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The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) June Manufacturing PMI report showed a better-than-expected reading of 49.0, but the sector remains in contraction territory for the first time in nearly a decade. ISM's Susan Spence attributes the weakness to ongoing trade policy uncertainty, citing executives expressing concern. Despite a slight uptick in production, she notes that new orders and backlogs continue to contract. Spence emphasizes that companies need clarity around tariffs and trade policy to make informed decisions to invest in their businesses, rather than relying on short-term fixes.

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Joe Brusuelas says we have a dynamic and resilient economy, but adds that it is slowing. Joe joins Nicole Petallides at the NYSE to discuss the 'silly season' in markets as investors watch for updates from Capitol Hill on Pres. Trump's "big beautiful bill" spending plan. He believes a significant tax cut has been priced in to equities already. Joe continues to see a "grind down" in economic performance but does not see a recession on the horizon. Ahead of June's jobs report, he says the 100k number will be critical for the payrolls number. Joe cautions that any inflation increase from tariffs has not yet been felt in economic data received so far, and he calls for just 1 rate cut in 2025 unless the economy "cracks."

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Apple (AAPL) has fallen behind its mega cap peers when it comes it utilizing A.I. Jeff Pierce notes a report that the company is considering using Anthropic or OpenAI for Siri giving shares a boost. As Apple finds its footing in the A.I. race, Jeff talks about the Mag 7 company's extensive ecosystem and vast array of options as tailwinds. Tim Biggam later turns to an example options trade for Apple.

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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D

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"We're drinking less, and that's a problem for Constellation Brands (STZ)," says Investopedia's Caleb Silver. On top of a secular trend of people consuming less alcohol, Caleb talks about other pressures plaguing the Corona and Model0 maker ahead of earnings. He argues Constellation Brands need to rethink its current strategy as the stock comes off five-year lows. Tom White offers investors a pair of example options trades for Constellation Brands.

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Citi upped its price target on The Trade Desk (TTD) and issued a "90-day positive catalyst watch" for the stock. Diane King Hall notes shares have taken a beating but have rebounded off lows earlier this year. She also turns to Chinese EV sales and how they've grown substantially year-over-year. Diane adds that BYD Co. (BYDDY) saw impressive numbers that topped Tesla (TSLA). She later discusses what's leading Raymond James to upgrade Hyatt (H).

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Taylor Huffman joins Morning Trade Live as equities dip lower to begin the second half of 2025. She says the "whiplash" from April's lows to new all-time highs was largely headline driven. Looking ahead, she points to the fixed income opportunities facing investors as headline "noise" drives a lot of activity. Taylor's looking to the long-end of the curve as rates are near historically recent highs, saying it could indicate higher returns on the horizon.

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The SPX saw weakness at the opening bell after multiple days of hitting all-time highs. Kevin Green urges investors to stay nimble as price action shifts, offering a look into the technicals to watch today. He also points to metals, particularly platinum, which have soared compared to the SPX.

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Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk is back in the headlines after criticizing President Trump and his tax bill. The Mag 7 company slid substantially ahead of the opening bell. Jenny Horne takes a closer look at comments from Musk and Trump and explains why investors are panicked over them.

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Even though markets have hit all-time highs, they're "poised to continue that run higher," says Jay Woods. He expects bank stocks to make a notable rally after staying in the shadows for the first half of 2025. However, Jay sees tech continuing to lead, adding that Nvidia (NVDA) can reach $200 in the near-term. As for the FOMC, he sees a September interest rate cut in sight.

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Citi opens a "90-day positive catalyst watch" on The Trade Desk (TTD). Rick Ducat takes a look at the technical formations on the TTD chart, with prices topping out in the recent-term after its latest earnings report. Rick says the momentum indicator is showing some signs of breaking out as well. Then, Tom White illustrates an example options trade using a bullish call vertical strategy.

======== Schwab Network ========

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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D

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