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Henry Schwartz from Cboe is tracking retail broker trading, which he says has skyrocketed this year. April 4 was the busiest day ever for option volume. He attributes the boom to volatility spiking around ‘Liberation Day’ and short-dated trading strategies, with retail traders driving most of single-stock contracts. He notes that volume is very concentrated. Henry highlights trends to watch in retail options activity for interested investors.
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Jarret Bilous and Sean Cudahy preview United Airlines (UAL) earnings. Jarret thinks fears have eased around the airlines since April tariff announcements. Sean expects UAL’s report to look a lot like Delta’s (DAL) last week. “The big question here is, how much softness does United see in the main cabin?” Sean asks. Jarret notes that “at a really high level,” GDP and airline revenue are related. “It also falls into the strength of the business traveler,” he adds.
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Peter Tuchman, the Einstein of Wall Street, returns to Trading 360 to break down the recent moves he's seen on the NYSE floor. He says "churning" is a good thing right now, pointing out that volume signals confidence in the bull market. Peter believes earnings "are the life blood" of this market and have shown tariff resilience through companies that reported so far. One place he shows caution: economic data, as tariffs still haven't lasted long enough to show how it's affecting inflation.
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John Kosar updates Schwab Network on the Asbury 6 indicators. Although all 6 are green on his chart, “Overnight, coming into today, one of them turned red.” Another two are teetering on the edge. Still, he adds, “Until further notice, we’re bullish.” He emphasizes the importance of looking at underlying market fundamentals and not the overall noise. John also demonstrates Asbury’s SEAF model, which measures money flows in different S&P 500 sectors. He thinks there’s a chance of a “sizeable correction” in the market before September.
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Last week, Delta Airlines (DAL) flew off the earnings runway and saw one of the biggest rallies on the week. Now, with United Airlines (UAL) reporting after the close, Sam Vadas talks about why the bar is high for the company and talks about its potential to rally. Prosper Trading Academy's Scott Bauer considers United a "best in class" stock. He gives investors an example options trade heading into the report.
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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Stewart Glickman gives investors his "big picture" view on the energy sector. He touches on Kinder Morgan (KMI) ahead of the company's earnings after Wednesday's closing bell and explains why it holds more value than many realize. Stewart also notes SLB (SLB) and Halliburton (HAL) as "value plays" in the energy space. Tom White turns to example options trades in Kinder Morgan and SLB.
======== Schwab Network ========
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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Mizuho sees A.I. trends benefitting Palantir (PLTR). Diane King Hall turns to the firm's price target raise for the rising software company, though the target remains below Palantir's current stock price. Big banks continued to paint a mixed picture for finance as Goldman Sachs (GS) traded higher while Morgan Stanley (MS) moved lower after earnings.
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The NDX flipped into negative territory after the opening bell as equities struggled to catch a bid, even though futures traded higher after this morning's soft PPI print. Alex Coffey turns to SPX options and highlights levels investors should keep on their radar for the trading session. As Bitcoin trades just off all-time highs, Alex adds that investors are seeking to hold the crypto directly without a middle man between them.
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"Inflation hit the snooze button," says Peter Andersen, and he makes the case that PPI shows there's no need for the Fed to cut interest rates. He argues we "don't need to tinker with rates" when inflation and employment don't show significant weakness. With earnings season now kicking into full gear, Peter suggests looking at stocks with sound financials. He labels the cybersecurity industry as an industry to watch.
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Like CPI, this morning's PPI print came in lower than Wall Street expected. Kevin Hincks points out that some sectors like services saw significantly lower pricing. It's good for the inflation picture, but not for investors looking for an immediate interest rate cut from the Fed. However, Kevin believes September will open the door to that possibility. On tariffs, negotiators from the EU are expected to reignite momentum in talks when they come to Washington.
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