated options activity following headlines of Nvidia's investment.

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Meghna Maharishi covers the latest on the airline and travel sector. She estimates that the U.S./Iran war could cost airlines up to $24 billion extra in fuel. However, she thinks they will pay less by cutting flights and conserving cash in other ways. If not, this would “wipe out” profits across the sector, she says. “This could be particularly bad for the ultra-low cost carriers,” she adds. Meghna compares the impact of the conflict to the impact of the Russia/Ukraine conflict in 2022.

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Lyle Fitterer discusses the broad market, noting that the war in Iran has pushed back expectations for a Fed rate cut to the fall at earliest. He thinks the yield curve will steepen based on this, although it’s relatively flat right now. Lyle shares where he sees opportunities in fixed-income, advising high-quality and conservative positioning. “We’re probably past peak credit,” he adds, and covers why he doesn’t think investors should look for hyperscaler access in this sector.

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Jake Johnston covers the latest CPI report and how the U.S./Iran conflict will push inflation numbers higher over the next few months. Companies not as exposed to the commodities cycle may interest investors, including large tech and communication services, he argues. 

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On the heels of Serve Robotics' (SERV) most recent earnings report, CEO Ali Kashani talks about the report and its most recent partnership with White Castle. It adds to Serve's roster of partnerships with Uber (UBER) Eats and DoorDash (DASH). Ali mentions the company's recent acquisition and expansion into hospitals as key growth drivers, with expectations to add thousands more delivery robots in the coming years. 

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Brian Jacobsen and Sarah Foster preview next week’s Fed meeting. Sarah isn’t sure whether the latest CPI report is good or bad news because of the conflict with Iran. She notes that before the war, we were already in a difficult place for inflation. Brian points out how many industries rely on the Strait of Hormuz, including fertilizer, but sees the conflict as a “temporary detour” for inflation levels. The Fed prefers to look at the PCE report to measure inflation, and they discuss how that changes the outlook and whether they might cut rates this year.

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The IPO market was booming – but now has been hit by a “wet blanket.” Greg Martin says the war in Iran is hitting IPOs by creating uncertainty, higher energy prices, and market volatility. “I’m still very optimistic, but we need to see some of these things sorted out.” SpaceX’s IPO, reportedly slated for June, could shake up the entire market, Greg says. Other megacap private AI companies expected to go public could impact the market like “we’ve never seen,” he adds.

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Baruch Toledano breaks down SimilarWeb’s Generative AI Brand Visibility Report. “We measure real user prompts and responses,” and by understanding trending topics and which brands show up in LLM answers, they find that visibility is “highly concentrated.” Less well-known brands that are mentioned structure their content “correctly” for the AI to read, and are highly knowledgeable about specific niches. Baruch explains how metrics are moving from ranking to mentions.

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