The Global Gambit

Israel and Hezbollah are on the brink of full-scale as the President Benjamin Netanyahu seriously considers sending the IDF into Lebanon. However, Hezbollah is not Hamas, being far more powerful and the flagship proxy of the Islamic Republic of Iran, which could threaten escalating the war across the Middle East as the Ayatollah's don't want to lose such a military and strategic asset.

This time l am joined by Ryan Bohl, Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst at RANE (Risk Assistance Network + Exchange) to discuss this latest escalation. I challenged Ryan on how likely a Israel-Hezbollah war is, who and which assets are most at risk, how Netanyahu is costing the Israeli economy, whether the US can reign in Israel or prevent full-scale conflict, and if Iran could get pulled in.

Follow me for More

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

Support my Work

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit
• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Please leave the show a rating - its quick, easy and free to do, but helps tremendously.

Read as well as listen as l overthink for you: https://substack.com/@pyotrskurzin

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit
• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Leave a quick rating—it's free, easy, and honestly, the least you can do after I've blessed your ears with such wisdom. Where would you be without me?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

China thinks 'its their historical right to be' the world's foremost power, and the US 'doesn't have a moment to waste' in adequately preparing or responding to the flashpoint that could bring the 21st centuries largest powers to war: War over Taiwan. We truly are in a Cold War II and its time we stop kidding ourselves.

That's according to Dmitri Alperovitch - Dmitri Alperovitch, Chairman of Silverado Policy Accelerator, Co-Founder of Crowdstrike, and author of the new book 'World on the Brink. A prolific voice in the areas of geopolitics, grand strategy, and cybersecurity, I challenged Dmitri to explain why he thinks we're in Cold War 2.0, what a Chinese invasion would look like, how the US needs to step up, and each's shortcomings and volatiles that could worsen escalation risks even more.

Pick up Dmitri's book: https://www.amazon.co.uk/World-Brink-America-Twenty-First-Century/dp/1541704096.

Watch this interview and more on the YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg

Read as well as listen as l overthink for you: https://substack.com/@pyotrskurzin

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit
• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Leave a quick rating—it's free, easy, and honestly, the least you can do after I've blessed your ears with such wisdom. Where would you be without me?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Thanks to all who support my work on Patreon - you make this possible If you'd like bonus content, your own questions put to guests, and appreciate my efforts to bring diverse, nuanced conversations consider joining as a patron too or buying me a one-off coffee.

Due to being MIA for so long - here is another episode! Normal service of the show will resume hereon-out, with 2 episodes a month. If you want more, subscribe to the YouTube.

The Russia-Ukraine War is the most documented conflict in history. One of the darkest, toughest parts is recording evidence to expose Putin's war crimes and hold this war in line to international humanitarian law (law of armed conflict). A pioneer in this is Oleksandra Matviichuk, a Ukrainian human rights lawyer, head of the Center for Civil Liberties and a 2022 Nobel Laureate.

We cover the importance of the US aid package to Ukraine, Oleksandra touring America and rallying Congress for support, her work documenting Russian war crimes, why the Russia Ukraine War is threatening human rights international humanitarian law (law of armed conflict) and much more.

Read as well as listen as l overthink for you: https://substack.com/@pyotrskurzin

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit
• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Leave a quick rating—it's free, easy, and honestly, the least you can do after I've blessed your ears with such wisdom. Where would you be without me?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Israel and Iran’s clashes over April 2024 has left the Middle East in state of permacrisis. While immediate threat of war escalation seems to have subsided, the long term geopolitical implications are unprecedented. Many consider this to be a new reality for the region and how we interpret developments.

To explain why, Bilal Saab - professor at Georgetown’s School of Foreign Service & Dr Sanam Vakil - Director of Chatham House’s MENA programme, joined me for this extraordinarily timely conversation.

Follow the show for updates and content:

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

Support the Show

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit
• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Read as well as listen as l overthink for you: https://substack.com/@pyotrskurzin

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit
• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Leave a quick rating—it's free, easy, and honestly, the least you can do after I've blessed your ears with such wisdom. Where would you be without me?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Since Oct 7th the world has been rocked by the Israel-Hamas War. That has caused a series if escalations, including the ongoing Houthi disruptions to maritime security and global commercial shipping.

Its so severe, the US and UK have initiated airstrikes in Yemen, but has made little difference and if anything only emboldens the Houthis more and who say they wont stop until Israel ceases its operations in Gaza. However, the long-term of these events on shipping are unprecedented, and not merely about the Houthis actions, but those of the ship insurers, explains Sal Dr. Salvatore Mercogliano - Chair of the Department of History, Criminal Justice and Politics at Campbell University. And the ramifications really are redefining global economic processes as well as geopolitical tensions.

Follow for the LIVE Shows

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

Support the Show

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit

• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Please drop a like and share around - it REALLY supports independent shows like GG and only takes a few clicks!

