Squawk Box Europe Express

The U.S. and Iran both sign their MOU for their peace framework. Crude prices tumble with hopes growing that the Strait of Hormuz will now re-open. President Trump warns the U.S. will reserve the right to retaliate should Tehran violate the deal. The Federal Reserve holds rates steady during Kevin Warsh’s first decision as chairman of the central bank, but officials say hikes loom later in the year. Warsh said his key concern is to bring inflation back to its 2 per cent target. The CEOs of Anthropic, Google and DeepMind have led calls for a U.S.-led AI coalition for the sector. Tech executives and world leaders have convened at the G7 summit in Evian, France where French President Emmanuel Macron warned against nationalistic policies within the sector.

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

More details of the U.S.-Iran peace agreement framework have been revealed with reports of a $300bn investment fund for Tehran along with renewed export capacities. We are live at the G7 summit in Evian, France where President Trump has said the deal also guaranteed Iran would no longer possess nuclear armament capabilities. A.I. and security are also in focus at the G7 with various top tech executives due to attend amid the fallout from the White House’s export control of Anthropic’s latest model. We are also live at the Vivatech conference in Paris where A.I. access and strategic autonomy will dominate the agenda. In the U.S., the Fed awaits its first decision under new chairman Kevin Warsh with the future of forward guidance crucial to the central bank.  

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

U.S. President Donald Trump arrives at the G7 summit in Evian, France, touting a win via the signing of a peace framework with Iran. The deal extends the ceasefire by 60 days and re-opens the Strait of Hormuz. Ukrainian President Volodomyr Zelenskyy is also at the summit and is due to meet leaders with EU membership discussions on the agenda. The BoJ lifts its benchmark interest rate to 1 per cent – its highest level in 30 years – seeking to normalise monetary policy and bring down inflation. Wall Street is in the green following news of the Middle East peace agreement. The Nasdaq surged 3 per cent on Monday while SpaceX shares clock a further 20 per cent in growth.

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The U.S. and Iran agree to a plan to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Negotiations about Iran’s nuclear capabilities will be discussed over the next 60 days. Crude prices fall back towards the $80-mark as President Trump declares ‘let the oil flow’. Asian equities move firmly into the green with European and U.S. futures also set to move higher. The U.S. moves to limit access to Anthropic’s most advanced models, prompting the company to restrict access altogether. President Trump heads to the G7 summit in Evian urging France to abandon its tech tax or face a 100 per cent tariff on wine exports.  

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Global investors eagerly anticipate today’s SpaceX IPO – the biggest in history – with the company raising $75bn ahead of listing. President Trump postpones strikes on Iran, saying a peace agreement could be signed as early as this weekend. Tehran has responded that a deal has not been finalised despite Trump’s claims it has the Ayatollah’s backing. Renewed talk of peace in the Gulf sparks a tech-driven market rally in Asia with the KOSPI moving into the green by more than 8 per cent. European equities are set to follow suit.

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The U.S. and Iran exchange fire for a second night with Iran targeting U.S. bases in the Gulf, vowing to target any vessels crossing the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump has voiced frustration over stalling peace negotiations. Wall Street closes in the red as investors fret over A.I. valuations, tech and surging inflation. Asian equities and European futures have followed suit. A rate hike from the ECB is anticipated later today – its first in almost three years – laying bare the impact of the conflict in the Gulf in new growth and inflation forecasts. And in luxury news, Frasers Group launches a takeover bid for Hugo Boss. It plans to buy up the remaining three quarters of the company it doesn’t already own at a price of €38 a share.

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The U.S. and Iran exchange fire following the downing of an American Apache helicopter over the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran claims to have targeted U.S. bases in Jordan, Kuwait and Bahrain as a result. Asian markets see the tech sell-off gathering pace with trade on South Korea’s KOSPI briefly pausing. The negative sentiment has infected European and American markets, which are due to start the day in the red. SpaceX is due to close its order book today ahead of Friday’s greatly anticipated and historic IPO. The company is reportedly up to 4 times over-subscribed.  

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

OpenAI decides to confidentially file to list with a reported target valuation of $1tn. Perplexity CEO Arvand Srinivas tells CNBC he hopes to take his company public in the medium term and that the success of larger companies will benefit his firm’s own growth. Israel and Iran announce they are halting attacks but leave the door open to a resumption in hostilities with President Trump sounding a positive tine about ongoing peace negotiations with Tehran.

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Israel and Iran have exchanged fire for the first time since April which pushes oil futures higher and potentially jeopardizing a peace agreement. The A.I. sell-off on Friday continues into the new week with South Korea’s KOSPI tripping circuit breakers. A stellar U.S. jobs print raises the chance of a rate hike but President Trump remains committed to lowering interest rates. In Italy, Intesa Sanpaolo is looking to hijack a likely tie-up between BPM and Monte dei Paschi, tabling an offer for all BMPS shares.

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Bankers tap the extraordinary valuation of SpaceX ahead of its listing next week. Goldman Sachs has reportedly forecast a 100-fold revenue increase by 2030 for the company. However, S&P Dow Jones Indices has ruled out a fast-track to the S&P 500, diverging from rivals Nasdaq. The AI rally stutters with the Nasdaq suffering a second day of losses while in Asia, the KOSPI nosedives. The head of OpenAI For Countries and former UK Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne tells CNBC he’s bullish on the ‘exponential’ demand for the A.I. sector. Hezbollah rejects the ceasefire deal between Israel and Lebanon while President Trump floats the possibility of a meeting with Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei should a peace agreement be reached between the Washington and Tehran.

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.