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“Not so solid” – Barry Knapp doesn’t believe the Fed’s assertion that the economy is holding up, citing today’s PCE data among other factors. Outside of names driven by the AI boom, he says earnings are actually projected to fall in 2Q. He talks about what positive catalysts the market could see and gives his targets for the end of the year. Overall, he thinks the Fed has got it wrong, just as he argues that they got it wrong during the pandemic.
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It was a record breaking week on Wall Street with the SPX and NDX both hitting new all-time highs. Tech led the push to the milestones, with companies like Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), and Palantir (PLTR) tapping highs of their own. Micron (MU) boosted A.I. optimism with its strong earnings, while Nike (NKE) leapt 20% on the week thanks to its higher-than-expected report. Alex Coffey takes investors through the week's top stories.
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Lior Tal, CEO of Cyngn (CYN), talks about how his company uses robotaxi tech and applies it to a warehouse setting. The company has already worked with businesses like Deere & Co. (DE) to apply the tech. Lior also turns to Cyngn's partnership with Nvidia (NVDA) and how it uses the A.I. giant's tech with Cyngn's.
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Kathy Jones with Charles Schwab believes markets are euphoric after the Israel and Iran conflict cooled from the worst-case scenario. However, she sees tensions lasting with tariffs, inflation, and unseen impacts from the "big, beautiful bill." Kathy adds that this will all affect the Fed's path forward on interest rates. She currently expects to see a rate cut in September.
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Quentin Mai wraps up the week in gold. “We’re at an inflection point in history” for the metal, he says, as it regains attention for the first time in years. “Gold is the best performing asset out there” for investors looking for stability, he argues. With the cost of producing an ounce of gold around $1,400-$1,500, the $3,000+ price of gold is boosting mining companies. He discusses the pros and cons between buying physical gold, or a proxy like GLD.
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Eddie Yoon says core PCE and consumer sentiment both raised signs of weakening wallets. That, on top of trans-Atlantic flights from Europe hitting pre-pandemic levels, worry Eddie that more softness will come. Layoffs in major firms like Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN) add to resistance against the job market. He also talks about the headwinds luxury brands like Lululemon (LULU) will face in a shifting macro environment.
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Amanda Lai breaks down Nike’s (NKE) earnings, saying “it isn’t pretty.” However, the stock is rallying after the report because it “wasn’t as bad” as investors expected. She thinks there is optimism in a potential turnaround under the new CEO. She notes that they are trying to build relationships with wholesalers like Amazon (AMZN) and refocus on innovation, but they have a “storm ahead” with tariffs. She also discusses Nike’s competition, from shoemakers like On Holding (ONON) to athletics wear like Lululemon (LULU).
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Katie Stockton calls the SPX rally "remarkable" since hitting lows in April. However, to have confidence that the all-time high breakout will hold, Katie believes the index needs to hold a key level for two consecutive weeks near that high. She adds that the VIX is "worth keeping on your radar." Katie later gauges market breadth and how it weighs against historical measures.
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Jeff Walker, CEO of Alliance Entertainment (AENT), joins to discuss the business and the entertainment industry. Alliance distributes entertainment and collectible products: “we feed that collectible fanbase.” They distribute Funko (FNKO) products and have even gotten into K-Pop fan items. “You can’t live just in your phone, you have to have things…you collect.” He talks about their retail partners and how the business has evolved from its early record store days.
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LikeFolio's Landon Swan sees Alphabet (GOOGL) as a conglomerate investment into future tech, pointing to everything from its cloud growth to investments in autonomous driving through Waymo. However, the big concern lies in its search business. Landon shows data suggesting ChatGPT dominating in search growth. He weighs Google against A.I. engines to talk about how critical it is for Alphabet to reclaim its lead in search.
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