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2nd Quarter 2023 Economic Update and Market Review
The first quarter of 2023 was largely positive for the markets, but not positive enough to make up for the frustrating previous 12 months. While inflation still appears to be slowing, there is plenty of uncertainty around interest rates and the Federal Reserve’s ability to slow the economy just enough but not too much.
As always, our partners at East Bay Investment Solutions have provided a balanced approach to the positive and negative signals out there right now:
Download the text of their full presentation here.
Watch a video of their quarterly presentation here: East Bay Webinar
Shotwell Rutter Baer is proud to be an independent, fee-only registered investment advisory firm. This means that we are only compensated by our clients for our knowledge and guidance — not from commissions by selling financial products. Our only motivation is to help you achieve financial freedom and peace of mind. By structuring our business this way we believe that many of the conflicts of interest that plague the financial services industry are eliminated. We work for our clients, period.
Click here to learn about the Strategic Reliable Blueprint, our financial plan process for your future.
Call us at 517-321-4832 for financial and retirement investing advice.
In today’s episode, Dave and Nick have an interesting case study of a couple of MSU professors. Join us as we take a look at some of the common scenarios that come up in a case like this when we’re helping people create their financial plans.
This is a composite of several clients we’ve met with over the last couple of years to help people get a general feel for how we look at things and how we string a plan together.
A lot of these questions come up quite often and even though we like we say, “There are no firm answers of exactly what you should do in these scenarios,” there are certainly some common ways to think about these things that will hopefully help guide our listeners if they have similar questions in their own personal scenarios.
Their financial Scenario:
Listen to the entire episode to learn how we put the pieces together to have the conversation about retirement, target dates, and priorities.
If our listeners have questions or other topics you’d like to hear, please feel free to shoot us an email at [email protected].
Shotwell Rutter Baer is proud to be an independent, fee-only registered investment advisory firm. This means that we are only compensated by our clients for our knowledge and guidance — not from commissions by selling financial products. Our only motivation is to help you achieve financial freedom and peace of mind. By structuring our business this way we believe that many of the conflicts of interest that plague the financial services industry are eliminated. We work for our clients, period.
Click here to learn about the Strategic Reliable Blueprint, our financial plan process for your future.
Call us at 517-321-4832 for financial and retirement investing advice.
We’ve been getting a lot of questions about the housing market. We’ve seen the Fed basically increase interest rates at an accelerated pace over the last year. And they are looking to still continue to do a couple more rate increases. So what do you think about that and how do you think about the different housing choices knowing that we’re in this rising interest rate environment?
And we don’t really know how long rates are going to stay high. To make it more interesting, the rising interest rate environment is on the back of a very fast-moving real estate market since 2020.
So we’ve got a double whammy of housing prices going way up and then interest rates going way up. It’s really changed the math of home buying lately. Despite this, there are not a lot of houses on the market but there are still a lot of people looking to buy houses.
The pandemic and all the supply chain issues that we’ve talked about on this podcast before have not helped the situation.
Join us, Dave and Nick, as we delve further into this issue and offer financial tips for those who are thinking about buying and or selling a home in the current financial environment we find ourselves in.
Shotwell Rutter Baer is proud to be an independent, fee-only registered investment advisory firm. This means that we are only compensated by our clients for our knowledge and guidance — not from commissions by selling financial products. Our only motivation is to help you achieve financial freedom and peace of mind. By structuring our business this way we believe that many of the conflicts of interest that plague the financial services industry are eliminated. We work for our clients, period.
Click here to learn about the Strategic Reliable Blueprint, our financial plan process for your future.
Call us at 517-321-4832 for financial and retirement investing advice.
Last Week Silicon Valley Bank collapsed. Nuveen’s asset managers noted it was the fastest bank failure in history, the result of management missteps, a challenging interest rate environment, a narrow client base whose businesses were also sensitive to the interest rate environment, and customers who talk amongst themselves. While none of this is great, the good news is that none of this seems to spell a bigger threat to the American banking industry.
