Over the last few years, talk of private credit’s “golden age” has grown louder, with predictions from various sources that the asset class could eventually grow to around $20-25 trillion in size from its current level of $2-3 trillion. Yet, fundraising has slowed since its peak in 2021. So was all the talk premature?

Jess Larsen, founder and chief executive officer of private credit-focused placement agent Briarcliffe Credit Partners, believes that it was – but he also believes this is the year when a corner will be turned and private credit will start the journey that could see it one day become larger than private equity.

In this episode, Larsen also shares his thoughts on direct lending and predicts that economy of scale will become all the more crucial, and could lead to the emergence of $100 billion evergreen mega-funds.

On today’s hot topic of tariffs, he does not think signs of the investor response will start to emerge for another few months, but with volatility “the order of the day” in his words, he thinks it’s inevitable that LPs will focus on building all-weather portfolios that go well beyond the confines of direct lending.