Last time we spoke about the Drive to Kyiv and Leningrad continues. In late August 1941, the German siege of Kyiv intensified, led by General Guderian amidst a fierce defense from the Soviet Red Army under Marshal Timoshenko. As the Nazis pushed forward, their initial confidence waned under severe logistical strain and significant casualties, while the Soviets showcased resilience and tactical evolution. The month ended in bloodshed, with both sides suffering staggering losses. As September arrived, rain soaked the battlefields, further complicating efforts toward Leningrad, where Finnish troops advanced, threatening Soviet hold on the city. The Germans faced a critical moment as they lost vital supply routes. Fierce combat ensued, with the Soviets and Finnish forces engaged in relentless skirmishes that emphasized the human cost of war. Then in a enormous reversal, Hitler issued directive no. 35 altering the course for Moscow. After fighting tooth and nail against it, Hitler ultimately succumbed to the alure of taking the capital of the USSR.
This episode is the Panzer’s Greatest Victory
Well hello there, welcome to the Eastern Front week by week podcast, I am your dutiful host Craig Watson. But, before we start I want to also remind you this podcast is only made possible through the efforts of Kings and Generals over at Youtube. Perhaps you want to learn more about world war two? Kings and Generals have an assortment of episodes on world war two and much more so go give them a look over on Youtube. So please subscribe to Kings and Generals over at Youtube and to continue helping us produce this content please check out www.patreon.com/kingsandgenerals. If you are still hungry for some more history related content, over on my channel, the Pacific War Channel you can find a few videos all the way from the Opium Wars of the 1800’s until the end of the Pacific War in 1945.
Leningrad is now encircled. Guderian and Kleist, are on the brink of merging their forces just outside the ancient city of Kyiv. As the war rages on, the Red Army unleashes a relentless assault on German positions in the center. We find ourselves in the 11th week of Operation Barbarossa. The weary German Army is eyeing what could be their greatest achievement yet, but meanwhile, the Red Army plunges to new depths. Supply trucks are mired in mud as the Panzers struggle to complete the encirclement against the Southwestern Front. Last week, we witnessed the Southwestern Front and the Bryansk Front fiercely fighting to retain control over Ukraine and its capital, Kyiv. We also observed the renewed momentum of the advance on Leningrad as the Stavka reorganized the city's defenses. In a challenging turn, Army Group Center had to retreat from the Yelna salient, suffering significant casualties in the process.
The Wehrmacht now faced two daunting logistical issues involving men and machines. Neither was in massive supply by the end of the summer of 1941. By late September, an official report would put German casualties above 500,000. 14 divisions were more than 4,000 men short, 40 divisions were over 3,000 men short, and 30 divisions were more than 2,000 men short. Meanwhile, the Heer had lost nearly 1,500 tanks and artillery pieces. This accounted for about one-third of the starting force. Only 47% of the tanks across all four Panzer Groups were operational, according to a report from September 4, with many tanks requiring spare parts for repairs. Hitler had ordered that all new tank production be held in a strategic reserve in Germany, aiming to form new Panzer divisions. It would take until mid-September for Halder to convince Hitler that the plans for capturing Moscow, Operation Typhoon, required some replacements to be released. Only 96 tanks had been sent forward, just over 10% of the new production from June to the end of August. When Hitler finally allowed the strategic reserve of vehicles to be allocated for replacements, the Panzer arm was in desperate straits. On September 15, he authorized the release of 60 Czech 38(t)s, 150 Panzer IIIs, and 96 Panzer IVs along with an additional 310 replacement engines for the Panzer III. These numbers were completely inadequate. His only other concession was the transfer of two more complete Panzer divisions to the 4th Panzer Group under Hoepner. The 2nd and 5th Panzer Divisions had been unable to participate in the initial invasion due to their poor state of readiness following the Yugoslavia campaign in April. They had since been rebuilt and brought along about 450 new tanks.
