Schwab Network

Alex Coffey joins Nicole Petallides to look at Friday's opening bell move to the downside. He points out that August historically has shown weakness, but adds that the July jobs report is likely weighing on the minds of the Fed. Alex provides technical indicators to track on the S&P 500 (SPX) chart, underlining the quick pullback from all-time highs on a lower volume trading day.

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Barry Knapp gives his takeaways from the jobs report. He sees the labor market at a “tipping point” and discusses recent Fed member comments about cutting rates this year. Unemployment could “shoot up really quickly,” he argues, and sees a potential “growth scare” in August caused by tariffs and other pressures. Barry expects a 50 basis-point cut in September, and in fact thinks we could be 100 basis points lower by the end of the year. “We have a very weak economy right now,” he says, and believes that no rate cut was the wrong move this week.

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Kevin Hincks dissects the latest labor market data which came in weaker-than-expected. He points out significant revisions to June and May numbers could be weighing on investor sentiment, but could raise the probability of a Fed rate cut in September. Kevin discusses Jerome Powell and the FOMC's next steps as Pres. Trump ramps up tariff pressure on dozens of countries to kick off the August month.

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Apple (AAPL) posted record June quarter revenue as iPhone sales topped Wall Street estimates. Jenny Horne goes under the hood on the Mag 7 earnings report, highlighting a record-high services segment revenue number. Later, she turns attention to Amazon (AMZN) and the e-commerce company's mixed report. While it beat top and bottom line figures, Amazon guidance amid tariff uncertainty fell below expectations.

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UnitedHealth (UNH) shares have plummeted to the downside in a strong downtrend thus far in 2025. Tom White looks at the healthcare company and discusses its weight on the Dow Jones Industrial Avg. ($DJI), potentially hampering the index from hitting all-time highs alongside the S&P 500 (SPX). Tom calls the steep pullback a "falling knife" and illustrates a duration-based example options trade. He composes a call vertical with a bullish tilt using October expiry strikes to give the trade time.

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U.S. sentiment "barely changed" month over month according to Tsvetta Kaleynska. She says travel was one of the only 2 positive sectors she tracks, alongside A.I. themes, but overall paints a negative to muted picture for the present state of the U.S. consumer. She does caution that A.I. also was a main detractor in personal jobs and personal finances, as consumers stated fears over A.I. job replacement.

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Rob Thummel recaps Friday's earnings from Chevron (CVX) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) as the U.S. energy giants both top expectations. He discusses Guayana oil exploration and the Hess (HES) takeover legal drama behind it. While Rob likes what he heard from both companies and their Permian basin production levels, he points to natural gas as a better investment opportunity. Rob says natural gas will fuel electricity output as A.I. demands more power.

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Reddit (RDDT) shares popped after earnings. Brett Crowther examines the technical picture for the social media company, saying the earnings move broke the stock's "doldrums" to the upside. On a 1-year chart, he highlights the $162 level as an upward resistance level prior to the earnings report. Brett illustrates a "cup and handle" formation taking shape, with the April lows acting as the base.

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Sam Vadas and Diane King Hall begin the new month with a glimpse at the latest whirlwind changes to U.S. tariff trade policy. Pres. Trump modified reciprocal tariffs on dozens of countries ranging from 10% to 41%, but Sam says that markets are seemingly taking it "pretty well" amid "perpetual uncertainty." Later, Sam examines Apple (AAPL) after earnings ahead of the July jobs report.

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Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META) surged to all-time highs lifting the Nasdaq-100 (NDX) and the S&P 500 (SPX) to new marks as well. However, the jubilation was short-lived as stocks tumbled into the close and the SPX added to its 3-day losing streak. After hours, Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) earnings painted a mixed picture for the Mag 7 group. Marley Kayden dives into Thursday's top stories.

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