On this special episode of The Numbers, we port over a favourite from The Writ Podcast to mark the third edition of what is now our annual holiday tradition: the Over/Under Contest!

Yes, for the third time we throw caution to the wind and make our predictions for the political year to come. Plus, we see who has the most egg on his face from last year's guesses.

This being the last episode of the year, let us take this opportunity to thank you so much for your support of The Numbers in 2023 and wish you and yours all the best for the New Year!

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The latest Abacus Data poll shows a nine-point swing between the Liberals and the Conservatives over the last few weeks, closing the gap to (a still wide) 10 points. Is it a mirage or a Christmas miracle for Justin Trudeau and crew? We also discuss some provincial polling out of the Prairies, an upcoming byelection in Toronto and answer listener questions.

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This week, we chat about the latest polls that show the Liberals flirting with the NDP for third place. We also chat Liberal leadership polling and a little Ontario politics, plus we discuss the naming of the new female co-spokesperson of Québec Solidaire and sit down for a brief chat with Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois, male co-spokesperson of the party. We've got listener questions and, of course, The Quiz.

To join our Patreon, get early access to public episodes on Thursdays and exclusive episodes every two weeks, head to thenumberspod.ca

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We discuss the latest polls that show the Liberals in deep trouble and how the carbon tax has become a vote loser for Justin Trudeau's government. We also chat about the OLP leadership race, new recruits for Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives and answer listener questions. Plus, Philippe comes up with his toughest quiz yet.

To join our Patreon and get access to our members-only episodes and early access to public episodes on Thursdays (as well as to join our hopping Discord!), please head to thenumberspod.ca

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A preview of this week's episode, where we chat about the Conservatives' big lead in the polls, some new numbers regarding the Israel-Hamas conflict and a tightening gap on the Saskatchewan provincial scene. We answer some listener questions, including whether Trudeau could do worse than Ignatieff or Poilievre could do better than Mulroney, and Philippe is put to the test with a quiz! To get access to the full episode, visit thenumberspod.ca

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This week, we chat about some new polling numbers on Justin Trudeau's leadership and we dissect the NDP's prospects coming out of the convention, where Jagmeet Singh scored 81% on his leadership review. We also discuss just how much Teflon is coating Doug Ford and his Ontario PCs, and answer listener questions — including whether any party could win a landslide the size of John Diefenbaker's or Brian Mulroney's.

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We break down the results of the Manitoba provincial election and the Quebec byelection in Jean-Talon, as well as some new polling numbers out of Ontario and Newfoundland and Labrador. We also answer listener questions (can the Conservatives ever win in Montreal?) and present our numbers of the week.

Don't miss next week's episode! Become a member at https://www.patreon.com/thenumberspod

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