Hey everyone. This is Kirk here again from Option Alpha and welcome back to the daily call. Today, we’re going to answer the question, “When should you exit an option trade?” I think this answer to the question is not necessarily so straightforward because when I think about exiting a trade, I think about two components. I think about exiting the trade when it’s good for the portfolio as a whole and if that is the case, then also, when it’s good for that individual trade or strategy that I’m trading. It’s both components, not one or the other because you have to start with the understanding that your portfolio is more important than one particular trade that you’re making right now. And this can be difficult for some people because they look at a trade that might be losing or that might be down, but that trade might be the trade that is holding everything else together. Maybe it’s the only bullish exposure trade that you have and if the market were to reverse, that trade is the only one that would then profit from that reversal. You cannot look at trades in a vacuum. You have to look at them in the context of a whole portfolio because that’s where they live, that’s where they sit.
And so, the first answer that you have to get over, the first hurdle you have to cross is – If I exit this position, does it dramatically shift my portfolio’s payoff diagram or my portfolio curve? And if it does, then you may have to reevaluate whether you exit the position or not. In many cases, if the market’s moving down and we start adding bearish positions to start to hedge the portfolio and basically play the move that the market’s going to have to the lower side, we might reach our traditional profit target on that strategy very early, but we may not remove the position because we need the additional downside exposure. In fact, this happened a number of times over the last couple of months where the market starts moving down, we start adding bearish positions, we reached a traditional 50% or a 25% profit target and we do not remove the position because we need the additional bearish exposure, because we actually need the continued exposure and potential premium if the market is to continue to move lower. That is a great example of when we would not adhere to traditional profit target or exit targets because the portfolio was more important.
Now, assuming that all of that stuff makes sense and your portfolio is actually good and balanced at the time that you are going to start exiting positions, then you start with the next concept which is – Is it the right time for that strategy? And in many cases, just a simple back-testing or research can lead a lot of results or yield a lot of results into the more optimal time to exit positions. Do you exit at 25%, 50%, 75%? Do you let it go all the way to expiration? Do you exit at a 3x or 4x or 5x profit taking? There’s a lot of nuance that goes into that, but generally, you’ll find if you do some back testing and research on different strategies that there are sweet spots to some strategies. Not pinpoints, but generally, clusters of performance that do well when you take profits at 25% versus 50% or holding to expiration. Then and only then do you start looking at those types of metrics as to when you should exit a position once you have first crossed over the hurdle of understanding where your portfolio sits from a balanced perspective and risk perspective, so that you can start really looking at removing the position.
Hopefully this helps out. I know it was a little bit more in-depth than maybe you thought I would do on answering this question, but as always, trying to give you guys as much value as humanly possibly here. If this helped out, let us know and until next time, happy trading.