The hurricane update

Atlantic tropical development on the horizon next week

AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENEDINTO TROPICAL STORM ARLENE...At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Arlene was located about 340 miles NNW of the western tip of Cuba. Arlene is moving toward the south near 5 mph (7 km/h) and this motion is expected to increase slightly through tonight.Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Arlene is expected to weaken by tonight, and it is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low on Saturday.Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) northeast of the center.The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with localized higher amounts up to 5 inches are possible through Saturday across portions of the central and southern Florida Peninsula. This rainfall is not directly related to Tropical Depression Two. Regardless, the heavy rainfall could lead to isolated flash, urban, and small stream flooding impacts.Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.Hurricanes.gov/Arlene

Update on the area of low pressure over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico:Recent satellite wind data, along with buoy and ship observations indicate the area of low pressure over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico has a broad but well-defined circulation with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the low is also showing signs of organization. Environmental conditions remain marginally favorable for additional development, and if these trends continue, a short-lived tropical depression or storm is likely to form as soon as this afternoon. The system is likely to meander over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico through tonight but begin a slow southward motion on Friday. By this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for additional development as the system continues moving southward, likely remaining offshore over the Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later this afternoon. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall could occur over portions of the Florida Peninsula through this weekend. Additional information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather Prediction Center. It has a high (70 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and in the next 7 days. For the latest update, please visit: hurricanes.govFor the latest marine weather update: hurricanes.gov/marine

oday, in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico, showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico have increased and become better organized during the overnight hours. Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression or storm could form over that time span as the system meanders over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. However, by this weekend environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for additional development as the system drifts southward, likely remaining offshore over the Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary.Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall could occur over portions of the Florida Peninsula through this weekend. Additional information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather Prediction Center. It has a medium (50 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and in the next 5 days. For the latest updates, please visit: hurricanes.govFor the latest marine conditions, visit: hurricanes.gov/marine

Promo Force season of the Hurricane update,show

update will officially start on June 1 2023 every hour for active Hurricane development. Every day from now on curve Hurricane development

between 8 AM and 9 PM . Around-the-clock coverage war happens if a hurricane Calgary 4 Hurricane or a category 5 Hurricane determined by bra National Hurricane Center out of Miami Florida not new Germond not determined by our operational Hurricane division team . We will stay on top of it if the National Hurricane Center determined it is a Category 4 or Category 5 Hurricane with a maximum wind of 100 Mario per hour then aura overnight team. Will be activated for a 24-hour podcast Aaron social media Hurricane update.

variance the hurricane season Journey at tnw weather.com either under the hurricane center tap or the National Hurricane Center tap each tab Will be different but everything you need to know about between though 2023 and 2024 Hurricane season

..DANIELLE BECOMES THE FIRST ATLANTIC HURRICANE OF THE SEASON...

At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Danielle was about 885 miles (1425 km) west of the Azores (near latitude 37.9 North, longitude 43.3 West). Danielle is moving toward the west near 1 mph (2 km/h). The hurricane is

forecast to meander over the open Atlantic during the next couple of days, then slowly turn toward the northeast early next week.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during

the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km).

For more information, please visit: www.hurricanes.gov/Danielle

To the Eastern North Pacific:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 300 miles south of the southern end of the Baja California Peninsula has become a little better organized overnight. Environmental conditions appear favorable for the development of this system and a tropical depression or tropical storm is forecast to form over the next day or so as it moves northwest at about 10 mph, prob able to remain several hundred miles offshore west of Baja California South. Additional information about this system, including gale warnings, can be found in the High Sea Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. It has a high (90 percent) chance of formation in the next 8 hours and 5 days.

South-South Mexico: An area of severe weather has formed over the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Gradual development of this system is possible over the course of the next few days, and a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week as it moves westward or west-northwest Cer South and Southwest Coast CA Mexico. It has a low (10 percent) chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a medium (60 percent) chance in the next 5 days.

www.hurricanes.gov

.DARBY RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES...

At 1200 AM HST (1000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Darby was located near latitude 14.5 North, and longitude 122.2 West. Darby is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). A westward motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days, followed by a gradual turn toward the west-northwest later this week. Recent satellite images indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is possible, and Darby could become a major hurricane later today.  A weakening trend is expected to begin

later this week. Darby is a small hurricane.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches).

Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. hurricanes.gov/#Darby

..CELIA EXPECTED TO START WEAKENING LATER THIS WEEKEND...

At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Celia was about 340 miles ( 545 km) south of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Celia is moving towards the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A continued west-northwestward motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected through early next week. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts.  Celia is expected to gradually weaken for the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).

SURF:  Swells are affecting portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico and will spread northward to the southern Baja California peninsula and the coast of west-central Mexico today. These conditions could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office.

Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. Please visit: www.hurricanes.gov

CELIA BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN...

At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Celia was about 365 miles (590 km) south of Acapulco, Mexico. Celia is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn to the west-northwest is expected by tonight, and that motion should continue during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is expected, and Celia is forecast to become a hurricane in a few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

SURF:  Swells will likely increase along portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico in a couple of days. These conditions could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office.

Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. Please visit: www.hurricanes.gov