We've got real numbers to talk about. Early voting returns are starting to come in from key states -- which numbers really matter? We asked Simon Rosenberg to come back and give his take. What numbers have us encouraged in some key battleground states? Plus, Simon gives his three reasons why early voting is the most important thing you can do this election cycle. And is there a wild card nobody is seeing? Why might we be seeing a positive swing in Nevada and the Southwest? Plus: Why has the Democratic strategy with one key group "reshaped politics"?

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