Citrini Research has taken Fintwit by storm with a series of prescient market calls covering themes such as AI, GLP-1, and the Trump election.

In this episode Citrini discusses how he arrived at thematic investing, the process he uses to find baskets of stocks, and also what it’s like to write up a thesis for tens of thousands of subscribers.

Find Citrini on Substack.

Find Citrini on Twitter.

Support the show by subscribing to the Premium Substack: https://riskofruinpod.substack.com/p/new-episode-big-chunky-changes?r=ckepv

Email the show: risk of ruin pod at gmail

Follow the show on Twitter: @halfkelly

Domer is a prediction market trader, and is one of the biggest bettors on Polymarket. He talks about his journey from Intrade, to Predictit, to Polymarket. He also talks about the 2024 election, which was a rollercoaster. It featured highs - like backing Kamala Harris before President Joe Biden had even dropped out of the race - and also lows, like being short Trump on election night.

Domer also talks about unraveling the mystery of the so-called French Whale.

Domer on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/profile/0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344

Domer on Twitter: https://x.com/Domahhhh

Support the show by subscribing on Substack: https://riskofruinpod.substack.com

Follow the show on Twitter: https://x.com/halfkelly

Mark DeRosa, Zack White, and Rufus Peabody. The story a group of friends from Appalachian State that went on to team up with an econ grad from Yale. They started playing casino games and eventually would go on to bet the max at sports books all over Las Vegas.

Follow Zack White on Twitter.

Follow Mark DeRosa on Twitter.

Follow Rufus Peabody on Twitter.

Rufus's betting analytics startup: Unabated. 

Mark DeRosa, Zack White, and Rufus Peabody. The story a group of friends from Appalachian State that went on to team up with an econ grad from Yale. They started playing casino games and eventually would go on to bet the max at sports books all over Las Vegas.

Follow Zack White on Twitter.

Follow Mark DeRosa on Twitter.

Follow Rufus Peabody on Twitter.

Rufus's betting analytics startup: Unabated. 

Matt writes the blog "Miles Earn and Burn" which stands alone in the credit card space. He has no ads on the site, and he writes about advanced strategies that don't make it into the mainstream travel blog world. The post that got me interested in having Matt as a guest said basically: go to your local credit union and see if there's anything that you might be able to profit from. In the advantage play world that would be called scouting. In the manufactured spend world it's known as probing. https://milesearnandburn.com/index.php/2023/09/29/taking-a-stroll-to-the-local-financial-district/

Email the show: risk of ruin pod at gmail
Follow us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/halfkelly

Jake Hoselton is the CEO of Grass Clippings. Pete Wilson is the CMO of Grass Clippings. Howard Lindzon is the Managing Partner of Social Leverage.

The guests talk about trying to build a new high stakes par 3 golf league.

Links:

2024 Grass Clippings Open
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cX0ktag2kA
2024 Good Good Desert Open
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PE7t7K173-U

Follow Grass Clippings on X (formerly Twitter):
https://x.com/GrassClippingsc
Follow Howard Lindzon on X (formerly Twitter):
https://x.com/howardlindzon

Follow the show on X (formerly Twitter): 
https://x.com/halfkelly

Support the show links:
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1YTMUqap_Z0D9832cOl5wYxUs16Byr6xx-iAZzrRL3VU/edit

Curtis, Phil, and Reilly are professional sports bettors that provide the valuable service of getting down for originating groups. They are logistics providers in the gambling world. They talk about starting as casino APs, finding sports, and having several hundred thousand dollars taken from them by a  sportsbook.

Find Reilly on X. https://twitter.com/ValleyBlitz_15

Support the show credit card links: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1YTMUqap_Z0D9832cOl5wYxUs16Byr6xx-iAZzrRL3VU/edit?usp=sharing

Email us: risk of ruin pod at gmail
Follow on X: https://twitter.com/halfkelly

Mr. Doppy became an advantage player hustling the video poker game Ultimate X. Since then he's gone after online sports books, credit card points, and also a state lottery.

Mr. Doppy's Twitter account: https://twitter.com/MrDoppy

Support the show links: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1YTMUqap_Z0D9832cOl5wYxUs16Byr6xx-iAZzrRL3VU/edit

Email the show: Risk of ruin pod at gmail dot com
Follow us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/halfkelly

Richard Munchkin and Darryl Purpose are career advantage players. Over the past 40 years they've teamed up to win millions of dollars from casinos. In this episode they recount some of the war stories and also offer reflections on the nature of teamwork.

Darryl Purpose's music website: https://darrylpurpose.com/
Richard Munchkin / Gambing With an Edge: https://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/gambling-with-an-edge/category/podcast/
Earlier episode of Risk of Ruin featuring Richard and Darryl: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/david-goliath-part-i/id1527018692?i=1000493338179
James Grosjean's "Beyond Coupons": https://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/gambling-with-an-edge/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/beyondcouponsbjfo.pdf


Email the show: risk of ruin pod at gmail
Follow us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/halfkelly

John Hempton runs Bronte Capital, which generates its excess returns primarily through shorting fraudulent companies. John walks through a hypothetical short, explaining how they find it, how they size positions, and the kinds of returns that can be expected. He also discusses his shorts of Valeant Pharmaceutical and Wirecard.

John Hempton on Twitter: https://twitter.com/John_Hempton
John's Blog: http://brontecapital.blogspot.com/
Netflix documentary on Valeant: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt7909184/

Email the show: [email protected]
Follow the show on Twitter: https://twitter.com/halfkelly