The Transfer Flow Podcast

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss the many transfer rumours surrounding Real Madrid. They start with Centre backs, and look at options for both established players and rising young stars. Next, they look at options for right back. Could they promote a youngster from their academy? The conversation moves to Florian Wirtz, who has been linked to Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, and Manchester City. Finally, they end the podcast by discussing if Madrid can take Trent Alexander-Arnold AND Mo Salah from Liverpool, whether any of these transfers solve their Mbappe problem, and if Vinicius will be sold in the coming years.

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:47 - Pressing Concern at Centreback for Real Madrid

02:10 - Madrid’s current options at CB

03:43 - Is there an obvious profile for them?

05:03 - Hard to find solutions in January

05:31 - Tchouaméni at CB?

06:04 - 2 groups of candidates we’re hearing

08:28 - Real Madrid won’t throw away this season + how they should approach it

09:35 - Jonathan Tah from Leverkusen

11:28 - Tah plays for Xabi Alonso, who is rumoured to be at Madrid next season

11:49 - Aymeric Laporte

13:27 - Mario Hermoso

14:38 - The information we don’t have

15:24 - The most likely option out of these 3

16:18 - The younger players Real Madrid could be looking at

16:42 - Vitor Reis from Palmeiras

18:22 - A recruiters perspective of a young prospect

20:19 - Madrid’s Brazilian players could make the move easier for Reis

21:51 - Castello Lukeba from RB Leipzig

25:13 - Murillo from Nottingham Forest

28:04 - Does Madrid’s current squad push you to a more established player?

29:23 - Tah’s Leverkusen defensive partner, Piero Hincapié

31:19 - Options for right back?

31:27 - Could Madrid address this through their academy, or is it a response to Barcelona’s success?

31:52 - Asencio as an option

33:16 - Jesus Fortea

34:02 - Do Madrid need to improve their Academy strategy, or is it inevitable with how they handle transfers?

37:17 - Florian Wirtz linked with Madrid, Bayern and Man City

38:29 - Not a great fit for Madrid

39:11 - Guler linked to Arsenal

42:11 - Wirtz makes more sense for Bayern

42:47 - Could Madrid take Trent Alexander-Arnold AND Mo Salah from Liverpool?

43:44 - Madrid would have to sell Rodrygo

44:37 - None of this solves their Mbappe Problem

46:14 - Could Madrid be forced to sell Vinicius?

#realmadrid #transfernews #mbappe #vinicius #rodrygo #ardagüler #wirtz #laliga #championsleague #madrid

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On this episode, Ted and Patrick dive into transfer rumours ahead of the January window. They start with Joshua Zirkzee, who may already be on the move from United. Then comes Victor Gyokeres, is his agent keeping is name in the news or will he finally make a move? Next up is Jeremie Frimpong, who has been linked to many huge clubs, including Real Madrid, Manchester City, and Liverpool. Discussion of how Manchester City replaces Rodri follows, with Enzo's name thrown out and a possible £100M fee for Baleba? They finish the episode rounding up the rumours with Nkunku linked with United, Murillo to Real Madrid, Kudus to Arsenal, and Samu Omorodion to Barcelona. Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:15 - Joshua Zirkzee to leave United?

01:37 - An addition to the podcasts

02:05 - Why is Zirkzee in the news again

03:37 - Will Amorim keep him?

05:21 - Ted’s opinion on what United should do

06:33 - Victor Gyokeres’ agent is keeping the coals hot

08:52 - Ted’s story about previous transfers he

11:41 - Jeremie Frimpong linked to Madrid,Liverpool, and City

12:29 - Everything depends on Trent Alexander-Arnold

13:33 - How Frimpong fits at City and Real Madrid

16:40 - Salah and Trent to Real Madrid?

17:53 - Xabi Alonso rumoured to Real Madrid next season?

19:10 - Will Zubimendi leave Real Sociedad?

