On the surface, it seems like Jalen Hurts is better at not throwing interceptions than Patrick Mahomes. For the 2022 season, Hurts has thrown 6 picks compared to 12 for Mahomes. However, randomness plays a big role in interceptions. This episode looks at the data behind this statement and reveals a better way to predict picks. Finally, I look at the numbers for the two Super Bowl quarterbacks to reveal which team has an edge.

The secret edge in Super Bowl LVII between Kansas City and Philadelphia

The Football Analytics Show uses data and analytics to make predictions on games and break down match ups. The show covers both college football and the NFL.

Technology

Tech News

Podcasting

Gadgets

Software How-To

Sports

Football

To generate preseason NFL rankings, The Power Rank takes market win totals and backs out a rating for each team. This analysis singles out a single team from the NFC South with by far the easiest schedule for the 2024 season. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here: https://thepowerrank.com/

This NFL team has the easiest 2024 schedule

 Arif Hasan, owner of the Wide Left NFL substack, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His composite NFL big board to evaluate talent  (:43).  How to quantify the accuracy of the consensus big board (7:25).  The two people that beat the consensus big board (10:35).  Interesting players to watch based on the 2024 big board (15:52).  The type of players teams should reach for in the draft (27:45).  The steal for the Eagles in the 3rd round (31:10). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here: https://thepowerrank.com/ 

Arif Hasan on evaluating NFL talent with wisdom of crowds

 Kevin Cole, football analytics expert and founder of Unexpected Points, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include:  Are tight ends like Brock Bowers overrated? (1:29).  An NFL draft bet (4:10).  The trajectory of JJ McCarthy (8:10).  Arizona with the 4th pick (12:32).  Another NFL draft bet based on wisdom of crowds (18:25).  The quarterbacks at the 2nd, 3rd pick (24:00).  Los Angeles Charger with the 5th pick (26:02). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here: https://thepowerrank.com/ 

Kevin Cole on predicting the 2024 NFL draft

 Matt Waldman, who creates the Rookie Scouting Portfolio based on countless hours of watching film, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include:  The difficulty in projecting JJ McCarthy (2:34).  Why quarterbacks fail in the NFL (14:46).  How to improve NFL QB development (24:05).  Bryce Young, Jordan Love (29:10).  How to tell when an NFL rookie QB will fail (32:08). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here: https://thepowerrank.com/ 

Matt Waldman on predicting NFL quarterbacks

 Ryan O'Hanlon, the author of the excellent Net Gains: Inside the Beautiful Game's Analytics Revolution and writer for ESPN, joins the show to discuss Champions League. Highlights include:  The one thing to take home from Net Gains (0:42).  Man City vs Real Madrid (5:39).  Bayern Munich vs Arsenal (15:28).  Dortmund vs Atletic Madrid (22:26).  Barcelona vs PSG (28:05).   Ryan is a soccer analytics expert, and I highly recommend checking out his book Net Gains. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here: https://thepowerrank.com/ 

The secret edge in Super Bowl LVII between Kansas City and Philadelphia

Download our free app to listen on your phone