Squawk Box Europe Express

President Trump pauses the ‘Project Freedom’ operation after revealing that progress has been achieved on a potential deal with Tehran to end the conflict. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio says reopening the Strait of Hormuz is paramount, not military action. Equity markets respond positively to the news. In Asia, south Korea’s KOSPI rallies by more than 7 per cent with A.I. and chips stocks leading the way. Novo Nordisk is up ahead of the market open and hikes its guidance. The Danish pharma giant’s Wegovy weight-loss pill sales are up by more than DKK1bn.   

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The U.S.-Iranian ceasefire agreement is in danger of falling apart after Tehran targets ships in the Strait of Hormuz. The flare-up sees the UAE also engage Iranian missile and drone fire. Unicredit hikes its guidance after delivering its highest quarterly profit ever. Investor focus is now on the Italian lender’s tender off for Commerzbank due from 11am today. CEO Andrea Orcel tells CNBC he has made his intentions clear to Commerzbank shareholders. HSBC Q1 profit comes in relatively flat at $9.4bn, saying it expects credit losses. However CFO Pam Kaur tells CNBC she remains unfazed by the nature of the bank’s credit trends.  

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U.S. President Donald Trump pledges to help guide stranded tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, using as many as 15,000 troops and 100 aircraft. The European Commission is mulling a response after President Trump threatened to hike tariffs on European cars to 25 per cent after accusing the bloc of non-compliance with the trade deal struck last July. European leaders arrive in Yerevan, Armenia for the latest European Political Community summit. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer is set to discuss plans for the country to join the EU’s $90bn loan scheme to Ukraine.

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Both the ECB and the BoE decided to hold interest rates steady but warn that a June hike could be on the cards should inflation pressures connected to the Iran crisis escalate. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notch their strongest month for six years as investors look beyond the Middle East and bet on Big Tech’s A.I. progression. Apple shares are up in after-hours trade following a top and bottom line beat for the quarter. And Brent recedes back from its four-year high but remains well above the $100-mark following comments from President Trump vowing to maintain the U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

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Brent crude oil hits a war-time record of more than $123 per barrel after Axios reports U.S. President Trump is to be briefed on potential further strikes on Iran after rejecting Tehran’s offer to re-open the Strait of Hormuz. The ECB and BoE are both expected to hold rates steady later today, following on from the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep rates steady. Chairman Jerome Powell is likely to have held his final FOMC meeting which saw the highest level of dissent since 1992. U.S. futures are in the red but eh Nasdaq celebrates Big Tech earnings. Meta, however, hikes its capex guidance once more, planning an A.I. spending spree and reports its first-ever quarterly fall in active users. European equities will also start the day on the back foot with the FTSE spared the worst of the sell-off due to the rise in oil prices.

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Two of Europe’s key lenders enjoy stellar quarterly results on the back of market volatility. Deutsche Bank hikes revenue guidance after record profits while UBS notches a profit increase of 80 per cent to $3bn. CEO Sergio Ermotti said the Iranian conflict has not materially shifted client flows. The UAE shocks energy markets by announcing it is quitting Opec to free itself to ramp up production. However, energy minister Suhail Al Mazrouei tells CNBC that the country is committed to maintaining balanced oil markets.

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U.S. President Donald Trump voices displeasure at Iran’s proposal to postpone nuclear talks until after the conflict ends. Meanwhile, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz slams U.S. strategic aims in Iran. Swiss pharma giant Novartis misses quarterly sales targets, blaming generic drugs for its double-digit fall in operating profit. We hear from former NATO Secretary-General and currently Norwegian finance minister Jens Stoltenberg who says that while rising oil prices may have boosted his country’s coffers, other sectors of the economy may suffer from falling exports.  

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President Trump says Iran can pick up the phone after cancelling his envoys’ negotiation trip to Pakistan. Axios reports Tehran is to table a new proposal to end the conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz should nuclear discussions be postponed. A gunman rushes a checkpoint at the Washington Hilton hosting the White House Correspondents’ Association dinner, raising criticisms of President Trump’s security arrangements. European futures are sanguine ahead of what’s set to be a full week of blue chip earnings as well as five of the Mag Seven companies. Rate decisions from the Fed, BoJ, ECB and BoE will also be in focus later this week.

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U.S. President Donald Trump hails a three-week ceasefire extension between Israel and Lebanon and that he is willing to wait until an appropriate deal is reached with Iran in order to re-open the Strait of Hormuz. EU leaders meet at an informal summit in Cyprus for a second day with the Gulf crisis, energy security and the bloc’s budget top of the agenda. Leaders also celebrated agreement on Ukraine’s €90bn loan. Siemens Energy hikes guidance while software giant SAP notches a Q1 beat but warned that cloud growth was dependent on geo-political events in the Middle East.

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Nestlé and Heineken both post Q1 earnings beats with LSEG and Roche results out today as well. Tesla also beats in the first quarter however it misses its revenue target and hikes capex expenditure. CEO Elon Musk says his latest mass chip-building project, Terafab, will use Intel’s latest technology, pushing the company’s shares higher in after-hours trade. European futures are firmly in the red, following Asian market moves despite another record session Stateside. Iran seizes two more ships in the Strait of Hormuz, dashing hopes of further peace talks. Oil prices move up, with Brent once again over the $100-mark.  

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