A spectacular Israeli raid targeting Iranian nuclear sites and leaders has reignited tensions in the Middle East. The immediate consequences include promises of retaliation, soaring oil prices, a return of gold to the top, a strong Swiss franc, and moderately stressed markets. A real Friday the 13th scenario. Let's have a look back at these events, with some insight into the mechanisms at work and a reminder of how to proceed.

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The market's reflexes are once again revealing the nervous system of global finance. U.S. equity futures stumbled Thursday morning after Donald Trump issued a blunt warning about potential new tariffs on countries slow to strike trade deals with the United States. "You can take it, or you can leave it," he said, a phrase that may signal the revival of a more confrontational trade stance.

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The U.S. equity market is now responding with renewed optimism following the release of May's CPI data, which showed inflation trending below expectations. This surprising relief on the inflation front has pushed futures higher, easing some of the tension that had gripped markets earlier in the week. Previously weighed down by uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-China trade dynamic and the looming CPI print, investor sentiment has now shifted. The data has tempered inflationary concerns, allowing markets to momentarily look past geopolitical ambiguity and focus on the potential for a less aggressive monetary stance going forward.

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As Wall Street flirts once again with record highs, the global economy holds its breath - not over inflation or job numbers, but over a pair of negotiating tables set up in London. The second round of U.S.-China trade talks is underway, and with them comes a cautious optimism that remains fragile.

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Wall Street is once again threading the needle between hope and hard data. With one eye on the Federal Reserve’s every utterance and the other distracted by Elon Musk’s latest political firestorm, investors are inching forward on a high wire strung taut with uncertainty.

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As the market holds its breath ahead of Friday's non-farm payrolls report, investors are grappling with a question that increasingly defines the Trump economic era: how much turbulence can America's labor market withstand?

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Investors remain buoyant despite economic uncertainties, finding renewed faith in artificial intelligence and the enduring strength of U.S. consumer spending. While political rhetoric and tariff escalations stir global unease, markets seem unfazed, drifting steadily upward on selective optimism. The disconnect between foreboding forecasts and market performance continues to grow, as traders hedge less against recessions and more against shocks.

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Wall Street entered the week with cautious optimism, buoyed by renewed hopes for progress on U.S.-China trade talks. But that optimism remains tempered by the lingering effects of Donald Trump's latest tariff threats, rising geopolitical risks, and mixed macroeconomic signals.

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As spring bows out and the midpoint of 2025 appears on the horizon, a curious symmetry has taken hold in the global markets. Wall Street, traditionally the torchbearer of bullish optimism, finds itself treading water - flat for the year. Meanwhile, European bourses are surging ahead, with an 8% gain in 2025. It's a transatlantic role reversal worthy of attention, even if the next act of this economic theater won't be written in Frankfurt or London, but in Washington D.C.

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Markets live and die by narratives, and this week’s tale is one of cautious optimism wrapped in geopolitical tension. As the S&P 500 surges on rumors of diplomatic detente and falling bond yields, investors pin their hopes on Nvidia to confirm that tech’s rebound is more than a mirage. Yet beneath the bounce lies a fragile reality - of strained global alliances, mounting debt, and a central bank waiting for the next shoe to drop.

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