The Incerto Podcast

A Curious Worldview Podcast (My Interview Podcast) - https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
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🎙️: https://atlasgeographica.com/rory-sutherland/

🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg

The following is a conversation with Rory Sutherland.

He founded the behavioural science team within the Ogilvy group and is one of Europe’s most powerful advertising executives.
 
00:00 – Introduction.
02:02 – How Nassim Taleb Has Influenced Rory Sutherland’s Worldview.
33:07 – C Elegans Worm Analogy & Covid.
42:27 – Banality In Social Media.
47:46 – What Is Taleb Like As A Bloke? + Interesting Questions About Social Engineering.
59:02 – System Design Complimenting Marketing & Advertising.
1:05:12 – Why It’s Important To Believe In Alchemy (Complexity) + Thinking About Nepotism.
1:15:19 – Signalling.
1:22:04 – Serendipity In Rory’s Life.
1:25:34 – Country Rory Sutherland Is Bullish On.
1:29:02 – Conversation Between Any Two People Of History.
1:31:39 – Afterthoughts & Ambitions For The Podcast.

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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/

My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/

AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/

NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)

Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @ryannfhogg

A Curious Worldview Podcast (My Interview Podcast) - https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
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I was recently privileged with the task of presenting the work and key ideas of Nassim Taleb to The Miltton Consultancy Firm here in Stockholm. This podcast is a redacted version of the live talk + Q&A that was given. 

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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/

My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/

AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/

NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)

Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @ryannfhogg

🎙️: A Curious Worldview Podcast - Search, Subscribe 5-Stars! https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736

✍️: https://atlasgeographica.com/michael-hilliard/

This was recorded at 1000 on the 26th of February.

Michael Hilliard is the host of what is both Australia’s best and my personal favourite geopolitical podcast. The Red Line.

Michael is a journalist reporting from countries including Iran, Russia, Belarus, Kyrgyzstan, and also has extensive experience operating throughout central Asia and former Soviet States. He works with sources from the White House to the Taliban and also serves on various committees and councils for the Australian Government.

In This Podcast, We Speak About…

• How Michael Hilliard Is Making Sense Of All This.
• Putin’s Motivations.
• NATO, Top To Bottom.
• + Ominous Speculation Of The Future.

Jump In On My Newsletter 📋 🔑 - https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe

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• 00:00 – Introduction
• 02:41 – How Is Michael Making Sense Of All This?
• 04:21 – Putin’s Motivations, Ukraine Resistance & Russian Moral.
• 13:48 – Michael’s Experience In Central Asia Informing This Moment.
• 20:59 – The Russian & Putin Apologist Argument + Explaining NATO Top To Bottom.
• 31:02 – Ominous Speculation of The Future.
• 41:06 – Closing Thoughts.

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Episodes Of The Curious Worldview Podcast Similar To This!

• Jim Henry Ukraine/Russia War #1
• Jim Henry Ukraine/Russia War #2
• Vijay Vaitheeswaran

Links To Michael Hilliard

• Michael Hilliard Twitter
• The Red Line Podcast

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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/

AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/

NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)

Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos

Flagship Interview Podcast: 🎙️ A Curious Worldview

🎙️: https://atlasgeographica.com/vijay-vaitheeswaran/

Vijay Vaitheeswaran on why energy is at the heart of the Russian/Ukrainian flare-up.

Vijay Vaitheeswaran has led a life of journalism. He is the Global Climate & Energy Innovation Editor at the Economist, the man who opened the Economist’s first regional bureau in Latin America, The the Chairman of the Economist’s Innovation Summit, a multiple times author, and has served on the Economist’s editorial staff since 1992.

In this conversation, Vijay explains from the back to the front the multiple energy variables at play in the ongoing Ukraine/Russia standoff. It is an education in the moment and furthermore an interesting snapshot of Europe’s current geopolitical calculation.  

In this podcast, you should expect to hear the following…

• Why Energy Is At The Heart Of This Moment With Russia & Ukraine.
• The Potency Of Putin’s Energy Threat.
• Why This Is Even Happening In The First Place?
• Plus What Do We Make Of The War Rhetoric?

Jump In On My Newsletter 📋 🔑 - https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe

Feel Free To Peruse My 📷 Instagram & Twitter 🐦 Mates!
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• 00:00 – Introduction.
• 03:26 – Why Energy Is At The Heart Of What Is Happening Between Russia/Ukraine.
• 13:47 – How Potent Is Putin’s Energy Threat?
• 16:34 – But Why Is This Happening At All In The First Place?
• 22:56 – What About all The War & Invasion Rhetoric?
• 30:09 – What Are The Consequences Of All This?
• 35:51 – Rounding Out The Chat.
• 36:24 – Afterthoughts & My Ambition For The Podcast.