There has been a lot written already by folks smarter than me offering an autopsy of exactly what happened at SVB, but in a nutshell here are the highlights.
The bank’s customers were mostly tech companies and start-ups, and the venture capital companies that those companies work with. As the tech sector boomed during 2020 and 2021, those companies had extra cash to deposit and SVB grew. The bank invested its excess reserves in things like long-term treasury bonds, which are perfectly safe if held to maturity. However, when interest rates rise, as they did in 2022, those long-term bonds go down in value and aren’t worth what they will eventually be worth when they mature.
At the same time, SVB’s customer businesses are also very interest rate sensitive. When rates go up startups and tech companies can’t borrow easily and need to call on the reserves of cash they had stockpiled, withdrawing their funds. This meant that SVB needed to liquidate a portion of its portfolio to cover those withdrawals at a loss. This made the bank’s balance sheet look… not good. When word got out among some of their clients that they were liquidating bonds at loss to cover withdrawals, those clients in turn withdrew their money, forcing more sales. A downward spiral and a classic bank run. That’s when the FDIC stepped in and shut the bank down.
Probably not much. The issues that caused SVB to fail are not the same issues we saw in the financial crisis, where the culprit was widespread over-borrowing in the housing market. While there has already been one other small bank with a similar balance sheet that has failed, these issues are not likely to hurt the regional and national banks meaningfully. However, as of this morning there is renewed scrutiny of some major banks such as Credit Suisse, so we will continue to monitor this situation.
The main issue was that the SVB was using long-term assets to cover short-term liabilities. Most of the time, they would have gotten away with it, but the quick rise in interest rates last year changed that equation. Banks and regulators will probably not look at their bond portfolios the same way going forward and will take “duration risk” into account as well as other risks.
Shotwell Rutter Baer is proud to be an independent, fee-only registered investment advisory firm. This means that we are only compensated by our clients for our knowledge and guidance — not from commissions by selling financial products. Our only motivation is to help you achieve financial freedom and peace of mind. By structuring our business this way we believe that many of the conflicts of interest that plague the financial services industry are eliminated. We work for our clients, period.
Click here to learn about the Strategic Reliable Blueprint, our financial plan process for your future.
Call us at 517-321-4832 for financial and retirement investing advice.
Shotwell Rutter Baer is proud to be an independent, fee-only registered investment advisory firm. This means that we are only compensated by our clients for our knowledge and guidance — not from commissions by selling financial products. Our only motivation is to help you achieve financial freedom and peace of mind. By structuring our business this way we believe that many of the conflicts of interest that plague the financial services industry are eliminated. We work for our clients, period.
Click here to learn about the Strategic Reliable Blueprint, our financial plan process for your future.
Call us at 517-321-4832 for financial and retirement investing advice.
We have a very special episode for your today. Join us as Nick interviews Ashley Sajor and discover out why she became a financial planner.
Ashley is one of the newest members of our team and started off as an intern while she was still attending MSU. Besides starring in our podcast from time to time, Ashley has also started writing blogs for our website.
Michigan First-Time Home Buyer Savings Accounts (article)
A Quick View on Student Loans
Ashley graduated from Michigan State University in 2022 with a degree in Finance. She began her career as an intern at Shotwell Rutter Baer in the summer of 2021. This internship solidified Ashley’s aspirations of working in a profession where she can help people achieve their dreams. What she loves most about a career in Financial Planning is being able to make a positive difference in people’s lives. She hopes to help people achieve their life goals and enable them to live the lives they want to live stress-free. She is currently working towards getting the CFP certification as an Associate Advisor. Ashley was born in Michigan but lived in Key West, Florida for 7 years. When not at work, she enjoys spending time with family and friends, cooking, building custom computers, and gaming.
