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David McAlvany examines the metals markets, calling them a “core allocation, not a trade.” He compares holding the metals themselves with investing in mining companies. He thinks gold is in a “big, bullish trend” as central banks move away from the dollar and into gold – investing “double” what they did in 2022 in the yellow metal. David looks at the gold/silver ratio, calling silver an “amplifier” and describing its usual relationship to gold. He thinks they can end the year at $4,000 for gold and $50 for silver.
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Broadcom (AVGO) reports earnings after the closing bell on Thursday. After its stock more than doubled off April's lows, Marley Kayden talks about the valuation headwinds Broadcom faces. She notes the company's perception as a value stock that since turned into a growth stock thanks to A.I. The question investors now face: can Broadcom continue substantial growth momentum?
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Lululemon (LULU) is "no longer the cool kid on the block," says Megan Brantley. Likefolio's data in the retail space shows how interest in Lululemon slowed significantly compared to competitors like Hollister, Alo Yoga and Rhone. The earnings bar is low for the stock but Megan worries that the bar can fall even lower. If she were the CEO, Megan says she would work to improve brand perception and recover Lululemon's "cool factor."
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Steve Koenig says the focus on Salesforce (CRM) was "all about guidance," which didn't deliver enough for investors. He argues the lack of a guidance raise above Wall Street's estimates shows there's "pockets of weakness" for the software company. Keith Kirkpatrick adds onto Steve's point by saying Salesforce needs to show how its Agentforce platform will show results that translate into significant profits. He talks more about the importance those results play into outlook.
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Greg Orrell covers gold’s new highs, citing central bank buying, de-dollarization due to the deficit, and angst around U.S. policy. He calls it a “delusion of debt” with no end in sight, citing the trillions in interest the U.S. has to pay every year. He puts gold’s recent rise in contrast with historical moves. Greg thinks that $5,000 is “not a stretch at all” for gold futures.
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When it comes to today's Big 3, Dan Deming explains why he's "cautiously optimistic" on Uber Technologies (UBER) for a bullish run. He notes Valero Energy's (VLO) opportunity to capture further upside even as the energy sector lags. Walmart's (WMT) higher lows give him confidence the retail giant can reach new all-time highs. Dan offers example options trades for his Big 3 while Kevin Green gives investors insight into technical trends through the charts.
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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James St. Aubin thinks the unemployment rate could rise in the next few months, previewing his view of the August jobs report and the Fed’s potential rate cut decisions. He cites high recent grad unemployment, but says it is more “sector specific” than cyclical, meaning the Fed may have less control over the dynamic. “It doesn’t seem like there’s a strong case not to cut right now,” he adds, but thinks any cut will only be 25 basis points.
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"Momentum of labor market is flat on its back," says Ben Emons. Following August's ADP Employment Change data revealing a weaker number, he believes it indicates "at least a 25bps" rate cut but if Friday's August non-farm payrolls number is much weaker it could signal a bigger cut. Ben discusses how the latest labor market data will play a central role in the Fed's rate cut cycle, which could begin as soon as its September FOMC meeting in 2 weeks.
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Lululemon (LULU) isn't far off its 5-year low. However, other retail companies like Macy's (M) and American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) rallied strong off their recent report. Marley Kayden talks about Lululemon's ability to follow, noting its sales strength in China is expected to continue even as U.S. foot traffic slowed. Joe Tigay turns to an example options trade for Lululemon.
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Matt Tuttle considers Broadcom (AVGO) a "must own" A.I. chip stock, alongside Nvidia (NVDA). He'll focus on the company's margins and VMware, believing they serve as indicators for Broadcom's future growth. That said, Matt is nervous when it comes to valuation, arguing that Broadcom "almost needs to have a cure for cancer" for the stock to push higher. Tom White offers a pair of example options trades for the chipmaker.
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