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Thierry Wizman sees a “generally lackluster labor market,” reacting to the ADP report this morning and previewing tomorrow’s jobs report. He argues that the Fed will probably still cut rates this month, anticipating the unemployment rate ticking higher as hiring slows. “There’s an underlying tone of inflation” that hasn’t been reflected in CPI data yet, Thierry adds. He thinks the Fed will approach with caution, cutting only 25 basis points rather than the 50 some hope for. If tariffs are reversed, Thierry expects unease in the bond market.
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Figma's (FIG) first earnings report after its public trading debut was met with a steep sell-off. Diane King Hall discusses what it means for other IPOs that hit the market this year and those still ahead, including Klarna's next week. HP Enterprise (HPE) ticked slightly higher after it posted record second quarter revenue. Diane looks at analyst moves in MoffettNathanson and its upgrade from sell to neutral on Apple (AAPL).
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After Thursday's jobs data came in weaker than expected, Kevin Green points out the "defensive" moves he's watching in SPX sectors. He talks about how data ahead can affect that rotation in today's session and those still ahead. Kevin later directs attention to the 10-year treasury yield and how it continues to hover around key levels.
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Brad Roth says tomorrow’s jobs report will decide whether the Fed cuts rates this month. “We just don’t want anything to come out that would give the Fed reason to pause.” He thinks that traders are hesitating to be “fully risk-on,” pointing to inflows into Treasuries and gold, as well as a lack of market breadth. “It’s almost exhausting how much we’ve talked about the Mag 7,” Brad says, but too much of the market’s valuation hangs on them.
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Challenger job cuts ticked higher and ADP private payrolls came in lower than expected — both signals of a weakening labor market. Kevin Hincks talks about the data and what it means for the FOMC's September meeting. If Friday's jobs data also comes in weak, Kevin makes the case that the Fed could cut interest rates by 50bps.
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Salesforce (CRM) beat earnings and boosted its fiscal 2026 guidance. It still wasn't enough for investors as the stock sold off following the report. Alex Coffey talks about the role A.I. has and how it serves as a significant headwind and tailwind for Salesforce's growth. Meanwhile, American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) rallied more than 25% ahead of Thursday's opening bell. The company credited Sydney Sweeney and Travis Kelce for its quarterly performance.
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Even with ADP Employment and Jobless Claims data, Chris Versace says the latest ISM Services print will help determine Thursday's trading activity. Ahead of Friday's non-farm payrolls print, he believes looking at revised jobs numbers from the summer paint a picture of a continued slowing in the labor market. For the Fed's rate cut odds, Chris says it's "going to come down to the wire" as mixed messages continue to be shared from Fed governors.
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Broadcom (AVGO) earnings will be the marquee postmarket earnings report after Thursday's close. Tom White swings by to show the stock's run-up over the past year. He underlines the 50-day moving average being a significant indicator for AVGO shares and points to a widening gap in the 200-day moving average. Later, Tom composes an example trading strategy for Broadcom. He uses a call butterfly with a bullish stance.
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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Kicking off Thursday's coverage, Kevin Green has his eyes on the bond market domestically and internationally. He highlights the 4.2% level as key point to watch for the U.S. 10-year treasury. KG adds that it's appearing more "50/50" odds that there could be 75bps of rate cuts in 2025. Later, he discusses the run higher in gold prices citing central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions as drivers for the precious metal. KG then looks at the post-earnings reaction for Salesforce (CRM) as shares slide after weak guidance and for HP Enterprise (HPE) after record 2Q revenue.
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Ahead of Lululemon (LULU) earnings, CFRA's Zach Warring stops by Morning Movers to help preview the athleisure retailer's report. His firm has a Strong Buy rating and $375 price target on LULU going into earnings. Zach discusses the company's tariff exposure and the overall retail sector reaction to ongoing international trade uncertainty. Shares of LULU are down nearly 50% year to date and Zach says he doesn't "see how shares can go down from here." He sees potential international revenue growth that could alleviate tariff pressures.
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