Stellar Spark Show

If President Trump or Joe Biden win the 2020 presidential election it will affect which candidates run in 2024 and how they will need to unify their respective parties.

I cover some early vote mail in statistics for various states and offer my insight into how that affects the 2020 presidential election. 

I cover some early vote mail in statistics for various states and offer my insight into how that affects the 2020 presidential election. 

Coronavirus has infiltrated the White House circle with President Trump testing positive for COVID last week. It is unknown what the effect will be upon the 2020 election.

In this episode, I discuss the nomination of Amy Coney Barrett to the U.S. Supreme Court, her philosophy, and background as well as its implications for the future. Judge Barrett's appointment will arguably change the composition and ideological balance of the Court for years to come. President Trump discussed this issue at the presidential debate in Cleveland on September 29th. His opponent, Joe Biden, refused to answer a question from moderator Chris Wallace regarding court packing. The 2020 election may feature a similar scenario to that of the 2000 election in which President Bush won the election in Florida by 500 votes after months of legal uncertainty. Bush v. Gore was settled by the U.S. Supreme Court. The case set important precedent for the future and it remains to be seen how this election will be decided.

In this episode, I discuss Joe Biden's weakness with Hispanic voters and what he needs to accomplish to keep the Democratic coalition together. A variety of recent polls show President Trump gaining among this demographic group which is a shift in his direction compared to 2016. Meanwhile, Biden has made efforts in Florida to reach out to Hispanic voters. Cuban and Venezulean Americans have been seeing a rightward shift over time which benefits the GOP. It remains to be seen if Biden can bring these voters into his fold in order to prevail in this election. 

In this episode, I discuss the Axios projection for November. They expect President Trump to win in a landslide on Election Day only to lose days later. This undoubtedly will cause backlash among his supporters. This projection may come as a defense as a Democratic loss may loom depending on the outcome of this race. The 2020 election still remains very winnable for Democratic nominee and former VP Joe Biden. The coronavirus will likely complicate voting in the election and make it increasingly more difficult to vote. How will this affect turnout in November?

In this episode, I discuss some demographic changes to the American electorate and its implications on the electoral college as well as state representation. I also examine how both political parties must meet the changing circumstances in terms of their platform and stances on the issues. Depending on the outcome of the 2020 U.S. presidential election, it can have wide ranging effects on the electoral strategies of both parties going into future election cycles.

President Trump is gaining on Former Vice President and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden's polling lead over the last few weeks. In 2016, President Trump had a stunning upset over former Secretary Hillary Clinton. Can he replicate that performance again in 2020? It will depend on the voting method this year due to the effects of the coronavirus pandemic.  The 2016 and 2020 presidential forecasts from most major outlets remain consistent and the same. That does not mean the result will be exactly the same due to polling error and oversampling of certain groups. 

Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. selected Senator Kamala D. Harris of California to join his presidential ticket. Harris is the third woman to be selected for the role in American history. In this episode, I discuss the electoral impact (if any) of Harris joining the ticket, its implications, and what Biden/Harris need to do in order to be successful in the election. The next major events of the 2020 campaign include the nominating conventions. The first, the 2020 Democratic National Convention, will be held next week. It remains to be seen if Harris can help effectively campaign for Biden and win over undecided voters as well as recreating the Obama coalition in order to defeat President Trump.