However, even the entire stock of production could not have rebuilt the Panzer arm to its original numbers. Most of the new production was of modern designs, which would replace some of the obsolete models they began the invasion with. Yet, that statement doesn't capture the whole truth. Seventy-one of the approximately 800 tanks produced by German factories from June to the end of August were Panzer IIs. These vehicles had proven inadequate in France in 1940 and were certifiably obsolete by the end of the summer of 1941. Nevertheless, production did not cease that year. Remarkably, production of the Panzer II as a mainline tank continued until 1942 with production of derivatives and specialised variants continuing until 1944. As it stood, the Panzer arm was significantly reduced from its June starting point. A complete rebuilding of the force was out of the question, as there simply weren't enough available tanks. Additionally, Hitler forbade any attempts to fully restore the Panzer divisions. Instead, they were forced to amalgamate and make do with what they had. The Heer would have to undertake Operation Typhoon with their diminished resources. There was no other option.
Highlighting the logistical issues facing the Germans, might lead you to believe that the situation was much worse on the Soviets. The summer of 1941 indeed represented a Soviet debacle of grand proportions, marked by mass confusion and enormous waste of men and material. However, it remains a fact that these losses, while dreadfully costly to the Soviet war effort, were bearable. In fact, far from crumbling, the Red Army was growing in size, fueled by a vast pool of non-active reserves. Moreover, unlike the German Army, the Red Army didn't have to win the war in 1941; it only needed to survive long enough for Germany’s offensive strength to exhaust itself. The winter granted the Soviet Union a reprieve, further sweetened by the entry of the United States into the war. Thus, despite the Red Army's weaknesses in the summer of 1941, it succeeded fundamentally in one key respect,it confounded the German leadership’s plan to conquer the Soviet Union in a Blitzkrieg-style campaign during the early weeks of the war. As Historian Jacob Kipp concluded in his study on the Battle of Smolensk “At a horrible cost in losses, Russia gave up her sons and her land to bleed the Wehrmacht white, even if the losses were 10 to 1 in favour of the German invader. Nazi ideology and occupation policies in the end made such sacrifices seem justified and legitimized Soviet totalitarianism . . . After Smolensk it was clear that this would be a long war, not a Blitzkrieg. The Soviet state and society, which Lenin and Stalin had cast as a vast mechanism for mobilization and militarization, had begun that process in earnest”.
By the time German armies were able to reassemble for their renewed drive on Moscow designated Operation Typhoon, it would already be September 30. The available combat strength and logistical support had fallen far below what would be required to seize the Soviet capital. Following the pattern of earlier offensives, the attack began well and again took advantage of the dreadful Soviet strategic direction to capture another huge haul of Soviet prisoners in two enormous pockets. As Halder recorded on October 4: ‘Operation Typhoon is following an altogether classic course... The enemy is standing fast on all parts of the front not under attack, which gives hope for the creation of pockets.’
However, as in past German offensives, the pace could not be sustained. Over vast distances, the spearheads weakened as their flanks grew, and their supply lines became impossibly long. Soviet counterattacks became relentless. Road conditions worsened along with the weather, and soon German troops everywhere found themselves in freezing temperatures with little more than their worn-out summer uniforms. Deprived of the chance to win the war, or even to escape the slogging battles of attrition, Germany's stalled eastern front underwent rapid de-modernization. This intensified the bitter deprivations of life at the front, especially as winter took hold. As one German soldier wrote in December 1941: ‘Technology no longer plays a role... The elemental power of nature broke the operations of our engines. What do we do?’
Summarizing the first two years of the war, Michael Geyer observed: ‘However successful the first two years of the war, the Third Reich never came close to escaping the dilemma posed by the fact that the political and military-strategic costs of expansion continuously outran the benefits of a newly gained hegemonic position.’ When the hoped-for lightning victory against the Soviet Union proved beyond the Wehrmacht’s capacity, a longer-term, war-winning solution was all that remained open to Germany. However, the prospects of success for this option can be immediately dismissed. As Historian Omer Bartov has written “Once blitzkrieg failed, production, industrial capacity, material and manpower resources, organisation and technical skill, all became more important than tactics, training, and courage. Of course blitzkrieg itself depended on technology, indeed, it made a fetish of modern fighting machines. But now technological innovation had to be paralleled by quantities produced, while the initial psychological impact of mass (but spatially and temporally limited) use of modern weaponry lost much of its force. In this area Germany had no chance of competing successfully with its enemies.”
