The Big Conversation

This week LSEG’s Garett Lim talks to Steve Brice, CIO of Standard Chartered Bank Wealth Management, about US interest rate expectations, the outlook for Chinese stocks and the impact of oil on Asia’s economies. Inflation is expected to peak soon but remain elevated throughout the year. Gold has been struggling but it still has a key role to play in portfolio diversification.

 

See the full series and access expert data-driven insights and news from Refinitiv: https://refini.tv/2Tq42o2

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This week, Real Vision’s Jamie McDonald examines how Fed policy makers awill djust the course of their signaled tightening cycle if equity weakness continues. Or, in other words, what is the strike of the fabled fed put? At last week’s FOMC meeting, the Fed surprised many by holding strong on hawkish policy and so investors learned that the Fed Put isn’t struck at a measly 10% down from the highs. So this begs the question: how low do markets have to go before the Fed begins to react, and with inflation now public enemy number one, is the equity market really where investors should be looking anyway? With that question in mind, McDonald highlights the Refinitiv data investors need to be watching to help determine whether the Fed is indeed hiking into a growth slowdown.

See the full series and access expert data-driven insights and news from Refinitiv: https://refini.tv/2Tq42o2

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This week Real Vision’s Roger Hirst uses Refinitiv’s best-in-class data to look at the similarities of the post-expiry bounce this week and the market lows that appeared on the first trading day after a major expiry in 2018 and 2020. Whilst there are many common features, the policy stance of the Fed and the involvement of retail investors are two potentially decisive differences between then and now.

 

See the full series and access expert data-driven insights and news from Refinitiv: https://refini.tv/2Tq42o2

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This week Real Vision’s Roger Hirst uses Refinitiv’s best-in-class data to look at the state of the economy as we approach the US tightening cycle. Whilst many indicators are still elevated, some have started to roll over. Over the last decade, the end of QE has often coincided with a peak in bond yields. Is the same about to happen again?

 

See the full series and access expert data-driven insights and news from Refinitiv: https://refini.tv/2Tq42o2

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This week Real Vision’s Roger Hirst uses Refinitiv’s best-in-class data to look at the potential market response when the Fed finally ends QE. Bond yields and growth expectations have historically fallen after QE has ended. Should it be different this time?

 

See the full series and access expert data-driven insights and news from Refinitiv: https://refini.tv/2Tq42o2

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This week Real Vision’s Roger Hirst uses Refinitiv’s best-in-class data to look at bond yields and the US dollar. Rising yields are being interpreted as a positive repricing of growth, but this close to the beginning of a new year, they could be nothing more than rebalancing trades. A tighter Fed is also expected to boost the US dollar and yields, but price action over the last 18 months suggest that the opposite may be the outcome.

See the full series and access expert data-driven insights and news from

Refinitiv: https://refini.tv/2Tq42o2

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This week Real Vision’s Roger Hirst uses Refinitiv’s best-in-class data to look at 10 charts that map out some of the key determinants for portfolio performance in 2022. Inflation might be key, but it’s the policy response and the impact on yields that will lead the way for stocks. Will investors get the direction of the dollar right, after it wrong footed the market at the beginning of 2021?

 

See the full series and access expert data-driven insights and news from Refinitiv: https://refini.tv/2Tq42o2

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This week Real Vision’s Roger Hirst uses Refinitiv’s best-in-class data to look at the two biggest actors on the global stage. Both are at an inflection point. The US might pivot toward tighter policy, whilst China might roll back some of its tighter regulation.

 

See the full series and access expert data-driven insights and news from Refinitiv: https://refini.tv/2Tq42o2

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This week Real Vision’s Roger Hirst uses Refinitiv’s best-in-class data to look at the pivot by Powell toward a policy that looks to reign in price, rather than support growth. This has significant implications for many of the consensus trades for 2022, which were based upon a loose policy remaining in place for much of next year. The Chatter reviews the outlook for the types of policy tightening in 2022 and beyond.

 

See the full series and access expert data-driven insights and news from Refinitiv: https://refini.tv/2Tq42o2

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This week Real Vision’s Max Wiethe breaks down the equity and commodity market’s reactions to the discovery of the new Omicron variant of COVID. Equity volatility spiked late last week and has remained elevated this week as bipolar markets oscilate between sharp sell-offs and rallies. As well, similar moves are playing out from the initial COVID outbreak in 2020 like energy commodities and travel stocks falling sharply. However, some things are very different this time around with work from home darlings like Zoom not seeing the same love as last time and much different landscape for central bank policy with supply chain driven inflation at much higher levels. In The Chatter segment, Roger Hirst speaks with Refinitiv’s Darrenth Hawken about how the infrastructure megatheme is evolving, focusing on the balance between encouraging sustainable infrastructure for the future while also giving enough attention legacy infrastructure and technologies that are still vital to powering the economy through the energy transition.

 

See the full series and access expert data-driven insights and news from Refinitiv: https://refini.tv/2Tq42o2

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