Read as well as listen as l overthink for you: https://substack.com/@pyotrskurzin

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit
• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Leave a quick rating—it's free, easy, and honestly, the least you can do after I've blessed your ears with such wisdom. Where would you be without me?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

South Asia - or the Indian subcontinent to others - is going through a concentrated set of shifts. Three of the main players - Bangladesh, Pakistan and India, all have major elections next year with each proposing potentially different directions - but which?

Returning guest, Michael Kugelman, Director of the South Asia Program at the Wilson Centre sat down with me to outline, the challenges and details of these 3 countries on the geopolitical landscape. And while they all share elections, the reasons for, and potential consequences from, vary significantly, in a globe already highly unpredictable.

Follow for LIVE Shows

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

Support the Show

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit

• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Please drop a like and share - it REALLY supports independent shows like GG and only takes a few clicks!

Read as well as listen as l overthink for you: https://substack.com/@pyotrskurzin

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit
• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Leave a quick rating—it's free, easy, and honestly, the least you can do after I've blessed your ears with such wisdom. Where would you be without me?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The United Nations Climate Change Conference - known to most as COP - and in this case, COP28, is the highest-level of international engagement and gathering to find collective solutions to the globe's greatest collective challenge.

Yet, COPs have poor reputations, with little tangible products or outcomes occurring - other than an agreement of inaction. But, as l spoke to Nazanine Moshiri - senior analyst at the International Crisis Group and attending COP28, this years began with an uplifting start - implementation of the loss and damage fund. But that's just the start, and as Nazanine made clear, there is real need to include one specific aspect: climate-conflict and security challenges.

Follow for the LIVE Shows

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

Support the Show

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit

• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Please drop a like and share around - it REALLY supports independent shows like GG and only takes a few clicks!

Read as well as listen as l overthink for you: https://substack.com/@pyotrskurzin

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit
• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Leave a quick rating—it's free, easy, and honestly, the least you can do after I've blessed your ears with such wisdom. Where would you be without me?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

2023 was a big year for multinational, multi-forum events, ranging from the G20 to BRICS to the annual UN General Assembly. But of these, the concept and symbolism of BRICS is often the one that captures the minds of people, especially those who tend to have anti-Western sentiments and desire for a multipolar order.

But why this fascination, arguably infatuation for the BRICS? Is it purely about it removing the US hegemony or something else? What of the expansion consisting of 6 new members? My guest Ali Wyne, senior analyst in Global Macro at Eurasia Group, joined me for an in-depth conversation and exchange of ideas in this thoroughly enlightening yet entertaining episode.

Follow for Live Shows

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

Support the Show

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit

• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Please drop a like and share around - it REALLY supports independent shows like GG and only takes a few clicks!

Read as well as listen as l overthink for you: https://substack.com/@pyotrskurzin

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit
• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Leave a quick rating—it's free, easy, and honestly, the least you can do after I've blessed your ears with such wisdom. Where would you be without me?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Since the Oct 7th, the world has been rocked by events that many have always agonised and speculated - escalation and war between Israel and Gaza, specifically Hamas. From there, we have witnessed continued intensification, with a growing fear over the possibility of a regional war.

Much of this rests on the near-inevitable ground operation the Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) will undertake - the severer, harsher their approach, the more it might trigger a response from others, namely Hezbollah, because of a need to protect, defend, and similar motivations to their brethren. But what could that look like? What form of operations, what broader strategic objectives? And what about the relevance of external forces, such as US input, Iranian support and more?

Guests, Bryan Cunningham - former CIA analyst, and Patrick Fox, USAF Veteran, broke down some of the details from their experiences on this highly sensitive, hugely complex matter. Indeed, this podcast isnt attempting to cover all aspects and historical context, merely provide some takes to better make sense of the situation.

Follow for Live Shows

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

Support the Show

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit

• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Please drop a like and share around - it REALLY supports independent shows like GG and only takes a few clicks!

Read as well as listen as l overthink for you: https://substack.com/@pyotrskurzin

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit
• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Leave a quick rating—it's free, easy, and honestly, the least you can do after I've blessed your ears with such wisdom. Where would you be without me?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Context

Since June 24th 2016, the UK has had its entire economy, society and political environment largely defined by a singular issue - Brexit. The word itself, before diving into anything at all, is a source of contention.

Yet, very little to many, including myself, has changed. Certainly not in terms of improvements. Merely a country that is suffering an identity crisis as much as it is political turmoil, economic stagnation and social polarisation.

However, it doesnt necessarily need to stay that way, and are there still ways to make the most of it? Can we realise 'buccaneering Britain'? Or will be remain at risk of 'boiling the frog' - both these analogies and more are outlined by Peter Foster, Public Policy Editor at the Financial Times in this episode and his new book.

Follow for Live Shows

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

Support the Show

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit

• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Please drop a like and share around - it REALLY supports independent shows like GG and only takes a few clicks!

Read as well as listen as l overthink for you: https://substack.com/@pyotrskurzin

• X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/

• Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit
• Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit

Leave a quick rating—it's free, easy, and honestly, the least you can do after I've blessed your ears with such wisdom. Where would you be without me?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.