Raw statistics make this clear. In 1941, German industry managed to produce a total of 5,200 tanks, 11,776 aircraft, and 7,000 artillery pieces over 37mm. In the first half of 1941, the Soviet Union produced 1,800 modern tanks, 3,950 aircraft, and 15,600 artillery pieces and mortars. What is extraordinary is that these figures rose considerably in the second half of 1941, despite the loss of important production centers and the massive industrial relocation to the east. In the midst of the war on its doorstep, Soviet factories turned out another 4,740 tanks, 8,000 aircraft, and 55,500 artillery pieces and mortars. Thus, the Soviet Union outperformed Germany in all major armaments even in the first year of the war, and thereafter, production almost always exceeded losses in the main categories.
Now back to the frontline. Army Group North completed cutting off Leningrad by the end of the first week of September. September 8 is marked as the first day of the formal siege of the city. The Germans intended to completely blockade the Soviets, preventing anyone and anything from escaping. Leeb planned to reach the eastern shores of Lake Ladoga with his armor, thereby stopping the Soviets from supplying the city across the lake. Due to Hitler’s order on September 6, Leeb was forced to transfer the 41st, 56th, 57th Motorized divisions, and 8th Air Corps to Army Group Centre by September 15. He would be left with only two motorized divisions and one Panzer division. Later, as a concession, Leeb would be allowed to keep hold of a second Panzer division. Realizing he needed everything he could to accomplish his mission, he moved up his timetables. The city was still strongly defended, as the Soviets had been preparing their defenses for weeks. Three armies, with a total of 452,000 men, held the perimeter. The various divisions and smaller units that comprised these armies were in varying states of readiness. To supplement these forces, three divisions of People's Militia had been raised from the city’s population. The People’s Militia divisions, also known as the DNO or Division of Narodnoe Opolcheniye, were raised from the civilian population and received little formal training. Equipped with whatever was available, these units were theoretically considered irregular forces. However, many of them fought in Leningrad as regular infantry divisions. Over time, some of these divisions were formally designated as regular units, with a few even being recognized as Guards units. The Baltic Fleet was also present in the harbor, consisting of two battleships and several smaller ships. They provided significant gunfire support to the defenders during the siege, firing 358 barrages that delivered 9,368 shells in September alone.
East of the encircled city, the Northwestern Front was rebuilding, attempting to break the siege and maintain the supply connection across Lake Ladoga. The 85,000-strong 54th Army was assembling at Volkhov while the remnants of the 48th Army held the frontline. The Soviet defenses formed a rough triangle around Leningrad, bounded by Krasnogvardeysky in the south, Lake Ladoga and the Neva River in the east, and the Baltic in the west.Leningrad was already beginning to feel the effects of the encirclement as Leeb had brought up his large siege guns in the first week of September. The siege guns of Army Group North included the 240mm K-3, manufactured by Krupp. Approximately six of these guns were present at Leningrad, deployed under the second battalion of the 84th Artillery Regiment. Later in the siege, at least one of the massive 280mm Bruno guns was brought to bear on the city as well. Additionally, the 18th Army possessed a battalion of 210mm Mörser 18 guns, further enhancing the artillery capabilities aimed at the besieged city.
As the second week began, the bombardment intensified, with the massive artillery pieces complemented by large-scale Luftwaffe bomber raids. One such raid ignited a fire at the Badaev warehouse, which stored the majority of Leningrad’s food supplies. The Germans commenced their assault on September 9. The 4th Panzer Group held the western lines around the city, with Reinhardt’s 41st Corps serving as the main effort in this push. Their objective was to take Krasnogvardeysky and push through Krasnoe Selo to punch a hole in the Soviet defenses west and south of the city. The attack was successfully spearheaded by the 36th Motorized Infantry for 10 kilometers before being halted by concentrated land and naval artillery fire. The next day, they faced a counterattack from the 42nd Army following a significant preparatory artillery barrage. A stalemate developed in the area between Krasnoe Selo and Krasnogvardeysky. Later that day, the 1st Panzer was committed, achieving some initial success, but more reinforcements were needed to break through the Soviet defenses. Reinhardt then deployed his last reserve formation, a single Panzer battalion from the 8th Division, but this did not decisively shift the battle in favor of the Germans. By September 12, it was Voroshilov’s turn to send his last reserves into the fight, including a Naval Infantry Brigade and the newly formed 5th People's Militia Division. Despite these efforts, Krasnoe Selo fell, and Krasnogvardeysky was being outflanked, while Pulkovo held firm. Although there was a small opportunity to capitalize on their success, additional reinforcements were necessary, but none were available, as the 8th Panzer was still reorganizing after its heavy losses in August.