21:41 - How much would City pay to get Baleba? + Enzo Fernandez?

22:41 - £100m to £150m for Baleba???

23:34 - Enzo is a good option, but is not fit enough

25:29 - Nkunku linked with United

26:57 - Chelsea would like to pay off their remaining transfer fee for Nkunku

28:32 - Would Chelsea sell him to United?

28:32 - Forest CB Murillo linked with Real Madrid?

29:54 - Mohammed Kudus linked to Arsenal

31:13 - Kudus is versatile, but what is he worth?

33:57 - Kudus would fit great at United

35:10 - Samu Omorodion linked with Barcelona

38:37 - How a data analyst handles incomplete information

39:34 - Ricardo Pepi looking to move from PSV?

41:11 - Pepi’s history of insanity

#manchesterunited #manchestercity #realmadrid #chelsea #arsenal #transfernews #premierleague #epl #rodri #gyokeres #salah #football #soccer

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On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Man City losing their fourth game in a row — is it all down to injuries, or do they have bigger issues in the squad? Next, they break down Arsenal vs. Chelsea, who played to a 1-1 draw over the weekend. They dive into Arsenal’s struggles in attack, Maresca’s impact at Chelsea, and Martin Ødegaard’s return from injury. Finally, they analyze the chaos of the Serie A title race, where just two points separate the top six teams. Who are the title favorites, and who should you be rooting for? Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:04 - Man City lose AGAIN

02:04 - A different Man City vs. years past

02:21 - Man City injuries + squad age

03:01 - Brighton’s adjustments won them the game

04:45 - City’s old midfield

05:56 - Brighton’s next 9-figure player?

07:19 - City have young players, but not centrally

07:46 - Can City fix this in January? Or will it cost them the title

09:22 - Liverpool’s youth players are playing well

10:28 - City can’t let their stars play the whole time

11:10 - Creating chances despite losing

11:38 - Nobody has full control this season + Villa vs. Liverpool

12:57 - Teams will drop lots of points this season

15:33 - Man City/Liverpool title odds

18:32 - English teams in the Champions League

19:24 - Arsenal vs. Chelsea

19:39 - Odegaard minutes + called up for Norway again

20:23 - Game breakdown

22:36 - How do Arsenal start attacking again

23:51 - Maresca’s influence + Chelsea in a tight table position

26:07 - Caicedo + a shaky defense

27:21 - Chelsea are bad at set piece execution

28:46 - The crazy Serie A title race

29:37 - The most entertaining league in the world (except for Juve)?

30:03 - Conte and Napoli + Other good coaches in Serie A

31:21 - 8 teams with a positive xG difference

32:03 - Fiorentina are coming from nowhere + Napoli/Juve bad attacking numbers

33:22- Atalanta are the best attacking team + Sarri/Lazio

34:56 - Napoli are not taking enough shots in big games

35:31 - We liked Juve’s transfer window

37:30 - Which teams should you root for? + Zlatan overseeing things at AC Milan

38:45 - Lampard or Mancini to manage Roma?

39:51 - Newcastle dominate Forest

#manchestercity #seriea #premierleague #arsenal #chelsea #liverpool #manchesterunited #newcastle #napoli #juventus #intermilan #acmilan #football #soccer

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On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Edu Gaspar leaving Arsenal. What should Arsenal look for in their next sporting director, what names are on the list, and how does Arteta factor into the equation? Next they move to Manchester City’s 4-1 loss to Ruben Amorim’s Sporting CP, Victor Gyokeres’ performance, and City’s dependence on Erling Haaland to score goals. Lastly, they cover Real Madrid losing another game at home, this time a 3-1 defeat to AC Milan. Do Madrid have a politics problem with their lineups, should Endrick and Arda Guler get more minutes, and will Carlo Ancelotti be the manager next season? Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

00:01:11 - Edu Gaspar Leaves Arsenal

00:01:47 - How big a change is a move like this behind the scenes?

