The Prediction Trade

JMark — political trader, poker pro and attorney — shares the trading strategy that placed him among PredictIt's top 15 "oracle" traders. Mark uses poker disciplines to illustrate expected value (EV+), reveals an essential trading tool and rings the TPT bell, sharing his best bets in the prediction markets today, including some "locks." Follow JMark on Twitter @Pete_Monahan_JD. TRENDS NY Primary Color, Ventura Highway & Justin Amash-up TACTICS The Expected Value Trading Discipline, Bankroll Management & the Essential Trading Tool  TRADES Trump and the Pop Vote Handicapping "The Big One" Get Down with GDP THE LUCKBOX LOCKBOX You Can Bet the Ranch Dressing on These Trades   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT   5-Star Offer! Want a free print issue of Luckbox? Email a screenshot of your TPT podcast review, with your mailing address, to [email protected], and we'll send you the most recent issue, no strings attached! Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest. Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp   Questions? Feedback? Guest Ideas? thepoliticaltrade.com

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Political trader and analyst Alex “Keendawg” Keeney rings the TPT bell on a big breaking news day. Alex shares his contrarian perspectives on exploiting bias as a prediction market trader, Joe Biden’s sexual abuse allegations and a latecomer Libertarian to the presidential race. Follow Alex at starspangledgamblers.com

 

TRENDS

• Jesse, Justin & White Male Prediction Market Traders

TACTICS

• Fade the Fad

TRADES

• Biden/Democratic Mispricing
• TX & SC On Sale
• The Ultimate House Party

LUCKBOX OF THE WEEK

• Hint: A TPT Listener Gets Lucky

 

The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue, digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT

 

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Want a free print issue of Luckbox? Email a screenshot of your TPT podcast review with your mailing address to [email protected] and we will send you the most recent issue with our compliments! ($7.99 on newsstands)

 

Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest.

 

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Political trader and analyst Alex "Keendawg" Keeney rings the TPT bell on a big breaking news day. Alex shares his contrarian perspectives on exploiting bias as a prediction market trader, Joe Biden's sexual abuse allegations and a latecomer Libertarian to the presidential race. Follow Alex at starspangledgamblers.com   TRENDS Jesse, Justin & White Male Prediction Market Traders TACTICS Fade the Fad TRADES Biden/Democratic Mispricing TX & SC On Sale The Ultimate House Party LUCKBOX OF THE WEEK Hint: A TPT Listener Gets Lucky   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue, digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT   5-Star Offer! Want a free print issue of Luckbox? Email a screenshot of your TPT podcast review with your mailing address to [email protected] and we will send you the most recent issue with our compliments! ($7.99 on newsstands)   Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest.   Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp   Questions? Feedback? Guest Ideas? thepoliticaltrade.com

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Paul Krishnamurty, a professional London-based political gambler and analyst for Betfair, joins TPT to share his perspective on U.S. political wagering, the explosive growth of political wagering in the U.K., and five PredictIt markets picks. Follow Paul's blog at politicalgambler.com. TRENDS U.K. Wagering on U.S. Politics TACTICS Betting to the VP Shortlist (Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact) TRADES Buying Angela  Rising Arizona Gideon's Bibliography The Next Blue Wave Buy Buy Biden LUCKBOX OF THE WEEK Hint: The Real Deal ************************ The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT   5-Star Offer! Want a free print issue of Luckbox? Simply email a screenshot of your TPT podcast review and your mailing address to [email protected] and we will send you the most recent issue with our compliments! ($7.99 on newsstands) Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest. Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp   Questions? Feedback? Guest Ideas? thepoliticaltrade.com

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James Carville, master political strategist, MSNBC analyst and self-proclaimed "man of many vices" joins TPT to share his thoughts on the Biden candidacy and several key PredictIt markets, including a high-payout longshot pick for Biden's VP!   Carville dishes on Sanders supporters, "The Squad" and Trump, and reveals the magic number that he uses to calculate election probabilities and outcomes on. Carville shares his picks on a Democratic convention, the popular vote, Senate control, Mitch McConnell, the Michigan and Montana Senate races, Justin Amash and clemency for Stone, Flynn and Manafort.   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT   5-Star Offer! Want a free print issue of Luckbox? Simply email a screenshot of your TPT podcast review with your mailing address to [email protected] and we will send you the most recent issue with our compliments! ($7.99 on newsstands)   Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest.   Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp   Questions? Feedback? Guest Ideas? thepoliticaltrade.com

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James Carville, master political strategist, MSNBC analyst and self-proclaimed “man of many vices” joins TPT to share his thoughts on the Biden candidacy and several key PredictIt markets, including a high-payout longshot pick for Biden’s VP!

Carville dishes on Sanders supporters, "The Squad” and Trump, and reveals the magic number that he uses to calculate election probabilities and outcomes on.

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John Phillips, CEO of Aristotle, the engine behind PredictIt, joins TPT to talk about the convergence of politics and prediction markets, and developing an atomic bomb in college. To best understand PredictIt is to know its history. This bonus episode pulls back the curtain—trader demographics, new markets, and a new partnership. John also shares his perspectives as a 30-year politico on two of the most active markets: EU Next Leader to Leave Office and the Democratic VP Nominee. Have a suggestion for a new Predictit market? Email [email protected] The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue, digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest. TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp   Questions? Feedback? Guest Ideas? thepoliticaltrade.com

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Hard Factor's Mark, Wes & Will share their takes on today's news, their worst mistakes and their best bets. TRENDS Dire Straits v Death, Cuomo's nipple rings, errant Burr & more. TACTICS Don't make these prediction market gambling mistakes! TRADES Will's VP pick Wes eyes a Biden layup Mark paints Texas (red v blue) LUCKBOX OF THE WEEK Hint: The tiger king's ears are ringing   Follow @hardfactormark, @hardfactorwes & @hardfactorwill and listen to Hard Factor on your favorite podcast platforms. The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue, digital subscription: getluckbox.com Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest. Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp   Questions? Feedback? Guest Ideas? thepoliticaltrade.com

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EPISODE HIGHLIGHTS:

• iSavage Explains the “Always sell at 90¢â€ Rule 

TRENDS

• Cuomo, VP Stakes (Warren v. Harris) & Recession Outlook

TACTICS

• So, really...do you always sell at 90¢?

TOOLS

• @pi_twets for market alerts

TRADES

• Wisconsin Bells
• Netanyahu—Yes or No?
• Fauci: 35 Years v. 35 Days

LUCKBOX OF THE WEEK

• Hint: Burr—It’s Cold in Carolina

The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine, follow the link for a free 10-issue digital subscription today: getluckbox.com

Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest.

Follow us…

TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag

FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag

INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag

YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

 

Questions? Feedback? Guest Ideas? 

thepoliticaltrade.com

EPISODE HIGHLIGHTS: iSavage Explains the "Always sell at 90¢" Rule  TRENDS Cuomo, VP Stakes (Warren v. Harris) & Recession Outlook TACTICS So, really...do you always sell at 90¢? TOOLS @pi_twets for market alerts TRADES Wisconsin Bells Netanyahu—Yes or No? Fauci: 35 Years v. 35 Days LUCKBOX OF THE WEEK Hint: Burr—It's Cold in Carolina The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine, follow the link for a free 10-issue digital subscription today: getluckbox.com Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest. Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp   Questions? Feedback? Guest Ideas?  thepoliticaltrade.com

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.