Leeb received explicit orders that the 41st Corps had to be transferred “in good condition,” despite its role as the offensive spearhead. He was also informed that the Soviet 54th Army had begun to attack his flanks, forcing him to desperately reorganize his line to cover the gap created by the imminent departure of the majority of his Panzer Group. Leeb needed to concentrate enough force for another attempt at capturing the city while keeping the outer lines of the blockade secure from Soviet attacks. Reinhardt was instructed to make one final assault before being allowed to redeploy. During this week, Zhukov replaced Voroshilov, who was ordered to return to Moscow and report directly to Stalin.
Voroshilov was having quite a rough few…years to say the least. He had commanded Soviet troops during the Winter War from November 1939 to January 1940. However, mostly due to poor Soviet planning and Voroshilov's incompetence as a general, the Red Army suffered approximately 320,000 casualties compared to 70,000 Finnish casualties. When the leadership gathered at Stalin's dacha in Kuntsevo, Stalin apparently shouted at Voroshilov for the losses, to which Voroshilov screamed back blaming the failure on Stalin for eliminating the Red Army's best generals during the purges. This heated exchange culminated in Voroshilov smashing a platter of food on the table, as told to us through Nikita Khrushchev who went on to say it was the only time he ever witnessed such behavior towards Stalin. Voroshilov was made the scapegoat for the initial failures in Finland and was later replaced as Defense Commissar by Semyon Timoshenko. Subsequently, he was appointed Deputy Premier responsible for cultural matters.
Then between 1941 and 1944, he served as a member of the State Defense Committee. Following the German invasion of the Soviet Union in June 1941, Voroshilov became the commander of the Northwestern Direction from July to August 1941, overseeing several fronts. In September 1941, he commanded the Leningrad Front, where he worked alongside military commander Andrei Zhdanov as German advances threatened to encircle the city. Voroshilov displayed considerable personal bravery amidst heavy shelling at Ivanovskoye, even rallying retreating troops and leading a counterattack against German tanks armed only with a pistol. However, the style of counterattack he employed had long been abandoned by military strategists and earned him contempt from his colleagues. He ultimately failed to prevent the Germans from surrounding Leningrad that got him dismissed from his post. Despite all of this he survived until 1969, lived to be 88. Now after he was canned, his plan to demolish Leningrad’s military facilities was canceled, and a no-step-back order was issued with a penalty of death for any violations. Zhukov was becoming Stavka's fixer, and he focused on preparing Leningrad for a prolonged conflict. He organized further call-ups of local civilians into the militia divisions to bolster defenses.
Zhukov knew he wouldn't have long before Reinhardt's hammer blow struck, resulting in German gains despite frantic counterattacks, aerial bombardment, and artillery fire. All his attempts at a planned counteroffensive were preemptively foiled by the Germans, who attacked first. Zhukov could only feed reserves into local counterattacks while trying to establish a fresh second echelon defensive line, formed by the 16th Army and stretching from the Gulf of Finland to the Neva River. Commanders were strictly forbidden by both Stalin and Zhukov from removing any troops from this line. The Germans reached the Gulf of Finland after capturing Uritsk on the 16th, isolating a Soviet Army in the Oranienbaum bridgehead. Although German assaults eventually captured Krasnogvardeysky, they became bogged down shortly after against a fortified region.
