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Prosper Trading Academy's Scott Bauer gives his take on the "hated" market rally and how it plays into today's Big 3. For JPMorgan Chase (JPM), he sees the stock making higher lows and higher highs as bullish, though he believes gold is due for a pullback through his analysis on the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD). Outside financials, he explains the "make or break move" in Chewy's (CHWY) earnings. He offers example options trades for all three names while Rick Ducat gives his take on the charts.
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Brian Jacobsen wants to see the ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ actually start improving the economy. He discusses how tariffs have been impacting earnings and the “drip-feed” of inflation consumers are facing. “The typical moat that you look for businesses to have” is even more valuable right now, Brian argues, allowing companies more bargaining power with suppliers and a greater ability to absorb costs. He thinks we will see 3 rate cuts before the end of the year.
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“We’ve been predicting all year that we’d have two or three cuts,” Jay Hatfield says, calling for three before the end of 2025 to bring rates towards the “neutral” 3%. “We need to cut, the economy’s weakening,” he says, but blames the Fed’s tightness over tariffs. Jay discusses potential new Fed Chairs and who he would like to see take the seat. He also gives some of his stock picks, including Cheniere Energy (LNG) and NextEra (NEE).
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Tesla (TSLA) will face several headwinds in the coming months, says Karl Brauer. He says the company needs to pivot on focus for future products. That includes autonomous driving through robotaxi, though Karl says FSD innovation is still "years away" from profitability. He adds that Tesla's core business in EV sales will continue to decline and sees the $1 trillion proposed pay package for CEO Elon Musk as "optimistic." George Tsilis offers example options trades for the Mag 7 stock.
======== Schwab Network ========
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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Phillip Securities issued a downgrade for Alphabet (GOOGL) even as it sees positive outcomes from not having to divest Google Chrome. However, a valuation spike prompted concern from the analyst. Marley Kayden offers a closer look at the analyst note to further explain what's driving the commentary.
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Oracle (ORCL) received price target hikes from Barclays, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan ahead of Tuesday's earnings. Sam Vadas notes bullish takes from the firms in A.I. infrastructure buildout, though it doesn't come without concerns regarding Oracle's current valuation. She also notes Apple's (AAPL) product launch Tuesday that is expected to focus primarily on hardware, including the iPhone 17. Sam then touches on the pet industry through Chewy (CWHY) and touches on the bull and bear cases surrounding its earnings Wednesday. EchoStar (SATS) soared after it launched a deal with SpaceX.
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Kevin Hincks says we're moving into what he calls a "quiet week" for the FOMC, which makes this week's economic data more important. He highlights the CPI and PPI to discuss parts of the prints investors will want to focus on. On the Fed, Kevin notes momentum moving in favor of an interest rate cut cycle. Barclays upped its expectations on cuts in 2025 and 2026.
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Will Tamplin is watching the slope of the 20-day moving average on the SPX, and explains the market moves that would increase “downside risk.” He would reduce “higher beta” positions like Microsoft (MSFT) and Nvidia (NVDA) and increase fixed income holdings in anticipation of a normal September pullback. In general, he is looking for a reaction that does “something positive or negative to the technical picture” with the SPX in a “short term holding pattern.”
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Citi cut its price target on Nvidia (NVDA) on the back of Broadcom's (AVGO) $10 billion A.I. chip deal announced last week. Jenny Horne says the cut is notable but points to strong fundamentals and a still-bullish A.I. narrative favoring Nvidia long-term. Applovin (APP) leapt higher to all-time highs after the company was among a group of stocks picked to join the S&P 500 (SPX). MarketAxess (MKTX), Caesars Entertainment (CZR), and Enphase Energy (ENPH) are the outgoing names leaving the SPX.
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Tesla (TSLA) continues to outperform the legacy automakers over the past year. Rick Ducat breaks down the technical conditions for its chart, pointing out the $365 level as a key test area for upside resistance. Rick then illustrates an example options trade for Tesla using a Sep. 19 expiry unbalanced call butterfly. He explains the bullish nature of the position and dissects the risk profile visualization of the trade.
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