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Mike Block we’re in for some “interesting times” on rates as the macro data gives Powell no incentive to move while President Trump claims rates should be as low as 1%. He previews the June jobs report and what a beat or loss could mean for markets. “Based on what I’m seeing,” Mike expects only one rate cut this year. He also sees major questions around the ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ and reciprocal tariffs, both of which have upcoming deadlines. Mike’s stock picks right now include EQYX, AVGO, PLTR, SNOW, CRWV and private companies within the chip space like Groq or Anthropic.
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Jay Hatfield originally set a 7,000 target for the SPX but since curbed it to 6,600. He made the cut based off a lack of tax incentives from the Senate's version of the "big, beautiful bill," though he sees other positive catalysts. For one, Jay expects a "dovish" pause from the Fed with its meeting in July. He adds that July is typically the strongest month for equities that will be led by strong earnings.
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Earlier this month, Oracle (ORCL) had its best week since 2001 after posting a stellar earnings report. As Jenny Horne explains, the legacy tech company is generating more bullish momentum through an upgrade from Stifel. Its cloud growth is the star of a bullish narrative. Jenny later turns to HP Enterprise (HPE) and Juniper Networks reaching a long-awaited settlement with the Justice Department.
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Rick Ducat examines the chart patterns for Nvidia (NVDA) as shares reach new all-time highs. As of Friday's close, Nvidia shares were up more than 82% from April lows. Later, he composes an example options trade utilizing a call butterfly strategy. Rick explains that the July expiry date is very active, but illustrates a trade using the August expiry instead.
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Michael Arone says that the data isn't signaling a "hot" economy but rather some weakness that could evolve to "hard recessionary" trends. He was glad to see Fed officials talking about rate cuts in July, saying he's more concerned about growth than inflation. Michael thinks the Fed made a mistake in 2018 by thinking tariffs are inflationary and that the Fed "should get going" with rate cuts to be in line with its preferred PCE data. He says investors should expect Jerome Powell to indicate policy changes at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium and believes 3 rate cuts are on the way.
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Kevin Green breaks down market performance after Friday's record performance for the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq-100 (NDX). He is encouraged by the market's broadening out, with financials, industrials and other sectors joining the rally. He expects leadership to come from financials, particularly if they hold up despite economic growth concerns. However, he cautions that headline risk remains with Congress debating the "Big Beautiful Bill" and the July 9th deadline for potential tariff hikes looming.
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Austin Lyons says AMD Inc. (AMD) is growing its slice of the chipmaker pie, providing an alternative to Nvidia (NVDA) which he calls a "premium offering." He says AMD is joining many companies in the inference chase, expanding offerings for smaller consumers. Austin adds that AMD is taking technical swings with some of its memory offerings to differentiate itself from Nvidia and that overall the "future's looking bright."
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Walt Disney (DIS) shares are on the move higher after an upgrade at Jefferies. Rachel Dashiell takes a look at the 1-year chart, pointing to a recent golden cross taking place in the 50-day & 200-day SMA studies. The only yellow flag in the chart? Rachel says there's a slight downward channel in the RSI study. On a longer 5-year chart, she still sees "a little magic in the Mouse House" and points to clearing a $124 weekly close as a key hurdle for the chart.
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Karl Brauer believes Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk "has peaked" and needs to find another profitable revenue stream. The company's robotaxi is what Karl calls Elon's "only serious alternative." However, consumer pricing power will be a key headwind Tesla needs to overcome.
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After its Robotaxi unveiling, Tesla (TSLA) heads to the Tech Corner! George Tsilis dives into the EV maker's business which is more than just cars: energy storage, solar power, robotics and more. From the competitive threats like Waymo to the technical patterns taking shape on the chart, George provides the entire picture for Elon Musk's publicly-traded automobile company. Plug in for all things Cybertrucks, Optimus, Powerwall and A.I.
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