Retirement Starts Today

The (F)Law of Averages


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The (f)law of averages challenges a dangerous assumption we see far too often in retirement planning: The use of average life expectancy as a reliable planning target. 

The question is: If you make it to retirement - are you already above average - and if that’s true, how do we use that in our planning? 

I share six key takeaways from the article:

  1. Life expectancy is an average, not a prediction
  2. The mode — not the mean — may be more useful for planning 
  3. Life isn’t neat and tidy
  4. Even “complete” life expectancy isn’t safe to use
  5. Relying on life expectancy is a planning shortcut — and not a good one
  6. The better tool is the survival curve

After that, I answer a listener question: Can you really self-insure for long-term care and use the tax code to make your dollars go further? One listener heard about using the medical expense deduction to offset the cost of care — and wants to know which types of care actually qualify. So, what does qualify?

Resource:

Article by Jeffrey Dellinger in Advisor Perspectives:  Life Expectancy: The (F)Law of Averages 

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Retirement Starts TodayBy Benjamin Brandt CFP®, RICP®

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