Army Group Centre experienced a relatively quiet week as preparations for the upcoming Operation Typhoon continued. Field Marshal Bock spent much of the month advocating to the OKH for more resources and requesting that formations be kept from being pulled south. Despite the quietness, there was ongoing small-scale attritional fighting along the frontline, particularly affecting the 4th and 9th Armies. This continued even though the Western and Reserve Fronts had switched to a defensive posture. Assaults on the German lines were preceded by hours of continuous artillery barrages, reflecting a supply situation that seemed untenable to the invaders. German artillery had been rationing ammunition for weeks, leading many Wehrmacht soldiers to express disbelief that the Soviets could sustain their forces with such an abundance of ammunition. While this fighting gradually depleted the strength of both sides, there was no imminent risk of a major breakthrough by the Soviets. With the center appearing stable, the focus of both STAVKA and OKH had shifted southward.
Stalin's obstinacy regarding Kyiv, despite all advice from his military advisors, makes little sense from a purely military perspective. However, the city was the third largest in the USSR and held significant historical importance. Abandoning it would have been politically devastating, potentially undermining the morale of the defenders in Leningrad and Odessa. Furthermore, Stalin was eager to demonstrate to the USA and the UK that the USSR was worthy of receiving aid. If it appeared that the USSR was on the verge of capitulation, support would likely diminish. Therefore, Kyiv could not be abandoned without a fight. Stalin had requested that Churchill establish a second front against Germany or, failing that, deploy twenty to thirty British divisions into the USSR as an expeditionary force. This request was refused as impossible. Although Stalin recognized the danger posed by Guderian’s advance southward, he severely overestimated the capabilities of the Red Army while underestimating the strength of the German divisions. He believed Guderian was likely positioning himself for a future flanking offensive against Moscow, rather than attempting to encircle the forces at Kyiv. Even if Guderian continued south, Stalin maintained confidence that Eremenko could contain the unfolding disaster.
Eremenko was struggling to hold back Guderian's advances, despite being promoted and receiving reinforcements. On the 7th, Marshal Shaposhnikov and his deputy Vasilevsky approached the Soviet dictator, seeking permission for the South Western Front to withdraw. Random factoid, over on the Pacific War week by week podcast, I am covering the Soviet Invasion of Manchuria in 1945, and mr Vasilevsky basically ran the show. Their request was initially denied. After much pleading, they were granted permission for localized withdrawals for the 5th and 37th Armies, but no further measures were allowed. Vasilevsky: “In other words, this was a half-way measure. The mere mention of the urgent need to abandon Kiev threw Stalin into a rage and he momentarily lost his self-control. We evidently did not have sufficient will-power to withstand these outbursts of uncontrollable rage or a proper appreciation of our responsibility for the impending catastrophe on the Southwestern direction.” Budyonny and Zhukov were just two of the officers demoted for challenging Stalin over Kyiv.
As for Guderian, the rain continued to turn the landscape into impenetrable mud throughout the second week. The mud had not only slowed the advance but disabled a lot of combat and logistical vehicles. To operate the vehicles had to operate in lower gear which spiked their fuel consumptions further. One estimate was that instead of the normal 300 litres of fuel per 100km fuel consumption was now 15,000 liters per 100km with that increasing again by 100 to 200% cross country. His movements in the first week had not impressed Bock, and their already tenuous relationship was strained further by the slow pace of the advance. However, Guderian and Weichs' 2nd Army offensives began to exploit some cracks in Eremenko’s crumbling front. On the 10th, Model’s 3rd Panzer Division broke through one of these gaps and raced to Romny, which was intended to be the meeting point between Guderian and Kleist. However, there was no sign of Kleist; in fact, he had yet to initiate his offensive. Fortunately, Romny had been a major staging area for the Red Army, and Model’s breakthrough was so sudden and rapid that he managed to capture significant stockpiles of supplies there, alleviating some of their logistical issues. This is just one example among hundreds from the first few months of Operation Barbarossa, illustrating how fate afforded the Germans opportunities that they could not have relied upon. However, sooner or later, they would find that luck would begin to turn against them. Model’s fuel stocks were nearly depleted, and there had not been enough to send his supply trucks back. It was uncertain whether Schweppenburg even had the necessary supplies for replenishment, even if the trucks arrived. If not for the supply dump captured at Romny, September could have turned out much worse for the 3rd Panzer Division and, consequently, for Guderian’s entire offensive. However, Model found himself in a precarious situation, as the small forward elements he had stationed in Romny were completely isolated.
