How comfortable are you saying, “I don’t know”?
It sounds simple, but I think it is one of the harder things to say at work, particularly when people expect you to be the expert in the room.
Over the years, I’ve come to realise that expertise isn’t about always having the answer. In fact, sometimes the more experienced you become, the more comfortable you need to be recognising where your knowledge ends, where the evidence becomes less certain and where judgement has to take over.
That is what I explore in this episode of The Pharma Medic.
Uncertainty is everywhere in our working lives. It comes up in conversations about clinical evidence, project deadlines, strategy, recruitment, budgets, career decisions and leadership. Someone asks you a question and, quite often, they would really like a simple yes or no.
But life, science and business rarely work like that.
So how do you give an answer that is useful without pretending to know more than you do? How do you avoid drowning people in caveats while still being honest about what you don’t know? And how do you make a decision when you know you may never have all the information you would ideally like?
I share a simple way I’ve started thinking about this. I call it FOG.
Find the facts. Own the gaps. Go with judgement.
What do I genuinely know?
Where does my confidence start to drop?
What am I assuming?
What information am I missing?
And, perhaps most importantly, does what I don’t know actually change what I should do next?
I also talk about something I think becomes increasingly important as our careers develop. The ability to say, “I don’t know that accurately enough from memory. Let me check.”
There can be a temptation, particularly earlier in our careers, to feel that credibility comes from having an immediate answer. I’ve learned that the opposite can often be true. People remember when confidence gets ahead of the evidence. Saying you will check and then actually coming back with the answer can build far more trust than trying to bluff your way through the moment.
This feels particularly relevant today because we are surrounded by answers. Search engines give us answers. Social media gives us answers. Artificial intelligence can now produce incredibly polished and confident answers in seconds.
The question is increasingly not just, “What is the answer?”
It is, “How confident should I be in this answer?”
For me, that is becoming an important part of modern professional judgement.
As we continue this season’s theme of moving from expert to architect, perhaps our role isn’t always to remove uncertainty for other people. Sometimes it is simply to help them navigate through it.
You may not be able to see the whole road ahead.
You just need enough visibility to make the next good decision.
And perhaps that is the thought I would like to leave you with:
The mark of expertise is not certainty. It’s knowing where certainty ends.
And then having the judgement to decide what to do next.
The Pharma Medic. Be curious. Stay credible. Be useful.