The Simple Handicap: NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

I was writing the answer out to a couple of direct messages on Twitter I missed which went into my request folder instead of my inbox. Half way through I stopped myself and thought that the questions I was answering could not only provide value to the person asking, but also to everyone here on the podcast. They were both easier to explain out loud rather than via text, too. This episode covers two very good questions from Austin and Dorin on hedging out bets in-play to protect an original wager along with the best strategy to price a total in an NFL game. 

Questions like this are answered every day in The Simple Handicap Slack Channel by more than 200 members in 19 different countries. If you would like to join the discussion as well as receive bets and market information in real time, you can join the channel here: www.thesimplehandicap.com 

Prices are starting to take shape for Week 1 and there are noticeable divides between money coming in at high limit credit shops and recreational bookmakers. Which way will the market settle? Where are prices going to move in the next 24-48 hours? 

The Simple Handicap Slack Channel is back for its second season in a row. Over 200 members from 19 different countries discuss NFL markets around the clock. Bets posted throughout the week in real time as prices become available, along with an extension of the podcast monitoring markets, price points, player news and following team practices throughout the week. If you like the podcast, you will love the channel. Join here: www.thesimplehandicap.com 

The Simple Handicap is BACK! The first of 153 days in a row, things are back to their normal format with a full market rundown on NFL Week 1. Where are prices going to go and what are good bets to make? 

The Simple Handicap Slack Channel is back for its second season in a row. Over 200 members from 19 different countries discuss NFL markets around the clock. Bets posted throughout the week in real time as prices become available, along with an extension of the podcast monitoring markets, price points, player news and following team practices throughout the week. If you like the podcast, you will love the channel. Join here: www.thesimplehandicap.com 

NFL team previews wrap up with the look at the Washington Redskins. After opening at 6.5 over -110, the price has plummeted to 8.5 over +165. What has caused such a dramatic move on the regular season win total? 

The release of Josh Doctson won't have a big market impact - if at all - but what does that leave the Redskins with for playmakers? There is a comparable between Washington and Jacksonville...but it is not a positive as it may seem. Is the best playmaker the third down running back? Why is Jay Gruden determined to run behind this offensive line? Where does the Redskins price point stand this season?

NFL Team Previews continue with a look into the Tennessee Titans. Before the Andrew Luck news brought the win total price back up, money was coming in heavily against the Titans Under 8 wins. Was it justified? 

The Titans are the measuring stick for average in the NFL priced to 8 EV, where does the upside and downside lie? Why on earth is Arthur Smith an offensive coordinator? How will his unusual set up affect this offence? Can we expect anything different from Mike Vrabel? How does the schedule set up for Tennessee? Buy or fade?

NFL Team Previews continue with a look into the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I have A TON of thoughts about why the price point for the Bucs at 6.5 is outrageous. This episode goes a little bit longer to touch on each point. 

Is the market undervaluing the coaching turnover? Why is the HC, OC, DC trio instantly one of the best coaching staffs in the league? How does the new philosophy benefit the talent on this team. Is this a top five unit of playmakers? Who is the most under rated defensive player in the NFL? What is a realistic upside for Tampa Bay this season? 

The Simple Handicap Football Workbook is now available! Get your copy at, www.thesimplehandicap.com

NFL Team Previews continue with a look into the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers were bet up quickly after opening with a win total of 8, but the number has since come back towards the open. How come? 

This offensive roster is absolutely loaded, but why is the defence the biggest concern for the team? Why will the schedule impact the 49ers as much as any team in the NFL? Will one of the best offensive coaches in the NFL ultimately be limited by game state during the season? Is this a good team to look at week to week, or is there value with totals? 

The Simple Handicap Football Workbook is now available! Get your copy at, www.thesimplehandicap.com

NFL Team Previews continue with a look into the Seattle Seahawks. The win total opened at 8.5 wins but has been bet down consistently throughout the offseason. What has influential money going against Seattle this season? 

Russell Wilson became the highest paid player in the NFL during the offseason which means other spots on the roster will suffer. How may the defence end up affecting the offence and forcing the play calling to change? Where did Seattle go to replace departed playmakers? 

The Simple Handicap Football Workbook is now available! Get your copy at, www.thesimplehandicap.com

NFL Team Previews continue with a look into the Pittsburgh Steelers. After opening with a regular season win total of 9, money has driven the number up to 9.5 and is tilting towards the over. 

Why is the Steelers biggest loss from the sidelines and not a player on the field? Is Big Ben being disrespected by the betting market? Which playmaker can emerge in 2019? Did the team do enough to fill their biggest gap on defence and are the Steelers a team that is better suited for wagers ATS or on the total? 

The Simple Handicap Football Workbook is now available! Get your copy at, www.thesimplehandicap.com

NFL Team Previews continue with a look into the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles win total varies drastically from book to book between 9.5 and 10.5. Which is the best number to take, and what price point provides the most value? 

Will the infatuation of the Eagles by the analytics community kill the price point week to week during the season? When can the Eagles provide bettors value? What does their schedule look like in 2019 and are there any weaknesses on this roster? 

NFL Season prep and preseason betting continues each day in The Simple Handicap Slack Channel. Over 100 pages of team by team betting breakdowns, preseason bets and 24 hour discussion with other bettors and professionals from around the world. Open for all to join at www.thesimplehandicap.com