Elsewhere, more of Guderian’s divisions began to experience sudden success, but this expansion also significantly increased the length of the frontline that needed to be defended. The 47th Panzer Corps found itself tasked with holding a 150 km stretch of the frontline; by the 13th, it had lost its last reconnaissance plane, with no replacements available. Overstretched and effectively blind, the Corps’s best hope was that the enemy would not be in a position to mount a strong attack against them. Fortunately, the 40th Army’s line was in disarray, and confusion reigned among their ranks as they struggled to grasp the situation. Communication was ineffective, forcing them to pull back to reorganize their lines. However, three large Soviet columns were spotted marching towards Romny and two other towns bridging the Sula River. On the morning of the 11th, Model dispatched a forward detachment to advance south to Lukhovitsy. If Kleist was not going to reach Model, then Model would push on to reach Kleist with the remnants of Guderian’s spearhead. Lukhovitsy and its bridge were captured on the 13th, and the Kampfgruppe quickly dug in to repel any Soviet attempts to escape, while also hoping for reinforcements and air support. With Guderian’s offensive now spent, it fell to Army Group South to complete the encirclement.
When Dnipropetrovsk was captured on August 26th, it was accomplished by Kleist’s motorized infantry in conjunction with the Panzers. However, when the infantry struggled to expand the bridgehead across the river, relocating the tanks became pointless until a secure foothold was established, either at Dnipropetrovsk or elsewhere. Even after the bridgehead at Kremenchuk was secured and expanded, preparations for the breakthrough offensive took significant time. It wasn't until September 10th that three Infantry Corps of the 17th Army finished deploying across the river, which meant Kleist could not initiate his crossing until the 11th. This delay provided an opportunity for Kleist’s Panzer divisions to restore their strength, achieving up to 100 operational tanks in three of the four divisions, while the fourth managed to regain only 79 tanks. Estimates indicated that the pre-refit Panzer Group had been degraded to approximately one-third of its initial pre-invasion strength but was eventually restored to about 50% effectiveness. Several Panzer divisions underwent their refit near Dnipropetrovsk, which may have misled Kirponos regarding German intentions. This deception resulted in the German bridgehead at Dnipropetrovsk facing significant Red Army attacks, as more Soviet reinforcements were funneled into the heavy fighting there. Despite this, the 38th Army at Kremenchuk suffered severe losses, with 40,000 casualties and 279 tanks lost due to repeated failed assaults against the German infantry holding the bridgehead.
Zeitzler was finally permitted to withdraw from the Dnipropetrovsk bridgehead on the 10th. Thirteen artillery detachments had been transported across in an attempt to expand the bridgehead, and withdrawing them alone would take nearly six days. Given the upcoming offensive at Kremenchuk, it seemed futile to withdraw, so Zeitzler requested to be relieved by the infantry of the 17th Army instead, a request that was approved. Fighting in Dnipropetrovsk continued well after Kleist broke out at Kremenchug. It was not until September 15th that the 14th Motorized Corps launched an attack in the rear of the 6th Army, relieving some of the pressure on the Germans at Dnipropetrovsk. Notably, the Italian Expeditionary Corps also found success in this assault, marking one of their first major operations in the Eastern Theater. Ultimately, the CSIR would consist of just 62,000 men, intended to be among the best Italy had to offer, so as not to create a poor impression alongside the other Axis allies. When Keitel laid eyes on them upon their arrival on the eastern front at the end of August, he scornfully described the force as "a boundless disappointment," noting that the officers were far too old and that the troops amounted to "half-soldiers" incapable of standing up to the Red Army. Even Hitler disparagingly referred to the Italians as nothing more than "harvest hands." In any case, the Italians were too few in number and arrived too late on the eastern front to have any significant impact on the fortunes of Germany’s 1941 campaign.