00:04:37 - Jason Ayto to become Interim Sporting Director

00:06:28 - Difficulty finding a Sporting Director at a top team + Edu’s transfer record

00:10:46 - How do Arsenal go about finding a replacement?

00:12:57 - You need someone who is comfortable with disagreements

00:15:59 - Who are the candidates on the shortlist?

00:17:12 - Julian Ward + Txiki Begiristain

00:18:49 - Monchi

00:19:58 - Paul Mitchell

00:20:21 - Arsene Wenger??

00:21:29 - Roberto Olabe

00:24:03 - Personality might be the biggest part of this hire (to stand up to/mesh with Arteta)

00:25:31 - Phil Giles

00:26:14 - How long will Arteta stay at Arsenal?

00:29:11 - Ruben Amorim and Sporting defeat Man City

00:30:33 - Viktor Gyökeres performance + will he be in the Premier League soon?

00:32:22 - Sporting did not play their usual style

00:33:45 - City had problems trying to breakdown Sporting’s defense

00:35:24 - Injuries hurting City + KDB returning

00:38:19 - Overreliance on Haaland + lack of attacking creativity

00:42:37 - How can Brighton take advantage of City’s bad form?

00:45:59 - Weird Medical remedies over the years

00:47:49 - Real Madrid lose at home to Milan

00:48:56 - Did the Ballon d’or debacle hurt Madrid?

00:53:57 - Lucas Vasquez vs Rafael Leao + lack of balance in attack

00:54:44 - No Endrick or Guler used as subs

00:56:14 - Madrid have a problem with “sacred cows”

00:57:28 - Will Ancelotti be Madrid’s manager next season? + Camavinga must start

01:00:57 - Endrick and Guler lacking minutes

01:02:23 - Will Madrid look to buy Joshua Kimmich?

01:03:35 - Ravi = Neo?

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In this episode, Patrick and Ted break down the games from this past weekend. They start at the top of the table, with Arsenal and Manchester City faltering, leaving Liverpool 2 points in the lead. They discuss whether Liverpool can maintain their lead with a tough upcoming schedule, if City can rebound despite their injuries, and whether Arsenal are already out of the title race. Next, they talk about Manchester United's lucky 1-1 draw with Chelsea and how they managed to escape two possible red cards. Finally, they finish with Tottenham's 4-1 victory over Aston Villa and the difficulty of separating the top 13 teams in the Premier League. Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:55 - Arsenal,City, and Liverpool over the weekend

01:23 - How Brighton setup against Liverpool

02:34 - How stressful the Premier League is

03:15 - Liverpool weathered the storm then attacked

04:37 - How long Liverpool’s squad has been in rotation

05:43 - Tough schedule ahead for Liverpool

06:21 - Are liverpool favorites or should it still be city?

07:41 - City have a ton of injuries and an old squad

10:16 - Arsenal’ lack of attacking threat vs. Newcastle

11:47 - A bad game for Arsenal and Arteta

13:00 - Are managers too conservative with substitutions

14:07 - Edu Gaspar leaving Arsenal

16:39 - What is the best approach to substitutions?

20:25 - Is Arteta taking more power at Arsenal?

22:31 - Are Arsenal out of the title race?

24:26 - Phil Foden’s added threat for City

26:16 - Manchester United vs. Chelsea

26:40 - United were lucky to not get red cards (Ugarte/Martinez)

30:00 - Defensive breakdowns leading to chances + Why is Robert Sanchez in goal

31:24 - The game from a United Perspective

32:54 - The game from a Chelsea Perspective + Cole Palmer

34:05 - Concern for Chelsea’s defense?

36:10 - Tottenham vs. Aston Villa

37:21 - How managers give their players breaks during the season

38:30 - Villa were unable to contain the match

39:16 - Spurs are GOOD?

