Schwab Network

Kroger (KR) shares have been stuck under what Ben Watson of Charles Schwab highlights as a new area of resistance. Is the stock a bargain at current prices? Ben discusses various technical indicators in his analysis of Kroger's chart to explain what's needed for a bullish resurgence.

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While the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq-100 (NDX) are near record highs, Kevin Green says the rally which drove indexes to new milestones is heavily concentrated. He points out that the Equal Weight S&P 500 is on a significant downtrend, a sign that makes general weakness or rotation likely. Crude oil and yields pulling back offer some relief for stocks. KG, however, points to diesel prices as the key mover as the U.S. weighs diesel export bans. Also keep an eye on gold, silver, and copper as KG points to bullish catalysts ahead for the metal trade. He turns to AI and reports that the industry's top researchers continue to call for a pullback in development speed.

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Nvidia (NVDA) upping its share buyback plan, paired with the announcement of a new open agent safety platform, gave a boost to shares. The launch of SpaceX's (SPCX) Starship into orbit wasn't enough to excite investors, though the price action wasn't as stark as that in Boeing (BA). MongoDB (MDB) shares plunged after its CEO announced he was leaving for Meta Platforms (META). Marley Kayden discusses the top stories moving markets on Monday.

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Geopolitical volatility continues to trickle into economic expectations as heightened crude oil prices keep Treasury yields at historic levels. In global headlines, China is reportedly considering buying AI chips from Nvidia (NVDA). Marley Kayden and Sam Vadas discuss their top takeaways from the first trading session of a new week.

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JoAnne Bianco sees opportunities in corporate bonds, private credit, shorter duration, and emerging markets as elevated Treasury yields create attractive entry points. She argues income should drive fixed income returns rather than trying to forecast rates, with the ten-year Treasury at 19-year highs punishing longer duration holdings. Bianco also highlights strong bond ETF inflows surpassing $460 billion on track for a record year, and points to a floating rate CLO fund yielding above 7% as a top performer with low volatility.

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Scott Alter, founder and principal at Standard Communities, says the housing affordability crisis is fundamentally a supply problem worsened by rising interest rates, with the ten-year yield at levels not seen since 2007. He argues the federal government must lead on policy through programs like the Low Income Housing Tax Credit, while highlighting Austin, Texas as a market where added supply has actually brought rents down. Alter also points to a middle income squeeze where families earn too much for subsidized housing but can't afford market rate rents.

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Nvidia (NVDA) "is in such a strong position" to offer another $150 billion in share buybacks, says Max Weinbach. The company's total buyback authorization is now an eyewatering $235 billion. Beyond flexing the Mag 7 giant's free cash flow, Max sees the plan as a way to draw in and retain top-tier talent. He also discusses Nvidia's open agent safety platform that includes partners like Anthropic, CrowdStrike (CRWD), Hugging Face, Microsoft (MSFT), and Palantir (PLTR) among others. Max says the company's dedication on AI sandbox development helps alleviate some long-term AI development fears.

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Charles Schwab's Kevin Horner sees the S&P 500 (SPX) stuck in a sideways consolidation near all-time highs, holding its 50-day moving average as traders wait for a catalyst. He highlights Target (TGT) up 62% year to date and finding support around $154-$155, while Amgen (AMGN) has pulled back from highs and is recapturing key moving averages near $405 with upside potential back toward $445-$450.

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Michael Monaghan of Founder ETFs breaks down the Founders 100 strategy, which invests in the 100 best founder-led companies that he says outperform non-founder peers by about 4% CAGR. He highlights names like Meta Platforms (META), CrowdStrike (CRWD), Shopify (SHOP), Nvidia (NVDA), and Palantir (PLTR), and sees the upcoming Anthropic IPO as a potential generational company valued around $2 trillion. Monaghan says the strategy tunes out daily and macro noise, letting founders navigate rate and economic shifts over time.

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Bryan Gildenberg and Phil Kafarakis break down McDonald's (MCD) next growth plan as the stock sits at 52-week lows. They discuss franchisee tensions, with 98% saying they're not making enough money, the $8.5 billion capital improvement plan, and how fuel prices and GLP-1 usage are reshaping consumer behavior. They also see beverages as a high-margin opportunity while cautioning that complex menu items like chicken could add operational strain.

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