The Virginia Supreme Court just struck down the voter-approved redistricting referendum in a 4-3 ruling — blocking a map that would have flipped four House seats. Democrats have fallen from 85¢ to 70¢ to take the House, and traders are repricing in real time.

In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:

00:00 — Virginia Supreme Court kills the redistricting referendum: what it means

06:00 — Democrats at 71¢, "192 or fewer" seats contract crashes from 38¢ to 24¢

09:00 — Spanberger vs. Jeffries: institutionalist vs. fighter — which strategy wins?

12:30 — Michigan Senate primary: Abdul El-Sayed (52¢) vs. McMorrow vs. Stevens

18:00 — Why traders are underpricing the establishment candidate Hailey Stevens

21:00 — New York 12: Lasher, Boris, Schlossberg, Conway — who wins Nadler's seat?

28:00 — The "Oreo strategy": progressive inside, kitchen table centrist outside

31:00 — Herschel Walker, ambassadorships, and the best jobs in American politics

Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics. Real markets, real money, individual position limits designed to protect market integrity.

Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial

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#PredictionMarkets #VirginiaRedistricting #2026Midterms

The Supreme Court's Callais decision just reshaped the path to a 2026 House majority. Democrats fell from 87¢ to 79¢ on PredictIt — but the underlying fundamentals (Trump approval, generic ballot, cost-of-living concerns) suggest traders may be overcorrecting.

In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:

SCOTUS Callais decision: cracking vs. packing and what's about to change

Democrats at 79¢ to take the House: buying opportunity or trap?

Trump's approval at lowest tracked, gas at $4.30, no policy turn in sight

Iran, Operation Freedom, and why Democrats aren't capitalizing

RFK Jr. at 49¢: who's the next cabinet member out

Kevin Warsh whip count: 52-53 votes most likely, 39¢ on the upside

Jerome Powell stays on: the most political move of his term

Susan Collins flips on Iran War Powers Act — does it move Maine numbers?

The "Lobster Man": progressive momentum vs. an entrenched incumbent

Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics. Real markets, real money, individual position caps that protect market integrity.

Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial

X: https://x.com/PredictItPod

This podcast reflects the hosts' personal analysis and is not trading advice.

#PredictionMarkets #SCOTUS #Redistricting2026

PredictIt's $3,500 individual position cap is its single biggest differentiator and the recent Polymarket insider trading charge, bouts of political violence, and questions over what place prediction markets place in society proves why caps matter for the integrity of the market.

In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:

White House Correspondents Dinner attempted attack: condemning all political violence

Wes Moore on Bill Maher: "I could bet against myself for $4M"

The case for prediction market caps: why $3,500 limits matter

Kevin Warsh Fed chair confirmation: whip count at 53 or 54?

Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial

X: https://x.com/PredictItPod

This podcast reflects the hosts' personal analysis and is not trading advice.

#PredictionMarkets #PredictIt #FedChair

Virginia's April 21 redistricting referendum could flip up to 4 House seats and reshape the 2026 midterms. We break down where PredictIthave it priced and whether the data should scare traders holding Yes at 85 cents.

In this episode of PredictIt Official, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:

00:00 — The national popular vote compact hits 222 electoral votes

04:30 — Senate 2026 market vs. S&P 500: why traders are pricing in a Democratic Senate

07:30 — Taking an Iranian cargo ship: the Middle East ceasefire that isn't holding

12:00 — Nostradamus predictions for 2026 — grading him four months in

21:30 — Virginia redistricting referendum: 6-10% margin or wider?

25:00 — Kevin Warsh Fed chair confirmation: will DOJ drama kill it?

27:30 — Will Corey Mills leave the House before May?

Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial

X: https://x.com/PredictItPod

Disclosure: Jacob Studwell is Growth Engagement Officer at PredictIt. This podcast reflects the hosts' personal analysis and is not trading advice.

#PredictionMarkets #VirginiaRedistricting #Politics2026

Jacob and Garth cover the potential expulsion of Tony Gonzalez and Eric Swalwell, the California governor's race. We also delve into the Maine Senate race and the potential impact of a major hurricane on the election.
* 00:00 Swalwell's Dropout Fallout
* 11:50 JD's Tough Week
* 19:15 Impact of Hurricane Season
* 24:40 Maine Senate Race Dynamics
Trade now: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Chad Peace of the Independent Voter Project joins Jacob to break down why 45% of registered voters are independent — and why both parties are structurally built to ignore them. They dig into California's nonpartisan primary, the Texas open primary fight, why independents aren't moderates, and what all of it means for 2026.

Trade now on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Legendary pollster John Zogby joins Jacob to break down his latest generic ballot showing the two parties at a dead heat — directly contradicting polls giving Democrats a clear 2026 advantage. They dig into Trump's approval, public support for the Iran conflict, and what independent voters are thinking ahead of 2026.

Plus: John plays PredictIt's Buy, Sell, Hold weighing in on Pete Buttigieg, Cory Booker, AOC's Senate vs. President decision, and Democratic control of the Senate. Trade now: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Trump's poll numbers are moving in the wrong direction and this week, Jacob and Garth break down exactly what the latest data is telling us. Also this week:

• Recent Iran updates and what this may mean for the Republicans in the midterms
• Independent Senate candidates making noise in Nebraska and Montana — and whether they have a real shot
• Trump's Truth Social posts about Robert Mueller...

Whether you trade on PredictIt or just want sharp political analysis without the spin, Jacob and Garth give you the data-driven take you won't get anywhere else.

Trade on today's political outcomes at PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Jacob and Garth recap Garth's recent trip, where we're at in the war in Iran and how that's affecting the House, Senate, and any individual races during primary season. The team also dives deep into new Ohio Governor and Senate polling and then it's last call for the Democratic Senate Primary race to name a Dick Durbin successor!

Trade Now on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Garth, Ethan, and Jacob give a comprehensive recap of the Noem firing, how to keep her out of South Dakota through March, Texas recaps including grading traders performances on both sides of the aisle, and an update to the Iran War timeline put everything in play for the Democrats come November: Trade Now - https://bit.ly/predictit2026