Sibylline: Refined Insight

In this episode of Refined Insight, our host and Lead Americas Analyst Sydney Stewart is joined by Middle East and Africa Analyst Megan Sutcliffe to discuss the risks posed by a changing climate in Sub-Saharan Africa. Together they discuss how both drought and flooding impact infrastructure, food security, energy security and even political tensions throughout the region.

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In this episode of What Just Happened? our host Ignacio Ayala is joined by Associate Intelligence Analyst Sophie Hanck from the Asia Pacific desk here at Sibylline. Together, they discuss China's recent 'third plenum', a high-level Central Committee forum for discussions on relevant policy issues. Sophie summarises the results of the plenum and what the implications of this key policy meeting will mean for stakeholders in the region.

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Welcome back to another episode of Refined Insight! Join our Americas Intelligence Analysts Sydney Stewart and Claire Brady as they unpack Biden's underwhelming debate performance, Biden's potential withdrawal from the race (and what happens if he does!) and the security implications of upcoming electoral events such as the Democratic National Convention! If you enjoyed the episode, please give us a like and subscribe for new episodes! You can also contact us with any questions or feedback: [email protected]

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Lead Americas Analyst Sydney Stewart and Middle East and Africa Analyst Megan Sutcliffe return to cover the latest escalation in the ongoing Israel-Iran shadow war.

On 19 April, Iran activated its air defences in response to reported drone incursions, likely from Israel, near air bases in Esfahan and Tabriz. The strikes followed Iran's earlier launch of drones and missiles towards Israel. The Biden administration distanced itself from the Israeli attack but confirmed that it had been notified. Sanctions against Iran were discussed. Potential scenarios include increased strikes on Iranian proxies by Israel and possible retaliatory measures from Iran. The risk of escalation is acknowledged, with the possibility of a new baseline for direct engagement. The episode concludes with a focus on future US engagement and strategic risk forecasts for the region.

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In this special episode of 'What Just Happened,' Sydney Stewart, Lead Americas analyst, and Megan Sutcliffe from the Middle East and Africa desk are filling in for Ignacio Ayala while he is on leave!

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In this episode, Ignacio Ayala discusses the recent alleged Israeli strike on the Iranian consulate in Syria with Middle East and North Africa analyst, Noam Ostfeld. The strike killed three top commanders of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), including General Mohammad Reza Zahedi, of the IRGC's Quds Force', a figure responsible for all operations in Syria and Lebanon. This marks a significant escalation in the region, as Israel had previously targeted lower-level IRGC personnel to disrupt Iran's support to its proxies. The episode delves into the potential repercussions of the strike, including Iran's vow to retaliate, concerns for Israeli assets and individuals, and the possibility of heightened tensions with Hezbollah along Israel's northern border. 

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In this episode, Ignacio Ayala is joined again by Megan Sutcliffe, associate analyst on the Middle East and Africa desk, to unravel the recent developments regarding the United Nations Security Council's ceasefire resolution for Gaza, marking a pivotal shift in U.S. foreign policy. Megan provides insights into the UN's call for an immediate ceasefire, the nuances of past resolutions, and the impact on Israel's political landscape. 

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Welcome to another episode of What Just Happened? This week, Ignacio Ayala, Lead Data and Insights analyst at Sibylline LTD, is joined by Sydney Stewart, Lead Americas analyst. Together, they unpack the resignation of Haiti's acting Prime Minister, Ariel Henry,  which has sparked widespread attention amid escalating violence and political turmoil. 

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What Just Happened? Claire Brady, Associate Analyst on the Americas desk here at Sibylline, breaks down the recent landmark ruling by the U.S. Supreme Court regarding Colorado's legal capability to bar Donald Trump from the presidential election ballot. Claire also elaborates on the role of Congress, potential implications for the upcoming primaries, and the long-term ramifications of this precedent-setting ruling. The decision, while bipartisan in nature, raises questions about the impartiality of the Supreme Court, especially as Trump faces upcoming cases, including one concerning his immunity in criminal charges related to the 2020 election.

Tune in to get a comprehensive analysis of the ruling and its impact on the election landscape. Don't miss future episodes of 'What Just Happened,' available on your favorite podcast provider!

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#SupremeCourt #Election2024 #TrumpOnBallot

*Please note, after recording this episode, a prison service in Russia's Yamalo-Nenets district announced the death of opposition leader Alexei Navalny. Therefore, discussions of the election could be subject to change as news on the fallout from Navalny's death emerges*