Trumponomics

Silencing the ‘Noise’ Behind Bad Corporate Decisionmaking


Listen Later

Much of the appeal of McDonald’s comes from the chain’s consistency. A cheeseburger in the US or a McSpicy Chicken in India should taste the same every time. But what if a business had wildly different outcomes depending on which leader was making decisions? Renowned psychologist Daniel Kahneman calls this variability “noise,” and suggests controlling it is key to ensuring the best decisions get made.

In this week’s episode, Stephanie interviews Kahneman, a best-selling author and professor emeritus at Princeton University, and Olivier Sibony, a professor of strategy at HEC Paris, about their new book, “Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment.” (Their co-author is US legal scholar Cass Sunstein of Harvard Law School.) Kahneman and Sibony argue businesses often wrongly assume their decisionmakers will make similar judgments given similar circumstances. Kahneman relates an experiment he conducted with an insurance firm and dozens of its underwriters. It’s fair to predict underwriters would reach similar conclusions about a case’s risk and put a similar dollar value on it, right? Wrong. Kahneman found judgments often varied by 50%, or five times the divergence one would reasonably expect.

Silencing that noise often means adopting good decision “hygiene,” the authors said. Many job interviews start with employers having an initial impression and spending the rest of the interview justifying it. Instead, companies should use structured interviews with standard questions that might help disprove false impressions, Kahneman said. And while many firms use artificial intelligence to weed out job candidates, they’re likely doing themselves a disservice, Sibony said. Too often, the algorithms themselves are faulty, he said. “My worry is that companies are using this mostly to save time and money, not to actually improve the quality of their decisions,” Sibony said.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

TrumponomicsBy Bloomberg

  • 4.3
  • 4.3
  • 4.3
  • 4.3
  • 4.3

4.3

345 ratings


More shows like Trumponomics

View all
Exchanges by Goldman Sachs

Exchanges

976 Listeners

Bloomberg Intelligence by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Intelligence

408 Listeners

Bloomberg Surveillance by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Surveillance

1,174 Listeners

Masters in Business by Bloomberg

Masters in Business

2,168 Listeners

Odd Lots by Bloomberg

Odd Lots

1,859 Listeners

Bloomberg Businessweek by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Businessweek

414 Listeners

Foundering by Bloomberg

Foundering

965 Listeners

Trillions by Bloomberg

Trillions

193 Listeners

Behind the Money by Financial Times

Behind the Money

229 Listeners

Here's Why by Bloomberg

Here's Why

67 Listeners

Out of Office by Bloomberg

Out of Office

31 Listeners

Listen to the Story by Bloomberg

Listen to the Story

4 Listeners

The Big Take by Bloomberg

The Big Take

156 Listeners

Into the Metaverse by Bloomberg Intelligence

Into the Metaverse

58 Listeners

Bedrock, USA by iHeartPodcasts and Bloomberg CityLab

Bedrock, USA

232 Listeners

Zero: The Climate Race by Bloomberg

Zero: The Climate Race

231 Listeners

Bloomberg Tech by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Tech

60 Listeners

The Markets by Goldman Sachs

The Markets

75 Listeners

Bloomberg News Now by Bloomberg

Bloomberg News Now

62 Listeners

Elon, Inc. by Bloomberg

Elon, Inc.

148 Listeners

The Deal with Alex Rodriguez and Jason Kelly by Bloomberg

The Deal with Alex Rodriguez and Jason Kelly

83 Listeners

Money Stuff: The Podcast by Bloomberg

Money Stuff: The Podcast

384 Listeners

Unhedged by Financial Times & Pushkin Industries

Unhedged

163 Listeners

Bloomberg Talks by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Talks

22 Listeners

Bloomberg Daybreak: Europe Edition by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Daybreak: Europe Edition

5 Listeners

In the City by Bloomberg

In the City

12 Listeners

Big Take Asia by Bloomberg

Big Take Asia

21 Listeners

The Economics Show by Financial Times

The Economics Show

138 Listeners

Bloomberg Opinion by Bloomberg

Bloomberg Opinion

7 Listeners

The Cable by Bloomberg News

The Cable

2 Listeners

IVF Disrupted: The Kindbody Story by Bloomberg and  iHeartPodcasts

IVF Disrupted: The Kindbody Story

78 Listeners