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Scott Bauer covers the commodities market. He says the dollar has “already broken through a couple spots I thought would really hold as support” as it hits 96.5 and 3-year lows. For crude oil, he wants to sell on any spikes because supply remains strong, saying that if it weren’t for geopolitical tensions he thinks price would be in the “mid-$50s.” He also covers the volatility index, which he thinks is “way too low” with what’s going on in the market.
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The SPX experienced a rebalancing on Monday heading into third quarter, which boosted volume and offered bulls room to run. Kevin Green points out a "golden cross" involving the 50-day SMA adding to momentum. However, gaps on the SPX daily chart suggest a re-test of downside levels. Kevin also explains the role volume played in Monday's price action.
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Tom Essaye reacts to trade developments between the U.S. and Canada over the weekend and what he thinks the administration’s strategy is now. “The market is hitting all time highs ahead of [the July 9 trade deadline]” because of the TACO trade, he posits but explains why that’s also an oversimplification. The “million-dollar question” for the second half of 2025 is whether tariffs will slow the economy. He comments on the lawsuits against the tariffs and the potential for trade deadline extensions.
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Nancy Daoud thinks some weakness might appear in the third quarter but pass in “the fourth quarter boom.” She says we must stick to data, but acknowledges hard data is a lagging indicator. She thinks anyone on the sidelines needs to “get in and participate.” The biggest risk to markets is “geopolitical,” she argues, “there’s no real way to prepare for that.”
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Not all Mag 7 stocks are created equal, according to Morningstar's William Kerwin. He worries of the company's lacking innovation in the A.I. space as its peers like Nvidia (NVDA) and Meta Platforms (META) soar to all-time highs. Steven Dickens agrees, though rumors of Apple (AAPL) seeking to acquire Perplexity can change that. He also makes the case for a Mag 8 with Broadcom (AVGO) as the company deserving of the title.
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Hitting all-time highs in the market as we enter the second half of the year means people are reexamining their strategies in case of an upset, says Mindy McIntosh. She likes the energy sector and AI, which she calls “here to stay.” Despite wariness around international markets, she still thinks there are opportunities there, but notes timelines for those investments could change quickly. In general, she uses the “rule of 100” for allocation between types of assets.
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"The best time to buy Bitcoin was 12 years ago, but the second best time to buy Bitcoin was today," says Alexander Blume. He believes institutional investors and larger companies are taking notice by creating their own cryptocurrency treasuries. Alexander talks about the international institutions capitalizing on the crypto craze and the effectiveness of mirroring Strategy's (MSTR) success. He also believes Bitcoin will eventually break above $1 million.
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The Justice Department agreed on a settlement for HP Enterprise (HPE) in the company's acquisition of Juniper Networks (JNPR). As George Tsilis says, the deal gives the new conglomerate a leg up against its biggest competitor: Cisco (CSCO). While both stocks rallied Monday, George urges investors to keep the potential for growth prospects in mind.
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“A lot is happening that’s long overdue” in the crypto world, says Austin King, from regulation to stablecoin legislation. “Last year, stablecoins processed more volume than Visa and Mastercard combined,” he claims. He explains what stablecoins are and how they’re used, and why he thinks financial institutions can benefit from them. He also covers the Circle (CRCL) IPO and his outlook for the crypto industry in the second half of 2025.
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Stifel upgraded Oracle (ORCL) to buy from hold and raised its price target to $250 from $180. The reason? Oracle's cloud growth, which Stifel sees accelerating further. Diane King Hall talks about the company's A.I. prospects and how they paved a path for the stock to hit all-time highs.
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