Shotwell Rutter Baer is proud to be an independent, fee-only registered investment advisory firm. This means that we are only compensated by our clients for our knowledge and guidance — not from commissions by selling financial products. Our only motivation is to help you achieve financial freedom and peace of mind. By structuring our business this way we believe that many of the conflicts of interest that plague the financial services industry are eliminated. We work for our clients, period.
Click here to learn about the Strategic Reliable Blueprint, our financial plan process for your future.
Call us at 517-321-4832 for financial and retirement investing advice.
About Shotwell Rutter Baer
Shotwell Rutter Baer is proud to be an independent, fee-only registered investment advisory firm. This means that we are only compensated by our clients for our knowledge and guidance — not from commissions by selling financial products. Our only motivation is to help you achieve financial freedom and peace of mind. By structuring our business this way we believe that many of the conflicts of interest that plague the financial services industry are eliminated. We work for our clients, period.
Click here to learn about the Strategic Reliable Blueprint, our financial plan process for your future.
Call us at 517-321-4832 for financial and retirement investing advice.
Dave and Nick are joined by Ashley Sajor, Associate Financial Planner here at Shotwell Rutter Baer. Ashley started her career at SRB as an intern and after graduating from MSU became a full-time employee.
Check out Ashley’s previous visit to our show in the episode titled, Helping Your College Student Budget.
Today, we are exploring the concept of a first-time home buyer savings account for the state of Michigan. Which actually was passed into law around June of 2022, so we’re a little over six months into this new home buyer savings account.
Ashley and Nick have been working on researching it so they can provide the details in this episode. Their information includes some strategies you might consider.
If you are interested in setting up one of these accounts or would like more information, please contact us at 517-321-4832 or email us at [email protected].
Shotwell Rutter Baer is proud to be an independent, fee-only registered investment advisory firm. This means that we are only compensated by our clients for our knowledge and guidance — not from commissions by selling financial products. Our only motivation is to help you achieve financial freedom and peace of mind. By structuring our business this way we believe that many of the conflicts of interest that plague the financial services industry are eliminated. We work for our clients, period.
Click here to learn about the Strategic Reliable Blueprint, our financial plan process for your future.
Call us at 517-321-4832 for financial and retirement investing advice.
About Shotwell Rutter Baer
Shotwell Rutter Baer is proud to be an independent, fee-only registered investment advisory firm. This means that we are only compensated by our clients for our knowledge and guidance — not from commissions by selling financial products. Our only motivation is to help you achieve financial freedom and peace of mind. By structuring our business this way we believe that many of the conflicts of interest that plague the financial services industry are eliminated. We work for our clients, period.
Click here to learn about the Strategic Reliable Blueprint, our financial plan process for your future.
Call us at 517-321-4832 for financial and retirement investing advice.
The more compound interest you have the less percentage wise that you have to save. But asking a 20-year-old to put away money for a future 65-year-old self can be a hard pill to swallow for a lot of young people.
Dave and Nick discuss how the book, Atomic Habits, by James Clear, has helped them create better habits.
Whatever habit you’re trying to create make it obvious with cues and context. For example, every time I do this then you know that’s my cue to go for a run or read some pages, or whatever your goal is. Put your running shoes by the front door. Lay your clothes out the night before. Things like that.
We’re always thinking about the financial planning implication of goals, the economy, or philosophy. Goal setting and habit of forming are huge parts of that and the sooner you can do those things the better off you’re going to be in the long term.
About Shotwell Rutter Baer
Shotwell Rutter Baer is proud to be an independent, fee-only registered investment advisory firm. This means that we are only compensated by our clients for our knowledge and guidance — not from commissions by selling financial products. Our only motivation is to help you achieve financial freedom and peace of mind. By structuring our business this way we believe that many of the conflicts of interest that plague the financial services industry are eliminated. We work for our clients, period.
Click here to learn about the Strategic Reliable Blueprint, our financial plan process for your future.
Call us at 517-321-4832 for financial and retirement investing advice.