🇬🇧 Stay ahead of the markets with Swissquote

🇬🇧 Stay ahead of the markets with Swissquote

By Swissquote, Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Feyyaz AlinganBusinessNewsInvestingBusiness News
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🇬🇧 Stay ahead of the markets with Swissquote episodes

  • Speculative bets against the S&P500 rise as index hits 5000. | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
    Last Friday’s inflation revisions in the US were insignificant and hinted that inflation in the US was about the same by the end of last year. The yields rose regardless but the S&P500 and Nasdaq renewed record as net short positions in the S&P500 increased on bets of imminent correction.
    This week, the attention will be on the latest CPI updates from the US, the UK and Switzerland. Soothing US inflation should keep the doves in a state of near-euphoria.
    Elsewhere, the positive trend of crude oil since the start of this year is becoming clearer, although the topside remains hard to drill near the $80pb level. Still, the barrel of US crude extended gains above the $77pb on Friday and is upbeat this morning – in a very slow Asian session with many Asian markets closed for Chinese New Year holiday. Israel refusing the ceasefire call from Hamas supported the latest upside move last week.
    This week, OPEC and IEA will release their monthly report on Tuesday and Thursday, respectively. Attention will be paid to how they will revise their demand outlook in reaction to the global macroeconomic and geopolitical developments.
    Listen to find out more!
    11 min
  • S&P500 hits 5000 as eyes turn to US CPI revisions | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
    Appetite in risk assets remains robust. The S&P500 index shortly traded at the 5000 psychological mark before closing a few points below this level. The rally is not only fueled by rate cut expectations and AI speculation but is also backed – to some extent – by encouraging tech earnings from the stars of the league. Note that Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon and Meta generated nearly $140bn cash from their operations last quarter. That was the highest on record.
    The Bureau of Statistics will release the CPI revisions today, which consists of the revised month-over-month CPI figures for the past five years that could reveal if the downtrending US inflation numbers hide a more significant slowdown, or a late pick up. If the revisions hint at a slowing momentum in monthly inflation figures, the Fed doves should come back in charge and the dollar should ease. If the monthly revisions warn that inflation may not be slowing as fast as we think, the Fed doves will further retreat, and the dollar should gain. And if there are no major revisions, well all eyes will turn to next Tuesday, regular CPI update. And so goes life.
    The US dollar struggles to gain further momentum above the 100-DMA. The EURUSD is offered near its own 100-DMA, the yen bulls are feeling the heat of a totally unexpected return to nearly 150 level at the start of this year and we see a second positive attempt above the $76pb level, despite a 5.5-mio barrel build in the US inventories.
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    12 min
  • China’s deflating. | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
    Hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve members continued to make the headlines in the US, yesterday, with Susan Collins, Thomas Barkin and a new Fed Governor Adriana Kugler, all saying the same exact thing: that there is no hurry for the US to cut the interest rates.
    But knowing that the Fed is done hiking its rates and the expectation that the next move from the Fed will be a rate cut is enough to keep the market in a sweet spot. The US had a record-breaking auction for its 10-year bonds yesterday, where it sold $42bn worth of notes at a lower than anticipated yield, the S&P500 renewed record and traded at a spitting distance from the 5000 psychological mark. Disney followed in the footsteps of its happy tech peers yesterday and rose almost 7% in the afterhours trading.
    Sentiment was less cheery in Germany after the commercial real estate stress jumped to Germany. Meanwhile in China, the CSI traded mixed after the announcement of deeper deflation in January. Alibaba missed the opportunity to break above its down-trending channel that has been building since last August as its shares dived 6% after its sales missed expectations in the latest Q4 report.
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    11 min
  • Ethereum making a comeback? | Crypto Talk | Swissquote

    Is Ethereum making a comeback, just in time for the ETH ETF? The chart looks promising, but what are the developers working on that could make it to the comeback trade of the year?

    00:00 Intro

    00:21 Preview
    00:38 Bitcoin
    03:16 Ethereum
    06:19 Chainlink
    07:47 Subscribe & Good bye

    crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote

    Learn the fundamentals of trading at your own pace with Swissquote's Education Center. Discover our online courses, webinars and eBooks: https://swq.ch/wr

    Discover our brand and philosophy: https://swq.ch/wq

    Learn more about our employees: https://swq.ch/d5

    Let's stay connected:

