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Futurum's David Nicholson believes Oracle (ORCL) fits perfectly in the A.I. evolution through "co-ompetition." He sees its cooperation and competition with mega caps like Amazon (AMZN) building a strong foundation for growth. When it comes to Meta Platforms (META), David is concerned the company is spending too much on A.I. as it finds its footing in the space. He also turns to other winners and losers he sees in Big Tech.
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Brian Mulberry shares his team's defensive take on the market, citing interest rates as a major headwind for earnings growth. Despite the S&P 500's rally to 6200, Mulberry expects more volatility ahead. To navigate this environment, he favors high-quality, dividend-yielding stocks with strong balance sheets and diversified revenue streams, such as JPMorgan (JPM), BNY Mellon (BK), and Bank of America (BAC). Mulberry also likes consumer staples like Home Depot (HD) and Walmart (WMT), citing their ability to weather economic uncertainty and deliver steady, profitable growth.
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Kevin Horner says the S&P 500's break above 6,200 was "surely notable" due in part to a rotational shift in market leadership. He notes that a "widening out" of the rally and the 20-day moving average holding near 6,004 could support further upside, with the 6,100 level possibly in sight.
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David Nelson sees three key catalysts driving the S&P and Nasdaq to record highs: clarity on the final tariff structure, reduced geopolitical risk, and a favorable yield curve. Nelson believes these factors have shifted market sentiment, making it a good time for investors to be in equities, especially with lower yields. He also likes L3Harris Technologies Inc. (LHX) and Capital One Financial Corp. (COF) due to their exposure to growth areas like defense spending and financial technology.
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Circle (CRCL) became a market darling since its IPO in June. Danielle Shay offers perspective on Circle's role as a "short squeeze" stock following its volatile price action. She suggests the stock has fallen to the point where momentum disappeared but can reignite on a catalyst following consolidation. As markets trade near all-time highs, Danielle adds that the run higher offers a prime environment for more short squeezes.
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Constellation Brands (STZ) is running dry on growth opportunities, according to Likefolio's Andy Swan. With beer demand for brands like Modelo, Corona, and Pacifico showing flat or negative search trends heading into Independence Day weekend, Swan is bearish on STZ's prospects. The company's web visits have also plummeted nearly 60% since early 2023, signaling waning interest in the brand.
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Wedbush's Dan Ives points to Nvidia (NVDA) and Microsoft (MSFT) as the first companies poised to hit the $4 trillion market cap milestone. Diane King Hall poses the question, "why stop at four, why not five?" She talks about Dan's commentary on Nvidia being the "poster child" of A.I. and whether the Mag 7 giant can maintain its momentum.
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Nvidia (NVDA) has led the market rebound off April lows, and Joe Tigay sees that trend continuing. He believes the Mag 7 giant's "secret sauce" lies in chip design. On Oracle (ORCL), Joe explains how the company is waking up after being a "sleeping giant." Joe also talks about his bullish stance on Amazon's (AMZN) A.I. and ecommerce optimization. He also offers what he calls "poor man's covered call" example options trades for all three stocks, while Rick Ducat dives into the chart technicals.
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Job openings - or JOLTS - surged to a six-month high of nearly 7.8 million. A majority of gains came from the hospitality sector. However, Eric Winograd and Allison Shrivastava caution against readying too much into the data, citing the report's volatility and instead point to underlying labor market trends suggesting a state of equilibrium. They add that hiring and turnover rates are running at a slower pace than in previous years.
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Kevin Mahn shares his thoughts on the market's record-breaking first half of the year. He believes the current rally may actually be short-lived, citing potential legislative headwinds, trade tensions and the Fed's interest rate decisions as possible sources of concern. Mahn expects 2 rate cuts by year-end, but warns that a delayed response could exacerbate economic slowdown. For the back half of the year, he's bullish on aerospace and defense stocks, particularly Northrop Grumman (NOC), Boeing (BA), and RTX Corp (RTX). Mahn also says to watch for A.I. plays outside of semiconductors, instead pointing to data centers, cooling solutions and utilities.
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