A weekly Nickel market review with Mark Selby Nickel Market commentator and CEO of Canada Nickel Corp.
Recording date: 18th April 2024
The nickel price has surged by a significant margin, climbing another couple of percent to reach $18,200. This marks a substantial retracement from the previous high of $18,000s. Additionally, LME inventories have seen a 3% decrease over the past week, a factor that is expected to bolster market sentiment.
Nickel and stainless prices in China pushed higher, which squeezed sulphate premiums as sulphate prices ticked a little lower – we should see this premium continue to compress back to a small premium/discount. NPI prices ticked a little higher, but discounts widened with a spike higher in nickel prices
European stainless steel prices have experienced an upward trend due to strikes at key plants. This development is likely to have a significant impact on the market, influencing future price movements.
Rho Motion reported that Global EV sales were up 21% in Q1 y-o-y, with March sales up 12%. However, slow sales in Germany, where subsidies were cut, hurt overall growth rates.
Q1 2024 vs Q1 2023:
+21% Global
+7% EU & EFTA & UK
+31% China
+13% US & Canada
+21% RoW
Company News
Horizonte Minerals – unfortunately, another leg down – announced the inability to secure financing to continue construction on the project. The position is now where lenders can enforce security on all the company’s assets leaving investors at zero.
Aston Minerals announced an updated resource. The Indicated Mineral Resource is 231 Mt at 0.27% Ni, 0.011% Co (0.30% NiEq1), a significant 44% increase. Inferred Mineral Resource is 1,039 Mt at 0.27% Ni, 0.011% Co (0.30% NiEq1), a 17% increase to Inferred tonnes compared to the February 2023 initial resource.
Canada Nickel made two announcements: awarding the FEED contract to Ausenco and a team of engineering firms that delivered FS to continue to advance Crawford towards the mid-2025 construction decision. Its subsidiary NetZero Metals announced industry-leading engineering firms SMS and Metso for steel plant design and nickel plant design.
Premium Nickel more assays from Selebi deposit – some good nickel (not ni-eq) grades and some step-outs from it's existing resource. Highlights include:
SNUG-23-070 (South Limb, within historic resource): 15.95 metres of 2.05% NiEq (1.32% Ni, 1.20% Cu, 0.07% Co)incl. 8.80 metres of 3.03% NiEq (2.07% Ni, 1.53% Cu, 0.11% Co)
SNUG-24-077 (South Limb, 26 metres down plunge of historic resource): 6.70 metres of 3.74 % NiEq (2.43% Ni, 2.19% Cu, 0.12% Co)
SNUG-24-086a (South Limb/N2, 245 meters down plunge of N2 historic resource): 9.50 metres of 1.40% NiEq (1.15% Ni, 0.29% Cu, 0.06% Co)7.05 metres of 1.73% NiEq (1.45% Ni, 0.33% Cu, 0.07% Co)
Denarius Metals – first time talking about it. The multi-asset developer announced a PFS on the restart of the Aguablanca mine previously run by Lundin. Over its 6-year life in the PFS, a total of 4.8 million tonnes will be processed from the Aguablanca underground mine, resulting in a projected life-of-mine net revenue of $480.3 million and LOM after-tax Project cash flow of $105.7 million. The PFS delivers a robust NPV5 of $83.1 million with an after-tax IRR of 213% and a payback period of 1.2 years. Potential to leverage the 5,000 tpd processing plant to recover a variety of metals, and the exploration potential, not only from the Aguablanca Project but also our nearby Lomero Project.
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