We had so many good questions we had to pivot from our main topic to do a multi-part Q&A/News episode. The first part of the podcast is questions that involve strategy around winning (and not getting crushed) on exchanges. Then news with the Kalshi outage and some other noteworthy items. And finally a mixed bag of questions at the end.

0:00 Intro

2:00 Prediction Market Power Hour

56:20 News

1:27:20 Mega Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: [email protected]

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

You heard about him in Shippers episode. The person who leveraged a friendly VIP host and square looking action into a $400k win at PointsBet - a notoriously tight-fisted book.

This week we welcome on the man, the myth, the legend Maple (https://x.com/maple420069) onto the podcast to talk about soft-book war stories and his evolution onto exchanges. Can't miss episode!

0:00 Intro

1:45 Intro to Advantage Play

11:20 SGPs Before They Were Cool

20:50 The PointsBet Story

42:10 $2M MMA SGP Bad Beat

58:58 Shift to Exchanges

1:33:00 News, Questions & Hot Takes

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: [email protected]

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

This episode SP and GP go over a few of the betting projects they started building that never came to fruition. The news is dominated by prediction markets - with a breakdown of the parlay product that Kalshi is offering. And we hit a few listener questions at the end!

0:00 Intro

4:00 Failed betting projects

38:00 News

1:26:00 Listener Questions

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: [email protected]

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

This episode we have on a true legend in the space, Ant DeRosa. Ant worked as a trader at some of the sharpest offshore books before switching sides of the counter and building one of the most successful betting groups currently operating. From dealing with line manipulation to the details behind finding alpha live that you won't see on an odds screen, this has it all. We even get dragged into talking about the ethics around angle shooting and where the line is at the end! This is a can't miss episode if you have any aspirations of betting at the highest levels. Follow Ant on Twitter: https://x.com/DeRosa_Antonino

0:00 Intro

2:30 Magic the Gathering & Start w/ Pinnacle

17:30 Trading at a Sharp Book

42:15 Switching to Betting

47:15 Bottom Up Live Betting

1:05:00 Scaling a Betting Group

1:44:00 Q&A and Hot Takes

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: [email protected]

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

This week we debrief on some of the most important, common threads that ran through our interviews with our recent guests. Why are the vibes based approaches not that far from the data driven? Is anyone really a specialist? Why did three guests say no one can get more out of an account than them?

All of this plus news and Q&A - Enjoy!

0:00 Intro

2:30 Account Maxxing as a Superpower

10:20 Operations Over Everything

18:30 Specialist or Generalist?

25:00 Model Doesn't Need to Be Complicated

37:30 No Main Markets

41:00 News

1:01:50 Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: [email protected]

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Today we have on at times one of our harshest critics and at other times our biggest cheerleader, The Shipper (@shipthejustice on Twitter)

Shipper is that rare person who was successful as a trader at a book and then as a professional bettor. This experience makes him one of the go to experts on the topics of account longevity, priming, and maxing account value. This episode he presents a compelling case for why you should have a poker-style bluffing strategy for betting, talks on why the retweet is the perfect troll, and explains why everything sucks now and it was better before.

00:00:00 Intro

00:02:40 Tales from the PointsBet Trading Floor

00:23:50 Priming and Max Account Value

00:41:45 Why it's Better to Have a Partner

00:49:10 Build Your Own Models

01:00:30 Rorts!

01:11:00 Twitter Trolling & Sharp Content

01:22:00 PMs, Exchanges & State of the Industry

01:45:00 Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: [email protected]

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

SP says that there may be nothing more predictive of whether someone is a winning bettor than how diligently they track their bets.

Is tracking your bets a magic pill that makes anyone profitable? It's not magic - but there are a lot of alpha generating benefits of tracking that go along with the important accounting hygiene and performance measuring.   

00:00 – Why Track Your Bets?
 05:00 – Taxes & Record Keeping
 07:00 – Performance Measurement
 16:00 – Alpha Generation & Model Insights
 33:00 – Exchanges & DFS Use Cases
 44:00 – News Roundup
 1:09:00 – Listener Questions

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: [email protected]

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

This week we interview a man who wears many hats. TV Star, Tennis Bettor, and Author Isaac Rose-Berman.

You may know him from the CNN gambling documentary, you may know him as roundrobin42 on twitter, or you may have seen him on Circle Back. But on this show we go deep into his betting first - learning a lot about betting tennis on the way. After that we have a discussion on news/ industry topics where one person (Isaac) actually knows what he's talking about.

0:00 Intro to Advantage Gambling

9:00 Tennis Betting for Fun and Profit

27:30 How to Track Your Subjective Adjustments

36:45 Finding Good Non-Major Markets

41:30 What's Next in Betting for Isaac?

48:00 Isaac's Writing/ Consulting

1:02:30 News

1:20:40 Q&A

Isaac's Newsletter: https://howgamblingworks.substack.com/

Isaac's Twitter: https://x.com/roundrobin42

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: [email protected]

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Regardless of if you think we are in a simulation or not - there is no denying that simulations can make you money sports betting. GP & SP breakdown what a simulation model is, when you should use it, and how you can get started with your own sim this sports season.

We get a little technical early - but don't worry, we get really un-technical in the news and Q&A (ending with an actual discussion about sports).

00:00: Intro 
02:00: Simulations vs. Models in Sports Betting
50:00: The CNN Gambling Documentary
01:08:00: Prediction Market Rundown w/ TSwift Inside Trading
01:26:00: DraftKings Stops Credit Card Deposits & More News
01:29:30: Q&A + Bayesian Updates

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: [email protected]

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

We are joined by Casino AP turned Sports Bettor Dan aka Dr. Plop. Dan talks to us about getting into advantage play by multi-accounting Instacart signup bonuses. Then his journey continues through blackjack, slots, churn plays and finally ends up at "about 70%" sports betting.

Dan now runs a team of 4 that at any moment could be sitting at an electronic horse racing machine or betting six-figures on sports. Like a degen Oceans 11!

Follow Dan on Twitter: https://x.com/DrPL0P

00:00:45 – Instacart Advantage Play
00:13:40 – AP Lessons Applied to Sportsbooks
00:30:31 – Making the Switch to Sports
00:52:27 – Logistics & Scaling
01:15:45 – News
01:47:19 – Listener Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: [email protected]

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks