Schwab Network

While the EU trade deal is a big step forward for the U.S. solidifying tariffs, Michelle Gibley with Charles Schwab says there's still plenty of outstanding deals that need to be reached. Canada and China are the countries she believes need the greatest amount of focus. Michelle believes other countries look to new trading partners outside the U.S. if deals don't go their way.

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Scott Bauer does not expect a rate cut this week but is still listening to Fed commentary. He looks ahead to the July jobs report, saying a miss could lead to a rate reduction in September, but warns the Fed is watching plenty of other economic indicators. For example, Thursday’s PCE report could “come in hot” and push the 10-year higher, hitting equities. Looking to the dollar, he thinks the rally off lows could hold, especially with trading deals being announced. He still wants to sell rallies for crude oil and buy the dip on gold.

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SoFi Technologies (SOFI) has more than doubled off its 52-week lows in April and tends to show earnings that go above Wall Stret estimates. Rick Ducat analyzes the key levels investors should watch ahead of Tuesday's earnings to weigh if it can hit new all-time highs. He also shows how SoFi has vastly outperformed its peers.

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Ryan Hicke, CEO of SEI Investments (SEIC), breaks down the asset management holding company. “We had another really solid quarter…we’re telling a very clear story in terms of our growth strategy.” He explains their medium to long-term lens for strategic investment, their strategic partnership with Stratos, and investing in the company’s workers. He highlights their footholds in advice, asset management, and other parts of the financial industry.

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“The Fed wants to cut” argues Jeff Klingelhofer, but just can’t right now because of economic data. He doesn’t expect inflation to lower as much as we would like by the end of the year. He’s watching whether the Fed “directly asserts whether September is a live meeting” in its remarks this week. Jeff expects Powell to signal a resilient economy and a “wait and hope” outlook.

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Peter Tchir and John Lekas both share concern on the direction of the job market, but they differ on what it means for interest rates. Peter estimates up to three rate cuts before the end of 2025 starting in September. He sees tariffs and inflationary impacts forcing the Fed's hand. John doesn't see as deep of a rate cutting cycle and calls tariffs a "non-event." He believes the bigger story lies in dollar devaluation.

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“Where is all the money going?” Kevin Mahn asks, and answers: AI infrastructure and aerospace & defense. He sees an opportunity in TSMC (TSM), which makes Nvidia’s (NVDA) chips. He also likes data centers, energy, and plays that are related to AI-supporting industries. Overall, Kevin thinks 15% tariffs worldwide are already modeled into market – and hopefully Fed – projections. He expects two rate cuts this year and thinks the Fed should have been cutting already.

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Mindy McIntosh thinks the middle class is concerned about volatility and consumer health. She is helping near-retirement clients “take gains off the table” and become more tax-efficient. Nvidia (NVDA) has been her “main focus” in the AI sector, and she’s also looking at the energy sector and names like Exxon Mobil (XOM). Her portfolio strategies cover fixed income and removing risk.

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Mark Dixon examines the U.S. labor market and the push many companies are making towards automation. He argues hybrid work can benefit companies, showing that productivity improves when people are allowed to work locally. “Basically, commuting…is very wasteful, not attractive to workers.” He says adding flexibility increases employee motivation and can help cut costs.

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WeRide (WRD) will expand robotaxi operations to Saudi Arabia. The company was granted a permit to use its autonomous tech in the country, the latest in a growing list. George Tsilis takes a closer look into WeRide's pilot program and the ways it's seeking to fulfill autonomous needs that Tesla (TSLA) and similar companies aren't addressing.

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