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AppFolio (APPF) shares hit an all-time high after crushing 2Q earnings estimates. The real estate and property management software company saw an increase in new units in its latest quarter. George Tsilis explains the results and breaks down AppFolio's asset-light model, driven by A.I. technology, to understand what's driving margin expansion and recurring revenue growth.
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Joe Mazzola says the market response to jobs data really told the story of the week despite updates on tariff policy and big tech earnings. Looking at the 3-month average of jobs data, Joe underlines that the U.S. economy hasn't seen figures this low since 2020 during the pandemic. He combines this week's labor data with PCE inflation metrics to posit the question: Do we have a slowing consumer?
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Jeff Feng describes the next phase of crypto adoption. Increasing regulatory clarity is allowing big institutions to get more involved – “we’re starting to cross that chasm,” he says. “We’re still in the infrastructure phase of crypto,” though, with various entities figuring out how to build out their offerings. Most retail users are only thinking of crypto as an investment asset, he says, but thinks the tech behind crypto, like blockchain, will open that world up more. Education on all levels can help close that gap, Jeff posits.
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Joe Cavatoni of the World Gold Council discusses trends in the yellow metal. “We’ve seen yet another quarter of increased demand,” he says, with about $130 billion in new demand in 2Q from central banks and investors alike. He thinks people around the world are reacting to tariffs and “understanding diversification is necessary.” Central banks are in the “15th year” of record buying as they move away from the U.S. dollar as a reserve asset. Supply growth is steady around 2%, Joe adds.
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Daniel Rubino dives into this week's big tech earnings and says Microsoft (MSFT) displayed a strong position for future A.I. growth. He says the breakout Azure numbers show "confidence" from the company's leadership as it attempts to gain market share against Amazon's AWS. For Apple (AAPL), he says a "foldable" phone might be in the works as he points to higher adoption in competing Samsung devices. One reason he thinks Apple could hesitate is potentially eating into iPad sales. Daniel discusses tariffs impact for big tech companies and doesn't forecast a $2000 iPhone this fall.
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Brian Jacobsen and Patrick Healey react to the latest jobs data. Brian says that the Fed will want to slow-walk back its comments about economic strength because it would look bad for them to seem surprised. He also says, “maybe May and June are as bad as it gets,” and things will improve going forward. Patrick says the stock market was “looking for a reason to correct.” He says the jobs report revisions cast doubt on the numbers yet to come and emphasizes the Fed’s difficult job in gauging rates while relying on backwards-looking data.
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Ted Thatcher discusses the overall market picture as investors dissect the latest labor market data and what it means for the Fed's rate cut outlook. He talks about the A.I. investing theme and believes Alphabet (GOOGL) is a name to watch, calling it a "tremendous growth story." Ted adds thoughts on Nvidia (NVDA) but cautions about elevated price targets from Wall Street analysts. Another name he's watching: Nike (NKE) as shares attempt to rebound under new leadership.
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Don Nesbitt is looking for “quality stocks with good earnings.” He sees strength right now in Honeywell (HON), AbbVie (ABBV), and T-Mobile (TMUS). He warns that the top ten companies have to see decent earnings growth to keep markets up, but the other 490 also need to perform well to create market breadth. He considers the market to be in “late cycle expansion.”
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Jed Ellerbroek breaks down big tech earnings with an eye towards AI capex, which he says “far exceeds expectations.” He compares Amazon (AMZN) earnings, which were mixed, to rivals Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL), and thinks it’s a buy on today’s sell-off. On healthcare, he notes that expectations have been set lower as the sector continues to underperform. He thinks it will remain a weaker area of the market.
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Rocket Companies (RKT) stock is on the move higher after its latest earnings report. The company closed recent M&A activity with Mr. Cooper and RedFin, as it solidifies its place in the mortgage lending space. George Tsilis joins Jenny Horne and Alex Coffey to examine the recent uptrend taking place in RKT shares.
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