39:24 - Hard to separate teams the top 7 and top 13 teams in the table

42:26 - What makes every week exciting in the Premier League

44:00 - Serie A is also BANANAS

#premierleague #liverpool #manchesterunited #manchestercity #manutd #arsenal #tottenham #chelsea #astonvilla #arteta #colepalmer #philfoden

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Ted Knutson shares his insights for EVERY EPL Matchday 10 game and discusses why you MUST wait for the lineups before betting certain games.

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:05 - Liverpool vs. Brighton

01:48 - Why you must check the lineup before betting this match

02:22 - Ipswich vs. Leicester City

02:41 - Forest vs. West Ham

03:48 - Bournemouth vs. Man City

04:44 - Newcastle vs. Arsenal

06:13 - Southampton vs. Everton

06:36 - Wolves vs. Crystal Palace

07:03 - Tottenham vs. Aston Villa

09:29 - Manchester United vs. Chelsea

11:31 - Fulham vs. Brentford

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On this episode, Ted and Ravi answer frequently asked questions about getting started in sports analytics using their extensive knowledge and experience in the industry. They get into how to look for a job, the skills you need, and what to expect once you land a job. If you have more questions you want answered, leave them in the comments down below!

Details for Ravi's conference in Houston:

https://americansoccerinsights.com/

Data Contest/Call for Proposals:

https://americansoccerinsights.com/call-for-proposals

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Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:01:01 - How do I get started?

00:04:46 - What skills do I need?

00:21:25 - Where to look for football jobs?

00:23:17 - Apart from football clubs, where are some other places I can find data jobs in football?

00:26:25 - I want to go into football, but I don't have the data skills - where can I learn them fast?

00:35:24 - How can I set myself apart from the crowd?

00:46:00 - The pay seems very low - what can I do about it?

00:51:10 - What's it look to work for these teams?

01:04:52 - What are your biggest takeaways from working in sports?

#dataanalytics #analytics #data #football #soccer #sports #sportsanalytics #premierleague #mls #stats

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On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Manchester United firing manager Erik ten Hag. They run down why he had to be fired, Ruud van Nistelrooy as interim manager, and potential names for the job. Then, Ravi joins Patrick to discuss Barcelona's 4-0 victory over Real Madrid over the weekend. They talk about Barcelona's high line causing problems for Madrid, Madrid lacking a holding striker, and if Barcelona can maintain this form for the rest of the season. Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:00:47 - United sack Erik ten Hag

00:01:31 - Ruud van Nistelrooy interim manager

00:01:45 - Manchester United’s recent form

00:04:14 - Trends for United

00:04:39 - Could they be better with a better coach?

00:05:39 - What a good and bad manager change process looks like

00:07:24 - The U Curve of coaches

00:10:18 - Could ten Hag’s hurt United?

00:10:56 - Dan Ashworth’s limited early influence

00:11:53 - Who should United hire?

00:12:39 - Pochettino and Tuchel already have jobs

00:13:28 - Could van Nistelrooy stay on?

00:14:29 - Gareth Southgate

00:15:27 - Ruben Amorim

00:15:54 - How do budgets play into the new hire decision?

00:17:51 - Xavi as next United manager?

00:20:05 - Luis Enrique

00:21:12 - Graham Potter

00:23:09 - Eddie Howe

00:24:24 - Mourinho was the most pragmatic of recent United coaches

00:25:05 - Michael Carrick

00:28:44 - Adi Hutter

00:30:57 - Bournemouth manager Andoni Iraola?

00:31:47 - Thomas Frank

00:34:08 - The ability of a manager to get player buy-in

00:35:41 - Roger Schmidt and his pressing style

00:37:44 - Julian Nagelsmann

00:39:44 - Should United settle for the least costly option?

00:40:53 - The stress of managing/working for a team

00:41:38 - Ravi joins to talk El Clasico

00:42:46 - The game was closer than the score and Barca’s impressive workload

00:44:33 - Madrid’s gameplan was to be direct

00:45:19 - Was Fermin Lopez the correct choice?