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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/

AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/

NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)

Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos

Flagship Interview Podcast: 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - (this is the one I speak about at the end) https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736

The difference between understanding the components of something versus how that same thing works can be everything.

It’s clearly not a universal rule. By understanding the components of a bike, and then how each component behaves with the other we can confidently claim to know how a bike works. I know that cycling the sturdy pedal will pull the chain that will then turn the wheels.

Everything else around that core functioning is just aesthetic or qualitative detail. 

But by mapping out all the organic components of a human body, from organs to bones and everything in between – does our understanding of each component then inform to confidently assert how it all works? I am not sure.

Just because you can map out a system does not mean you understand how it behaves.

Article Attached To This Podcast! - https://atlasgeographica.com/complexity-the-brain-of-the-c-elegans-worm/
--------
Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/

My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/

AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/

NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)

Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos

Flagship Interview Podcast: 🎙️ A Curious Worldview https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736

Regression towards the mean attempts to dampen our hyperbolic reaction to both outliers and those significant but rare exceptions.
A classic example of regression towards the mean is a very familiar one to my countrymen of Australia. How regression towards the mean applies to those who are ‘good‘ at pokies (slots, for my dear international reader).

Article Attached To This Podcast! - https://atlasgeographica.com/regression-towards-the-mean/
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/

My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/

AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/

NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)

Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos

Flagship Interview Podcast: 🎙️ A Curious Worldview https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
Article Attached To This Podcast! - https://atlasgeographica.com/christian-busch-serendipity/

Life can be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards.

How can we predict a future of infinite possibilities based on a finite experience of the past? 

Along the lines of Taleb's fooled by randomness metaphor - we all cross the busy street every day - and although some fools will occasionally make it to the other side, blindfolded to the world while others who meticulously path their way will still be wiped out - noticing the serendipity, noticing the infinite potential of divergent paths, at least this returns to you the liberty of control and hopefully, if your lucky, an exposure to serendipity that can change your life precisely the way you dreamt it would.

There is much to this podcast, in it, you can expect to learn about...

• Frederick Hayek on Serendipity
• The opportunity cost of always optimising for Serendipity
• An international look at how different cultures experience randomness
• Some Nassim Taleb of course
• And then finally I ask Christian for some advice (you will see, forcing a type of serendipity)

Jump In On My Newsletter 📋 🔑 - https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe

Feel Free To Peruse My 📷 Instagram & Twitter 🐦 Mates!
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00:00 - Introduction
06:10 - Distinction Between Randomness & Serendipity
10:30 - Hayek On Serendipity
18:00 - Great Anecdotes Of Serendipity From History
19:00 - The Opportunity Cost Of Always Optimising For Serendipity
26:05 - How Serendipity Is Understood Across Different Cultures
36:40 - On Cultivating Serendipity
41:10 - Introducing Nassim Taleb, The Birthday Paradox & Exponential Functions
50:22 - Optimising Serendipity For A Hypothetical Person
60:16 - Afterthoughts
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/

My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/

AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/

NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)

Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos

Flagship Interview Podcast: 🎙️ A Curious Worldview https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736

Perhaps I am reaching beyond my grasp, but here is ergodicity simply explained.

In the most basic terms I can manage. An ergodic scenario, whose phenomenon extracted would then be explained as ergodicity – is when the average outcome of a group is the same as the average outcome of an individual, over time.

Article Attached To This Podcast! - https://atlasgeographica.com/ergodicity-simply-explained/
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/

My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/

AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/

NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)

Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos

Flagship Interview Podcast: 🎙️ A Curious Worldview https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736

99% of the things we do in our daily lives are based on the precautionary principle. Since many of the decisions we make, the risks (no matter how inconsequential) are typically not understood until after the decision has been made.

The precautionary principle is an instinctual survival mechanism that protects us from the ultimate risk. The risk of ruin. The risk of blowing up. The risk of death.

Article Attached To This Podcast! - https://atlasgeographica.com/the-precautionary-principle-explained/
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/

My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/

AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/

NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)

Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos

Flagship Interview Podcast: 🎙️ A Curious Worldview https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736

The Minority Rule Explained - straight out of Skin in The Game. This is how an inflexible minority (4%) can overcome, overwhelm and overtake a flexible majority (96%)

Article Attached To This Podcast! - https://atlasgeographica.com/the-minority-rule-explained/
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/

My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/

AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/

NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)

Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos