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Is the U.S. labor market breaking down? Andrew Brenner and Patrick Healy give their thoughts. Andrew thinks September still has good odds of a rate cut but thinks interest rates will go higher because of fear. “We’re still skeptical of the employment numbers,” but everything else seems strong, he adds. Patrick agrees that the report was mixed but has a rosier picture than Andrew, arguing the tax bill’s passing will stabilize markets.
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Michael Clarfeld is looking abroad for opportunities with an “abnormally” concentrated and expensive S&P 500. He likes Nestle (NSRGY) and other European consumer staples. Another area he likes is “real assets” like commodities such as crude oil, leading him to Exxon Mobil (XOM). In REITs, he likes AvalonBay (AVB), which he calls best-in-class, and argues that apartments are more attractive than homebuilders because of high rates.
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Following recent reports of a merger, CoreWeave (CRWV) has confirmed its acquisition of Core Scientific (CORZ). Both stocks sold off on the headline. George Tsilis points out how CoreWeave's financials play a role into the negative reaction.
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Citi boosted its price target on Nvidia (NVDA) to $190 from $180, citing strong A.I. demand as the thesis behind the optimism. However, as Marley Kayden explains, tariffs remain a critical headwind for it and its peers. She points to earnings from international companies like Foxconn showing cracks of weakness in the A.I. trade.
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Likefolio’s Andy Swan covers sentiment on Netflix (NFLX), pointing out a “sharp divergence” between their web visits and stock price. He attributes this to a “breakdown in consumer signal” as people “find other options” in the streaming space. App usage and sentiment around its original programming are also slipping, Andy adds: “there’s no must-see content…no visible innovation on their site.”
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Mike Shorr of Prosper Trading Academy sees bullish momentum continuing in the markets and offers bullish example options trades for today's Big 3. He talks about the breakout potential he sees in Builders FirstSource (BLDR), the way traders can ride on DoorDash's (DASH) run higher, and Reddit's (RDDT) push needed to stage another breakout. Rick Ducat dives into the trends he sees in the charts.
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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Larry McDonald sees market shifts ahead as investors digest what he calls "Trump optimism." One of the biggest changes he says will come from banks, pointing to JPMorgan Chase (JPM) as being overbought. Larry expects a sell-off in it and other big banks while smaller counterparts reap the benefits. He sees A.I. semiconductors pulling back for similar reasons, while fossil fuels like coal and companies tied to it to grind higher.
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Despite some retail investor exuberance, Jimmy Lee sees more optimism than worry, driven by potential tailwinds like lower interest rates and less regulation. He believes this could lead to a pickup in deal activity, consumer confidence, and even a possible run to 7000 on the S&P 500. Lee is also positive on cyclical sectors like industrials and financials, but notes risks from geopolitics and some frothy valuations in the A.I. space.
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Seaport Research moved to the sidelines on Netflix (NFLX) after downgrading the stock to neutral from buy. It doesn't see shares gaining much traction as valuations swell. George Tsilis explains the "cautious" outlook from the analyst ahead of earnings next week. Prosper Trading Academy's Charles Moon also takes caution through his example options trade for Netflix.
======== Schwab Network ========
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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Nvidia (NVDA) has become the market darling once again. Diane King Hall notes Citi's new price target raise on the A.I. giant over data center and chip expansion prospects. However, Redburn downgraded another A.I. stock: Applied Materials (AMAT). Diane talks about why China is impacting the analyst's view. CrowdStrike (CRWD) also got a downgrade from Piper Sandler as the stock trades near all-time highs.
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