00:46:06 - The technical ability on display

00:46:46 - Substitutions settled the game for Barca

00:47:55 - Casado’s line-breaking pass for Goal #1

00:48:52 - The high line was very impressive

00:50:11 - Lucas Vazquez struggled

00:53:14 - Who should be blamed for Madrid?

00:54:46 - Madrid struggle with a pivot and where was Endrick?

00:56:52 - Bellingham’s lack of forward threat

00:58:52 - Can Barcelona sustain this performance?

01:02:06 - Mbappe moving to the right side?

#manchesterunited #realmadrid #barcelona #manutd #eriktenhag #elclassico #football #soccer #podcast

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On this episode, Ted shares his picks for EPL matchday 9. He starts by explaining why he flat bets and when to use accumulators. He gives insights on the matches he's betting on, including Arsenal vs. Liverpool, and explains why he's staying away from certain matchups (both City and United). Enjoy!

More information on fractional Kelly betting: https://www.pinnacle.com/betting-resources/en/betting-strategy/revisiting-the-kelly-criterion-part-2-fractional-kelly/gbd27z9nljvgflgg

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:18 - Why do you bet flat amounts?

03:44 - Why don't you bet accumulators?

06:23 - Leicester City vs. Forest

07:16 - Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth

08:03 - Brentford vs. Ipswich

09:02 - Manchester City vs. Southampton

09:51 - Brighton vs. Wolves

11:33 - Everton vs. Fulham

13:10 - Chelsea vs. Newcastle

14:15 - Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham

15:33 - West Ham vs. Manchester United

17:02 - Arsenal vs. Liverpool

#premierleague #epl #betting #liverpool #arsenal #chelsea #tottenham #soccer #football #manchesterunited

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On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Real Madrid's 5-2 win over Dortmund and the injuries to Thibaut Courtois and Rodrygo. Next, they preview the Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich Champions League match today and how the game might be insightful for El Clasico on Saturday. They then dive into the best lineups for both Real Madrid and Barcelona, how much injured (Dani Olmo and Gavi) and older (Luka Modric) might play, and give their predictions for the final score. They end the conversation with Xabi Alonso's rumoured exit from Bayer Leverkusen at the end of the season, potential landing spots, and if he will actually leave. Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:02 - Real Madrid vs. Dortmund

04:32 - Real Madrid’s defense was shocking

05:32 - Different Midfield lineups Madrid has used

06:50 - Ravi’s pre-game prediction

07:48 - Bellingham last season vs. this season

09:43 - Modric, Valverde, and Madrid’s Galactico mindset

11:02 - How do they fix their midfield issues?

11:41 - How much will Modric play?

14:08 - Will Rodrygo be the odd man out?

15:12 - Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich Preview

16:20 - A good test for Bayern

17:39 - Barcelona players returning from injury

18:50 - How much can Gavi give them?

21:02 - What front 3 will Barcelona play?

22:35 - Giving minutes to returning players against Bayern

23:33 - What lineup will Madrid use against Barcelona?

24:10 - Courtois injury for Madrid

25:19 - An offensive vs. defensive lineup

26:37 - Stylistic matchups

28:21 - Should Barcelona play more conservatively?

30:11 - Both teams are weak at fullback

31:13 - Lewandowski should play as a pivot

31:57 - Ideal lineup for Barcelona

33:21 - Ravi’s predictions for El Clasico

35:38 - Patrick’s prediction for El Clasico

36:45 - Flick’s first Clasico

37:12 - A La Liga game vs. a Champions League game

39:19 - Leverkusen rumoured to be looking for a Xavi Alonso replacement

40:14 - The timing with Txiki’s departure and Pep’s contract expiring

40:52 - Real Madrid also make sense

41:34 - Hugo Viana and Ruben Amorim

42:21 - The obvious spot for Xabi Alonso

44:25 - What happens if Carlo Ancelotti doesn’t want to leave?

47:18 - Alonso’s contract ends in 2026

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