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Charles Schwab's Cooper Howard looks "under the hood" of the latest CPI print that show tariff impacts investors may have missed. He adds that it complicates the long-term outlook for the Fed, which remains in a "wait and see" approach until the tariff picture clears. Cooper believes the odds of a September rate cut will be lower after today's developments.
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Yes, $8 trillion. Nigam Arora believes Nvidia (NVDA) can double its value with the A.I. landscape set to evolve over the coming years. He sees robotics leading the next leg of Nvidia's growth, as Nigam sees humanoid robotics becoming upwards of a $3 trillion industry. He also gives investors a roadmap into how they can manage positions. He later talks about buyout candidates which include AES Corp. (AES) and Verint (VRNT).
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The SPX and NDX both tapped new highs before pulling day intraday. Rick Ducat turns to one stock joining the SPX ahead of its inclusion: The Trade Desk (TTD). He highlights how the stock stand against peers in the communications sector. Rick later offers a broader view into the recent sector rally.
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ASML Holding (ASML) reports earnings early tomorrow morning, and Ray Wang expects to see a beat from the report. In turn, he sees Nvidia's (NVDA) eased A.I. chip export restrictions on China benefitting TSMC (TSM), which will in turn benefit ASML. Ray also talks about other companies investors should watch as the A.I. ecosystem grows.
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“It’s absolutely amazing to be honest.” Zed Francis looks at realized volatility over the past few months. “Risks used to be centered in a handful of institutions that reacted in a very similar fashion, ie banks…now risk is spread around,” which can mute market reactions. He also discusses hard economic data vs soft data and what they’re telling markets. He thinks tariffs will have “benign” effects on megacaps this quarter.
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Ben Emons previews the PPI report tomorrow and covers the rare earth minerals sector, which is a main driver of producer prices. He notes that Trump originally tried to put tariffs on rare earths, which backfired. Instead, the government has made investments in MP Materials (MP) – and a deal with Apple (AAPL) has sent the stock soaring today.
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Kevin Horner is back for Technical Tuesday! On the S&P 500 (SPX), he focuses on the 10-day and 20-day moving averages and thinks bulls are still in charge. Shift4 Payments (FOUR) caught his eye because of a 50% move up from April lows and consolidation over the last week and a half. He sees $100 as a support level. Circle (CRCL) hasn’t traded for long, but he sees a potential consolidation into a breakout either way.
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Mark Vitner and Jeffrey Cleveland break down June CPI, which cooled as shelter costs dipped. Mark thinks the Fed is “still on course” after the report. He also expects the PPI to read about the same when it is released tomorrow. However, he thinks the labor market is “much weaker” than data shows. Jeffrey thinks rate cuts will start in September and we could potentially see multiple this year. Housing costs cooling “should keep inflation in check,” he adds. Jeffrey sees the tariffs as a drag on the economy and expects GDP to hit 1.5% this year.
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The developing air taxi company continues to draw headlines as successes tally up. Joby Aviation (JOBY) will double production capacity at its California plant and will ramp up production at its Ohio facility. Marley Kayden notes other bullish signals, which includes a slew of recent test flights. However, profitability remains a constant overhang for Joby's outlook.
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Kim Forrest discusses the Synopsys (SNPS) acquisition on Ansys (ANSS) for $35B, which was just approved by Chinese regulators. She notes that China was concerned about its continued access to their products, which “validates the value of what Synopsys does.” She also covers Nvidia (NVDA) looking to export H20 chips to China, which she calls “comforting” to both sides.
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