Kleist’s offensive finally commenced on the morning of the 12th. Hube’s 16th Panzer, supported by artillery and air force, shattered two Soviet rifle divisions and raced to Semenovka by the afternoon. However, Hube’s advance was halted 15 km short of Khorol due to running completely out of fuel. This situation was worsened by the mud, which slowed the following 9th Division, still in the process of crossing the river. Had there been any Red Army forces with sufficient strength or mobility, Hube’s isolated division would have faced a serious risk of counterattack and potential destruction. After refueling overnight, the 16th Panzer pushed to Lubny, moving 40 km from Model’s advanced Kampfgruppe. There, the Panzers were stopped until the next day by fierce resistance from the NKVD, local worker militias, and an anti-aircraft battery. Subsequent attacks by the 17th Army and the rest of Kleist’s divisions led to the near disintegration of Feklenko’s 38th Army. Over the following two days, Kleist managed to get three Panzer divisions across the river, supported by the 48th Motorized Infantry Corps. The Soviet 47th Tank Division attempted a flank attack against Kempf’s Motorized Corps, but its remaining few dozen light tanks made little impact. With several Panzer divisions now positioned behind their lines, panic began to spread across the entire Southwestern Front, causing both its southern and northern positions to crumble under the weight of the German infantry offensives.
By the end of the 13th, it was clear that Kirponos was doomed. Only the 38th and 40th Armies remained operational. The 38th was nearly shattered from the fighting at Kremenchug, while the 40th was poorly positioned to offer assistance. There were no reserve armies available to break the encirclement, and Kirponos was constrained to unfavorable defensive positions due to Stalin's directives. With more than 200 km between them and safety at the Eastern frontlines, each day's delay condemned thousands to their fate. The initial breakout attempts were carried out by rear-area supply troops who lacked heavy weapons and a cohesive command structure. Despite being extremely outnumbered, Model’s forces managed to hold onto the river crossings. Although the main bridges were secured by the Germans, the encirclement was not completely sealed. Along Guderian’s line, breakout attempts led to several unexpected battles. One notable instance involved Schweppenburg’s 24th Panzer Corps command post being abruptly attacked by a Soviet column and nearly overrun. Ultimately, the 9th Panzer broke through to Model’s position at Lukhovitsy, officially closing the encirclement on the 15th. The convergence of small units from opposing sides during an encirclement is often regarded as the defining moment marking the end of the encirclement. At this stage, the battle is typically considered resolved. However, the reality on the ground is often quite different. Breakout attempts occurred in every major encirclement on the Eastern Front, and the Battle of Kyiv was no exception. Additionally, the mere meeting of the two halves does not ensure that the pocket has been effectively closed. For days, or even weeks, a pocket could remain unsealed, despite what operational maps at headquarters might indicate.
Out of 261,696 men and 259 tanks committed to combat in an attempt to stop Guderian, the Bryansk Front suffered approximately 100,000 casualties and lost 140 tanks. Fewer than 200,000 men remained available for combat across the entire Bryansk front. Stalin had placed too much faith in Eremenko, despite repeated requests for a change from other officers. Eremenko’s offensives had drained the Red Army’s offensive capabilities, although the Germans remained unaware of this depletion. Concern rippled through the chain of command regarding the exposed position of the 2nd Panzer Group. Some of its divisions were tasked with covering frontages of over ninety kilometers—a challenging prospect even under optimal conditions. However, the unfamiliar terrain and poor supply lines meant the already weakened divisions were being stretched to their limits. It was the frailty of Eremenko’s front and the Stavka’s inability to orchestrate a strong offensive anywhere along the line that saved the 2nd Panzer Group from being encircled. While German soldiers were exhausted, the decisive blow never landed. The Red Army was in an even worse state. The war began to resemble a matchup between two punch-drunk boxers, swaying back and forth, exchanging blows without the strength to finish the fight. Stalin’s refusal to permit a retreat had facilitated the encirclement of the Southwestern Front, leaving only one question: How severe would the impending disaster be? Would the Red Army endure?
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As the German siege of Kyiv intensified, General Guderian led an aggressive push against the resilient Soviet Red Army. Despite initial successes, the Nazis faced severe logistical challenges and heavy casualties as rain turned battlefields into mud. Meanwhile, Hitler's changing directives hampered operations, leading to a stalled advance on Moscow. By September, the brutal realities of war shifted tactics, and both sides prepared for a long, grueling conflict. The fight was far from over.