    LinkedIn: https://swq.ch/cH

    9 min
  • Dragon’s Dilemma | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
    The selloff in US sovereign bonds reversed yesterday after a solid demand for the US 3-year bond auction counterweighed a bulk of hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) members.
    The S&P500 eked out a small gains even though the New York Community Bank Corp plunged another 22% on Tuesday after Moody’s downgraded its rating to ‘junk’. In the bright spot was Palantir – a data analytics company, jumped 30% after announcing AI-related revenue earlier than thought. Their commercial revenue soared by 70% compared to the same time last year as the deal flow rose to a level that no one expected before 2025.
    Elsewhere, Snap fell 32% in the afterhours trading after disappointing Q4 revenue, but it’s too small to care, and BP, in London, flirted with the 200-DMA after revealing higher than expected profits, and saying that it will buyback $1.75bn worth of shares each quarter in the H1, more than the $1.5bn buyback announced a quarter earlier.
    In China, the CSI 300 index is up for the 3rd straight session on broad-based stimulus measures and anticipation for more as Xi Jinping is being briefed on ‘the heck is going on’ in the financial markets. China is expected to post a deeper y-o-y deflation when it reveals its latest CPI figures tomorrow. The market's response may vary depending on investors' perceptions of the effectiveness of the stimulus measures.
    Listen to find out more!
    11 min
  • Goldman says $800 for Nvidia. Who bids more? | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
    The selloff in US bonds extended to a second day on the back of crowded hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) members and on the surprising strength for the US economy. The US dollar extended its rally above the 100-DMA and equities retreated, except for Nvidia – Nvidia shares gained almost 5% to a fresh high after Goldman Sachs upped its PT to $800 per share. Tesla extended losses.
    Zooming out, the OECD also warned central bankers that it’s certainly too early to declare victory on inflation because growth remains resilient, revised its US forecast higher and Euro area forecast lower. That divergence should translate into a softer euro against the dollar.
    Elsewhere, Chinese stock markets are in a better shape this morning as authorities came up with fresh measures to stop bleeding in Chinese stock markets. But all these measures are essentially attempting to turn the mill with carried water – they have been inefficient to trigger a sustained recovery and they will hardly bring investors back on board.
    Listen to find out more!
    11 min
  • Friday’s blowout jobs data hammers Fed cut bets, but not stock appetite! | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
    Friday’s abnormally strong jobs data resonated like a bomb across the financial markets. The US economy added 353’000 nonfarm jobs last month versus the consensus of around 185’000 new job additions. The average wage growth unexpectedly accelerated to 4.5%, and the unemployment rate remained steady at 3.7%.
    As such, a March rate cut from the Fed looks like a pipe dream. Activity on Fed funds futures now gives less than 20% chance for a rate cut to happen in March. And the probability of a May cut has fallen to around 70%, whereas the market was pricing a May cut near almost 100% before the jobs data.
    The dramatic jobs number of Friday met a dramatic reaction from the bond markets. The US yields jumped and the dollar rallied.
    Interestingly – and happily, the jump in the US yields and the severe retreat in Fed rate cut bets didn’t impact the stock markets AT ALL. Stock traders were in such a great mood on Friday that the good jobs data was almost welcome as a sign of strong economic growth and good future earnings. The S&P500 rallied to a fresh record.
    Listen to find out more!
    11 min
  • Big Tech mixed, focus shifts to US jobs data! | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
    Three US tech giants revealed their Q4 results yesterday, after the bell and the results were mixed. Meta jumped 15% in the afterhours trading, Amazon gained a bit more than 2.5% while Apple shares tumbled almost 3%. Today, Exxon and Chevron are due to announce how well they did last quarter.
    On the macroeconomic front, the Bank of England (BoE) kept its rates unchanged yesterday but opened the door to rate cuts mentioning ‘good news on inflation’. Cable rebounded despite a dovish takeaway from the MPC meeting as the US dollar fell sharply despite better-than-expected ISM manufacturing survey. In the euro area, inflation fell slower than expected in January. Combined with a softer US dollar, the EURUSD jumped from 1.0780, a few pips above the 100-DMA. The Swedish Riksbank also held rates steady yesterday and gave the happy news that a rate cut will be coming in H1.
    The US is expected to have added less than 200K jobs this January, for around the same pay growth of 4.1% and unemployment rate is seen ticking slightly higher to 3.8%. A reasonably weak number should revive the Federal Reserve (Fed) doves, while a strong number should melt the March rate cut expectations.
    Listen to find out more!
    11 min
  • What is up with Polkadot? | Crypto Market Talk | Swissquote

    One project we haven't talked about for a long time is Polkadot. They just recently had a developer conference with some news, that could be relevant for traders!

    00:00 Intro

    00:21 Preview
    00:31 Bitcoin
    04:02 Ethereum
    06:48 Polkadot
    09:21 Subscribe & Good bye

    crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote

    Learn the fundamentals of trading at your own pace with Swissquote's Education Center. Discover our online courses, webinars and eBooks: https://swq.ch/wr

    Discover our brand and philosophy: https://swq.ch/wq

    Learn more about our employees: https://swq.ch/d5

    Let's stay connected:

    LinkedIn: https://swq.ch/cH

    10 min
  • Fed downplays March cut bets but US regional bank worries resurface | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
    We knew that yesterday was not going to be a bright day, as Microsoft, Google and AMD have all seen a negative market reaction to their fantastic quarterly results that failed to match the huge market expectations. And a surprise Q4 loss at New York Community Bancorp revived the bank worries and sent the yields tumbling, even though the Fed pushed back on expectations of a March rate cut. He signaled talks regarding QT unwinding however!
    The US dollar swung between gains and losses yesterday, and is slightly above its 200-DMA at the wake of the latest Fed decision. The EURUSD extends losses to 1.08 psychological mark as French and German inflation figures were soft enough to keep inflation worries and the European Central Bank (ECB) hawks at bay.
    Across the Channel, the Bank of England (BoE) will give its latest policy verdict today. British policymakers will likely push back on early rate cut expectations after the latest inflation numbers in the UK revealed a mini U-turn in easing price dynamics. But Brits are expected to deliver a brighter outlook for their economy, lower inflation forecasts and open the door for rate cuts later this year.
    Listen to find out more!
    11 min

About 🇬🇧 Stay ahead of the markets with Swissquote

From the publisher's feed

Dive into the heart of the markets with MarketTalk and Crypto Market Talk, hosted by Ipek Ozkardeskaya and Feyyaz Alingan. And explore Unlocked, Swissquote’s podcast that looks beyond the markets to unlock fresh ideas, inspiring perspectives and insights to power your next move.