The Value Investing Podcast with Fexingo: Buffett, Graham, and Long-Term Stock Picking

In this episode, Lucas and Luna explore the often-overlooked variable of regulatory risk in value investing. Using the recent changes in Federal Reserve communication and the Dallas Fed president's call for higher rates, they discuss how shifting regulatory landscapes can create both traps and opportunities for long-term investors. They examine the case of Bank of America and JPMorgan, which have seen divergent stock performance despite similar exposure to interest rate changes. Lucas explains how to assess regulatory risk as part of a margin of safety calculation, and Luna shares a historical example of how regulatory shifts created value in the pharmaceutical sector. The conversation also touches on the growth of prediction markets and what that means for forecasting regulatory outcomes. By the end, listeners will understand why regulatory risk deserves a dedicated spot in their investment checklist.

#ValueInvesting #RegulatoryRisk #FederalReserve #BankOfAmerica #JPMorgan #DallasFed #Logan #InterestRates #MarginOfSafety #Pharmaceuticals #Pfizer #PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Finance #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Investing #StockPicking

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In episode 120 of The Value Investing Podcast, Lucas and Luna tackle one of the hardest questions in value investing: when to sell. They walk through the classic Buffett framework — sell when the business deteriorates, when a better opportunity emerges, or when the stock becomes overvalued — and ground it in today's market. Using JPMorgan as a case study, they note the stock's 2% gain over the past five days and its 1.6x price-to-book multiple, asking whether bank stocks' recent run means it's time to trim. They also discuss the 'circle of competence' rule and the danger of selling too soon. A practical episode for anyone struggling with the exit decision.

#ValueInvesting #SellDiscipline #WarrenBuffett #JPMorgan #BankStocks #MarginOfSafety #IntrinsicValue #PriceToBook #CircleOfCompetence #PortfolioManagement #Finance #BusinessPodcast #FexingoBusiness #LongTermInvesting #Patience #OpportunityCost #DavidDodd #BenjaminGraham

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In this episode of The Value Investing Podcast with Fexingo, Lucas and Luna explore a counterintuitive signal that value investors often overlook: the stale price chart. When a stock trades in a narrow range for months or years, it may indicate that the market has fully priced in bad news, creating a potential entry point for disciplined value investors. Lucas examines Pfizer (PFE), which has been stuck around $25 per share for over a year despite stable earnings and a 5.8% dividend yield. He explains how to distinguish a value plateau from a value trap by analyzing free cash flow, debt levels, and management's capital allocation decisions. Luna questions whether this strategy works for bank stocks like Bank of America (BAC), which have rallied recently on higher interest rates. The hosts reference the current flat Fed funds rate at 3.63% and discuss how the stale chart signal applies in a steady-rate environment. Tune in to learn a simple visual tool that can uncover hidden value in today's market.

#ValueInvesting #StalePriceChart #Pfizer #BankOfAmerica #FedFundsRate #DividendYield #FreeCashFlow #CapitalAllocation #ValueTrap #LongTermInvesting #StockAnalysis #BenjaminGraham #WarrenBuffett #MarketSignal #Finance #InvestingPodcast #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast

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Short sellers are piling against SpaceX as its stock dips below its IPO price. Lucas and Luna examine how a value investor should approach short seller research — not as a trading signal, but as a source of investigative leads. They walk through the SPAC era's lessons, the difference between fundamental accusations and technical manipulation, and why a good short thesis can actually point you toward a long opportunity. Using JPMorgan and Bank of America as counterexamples — both up this week despite bearish macro calls — they show how low expectations and real asset quality can flip the script. No cheerleading for either side: just a framework for reading the other team's playbook.

#ShortSelling #SpaceX #ValueInvesting #JPMorgan #BankOfAmerica #SPACs #ShortThesis #MarginOfSafety #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Finance #Investing #StockMarket #LongTermInvesting #Contrarian #AssetQuality #EarningsQuality #ShortSqueeze

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In Episode 117 of The Value Investing Podcast, Lucas and Luna examine share buyback yield as a value signal in mid-2026. With Berkshire Hathaway stock down 1.2% over the past five days despite its massive buyback program, the hosts debate whether heavy repurchases at JPMorgan, Bank of America, Chevron, and Exxon Mobil are genuinely creating value for long-term holders—or just masking earnings-per-share math. Lucas walks through the calculation: buyback yield = net share repurchases divided by market cap, using JPMorgan's 2% five-day gain and Bank of America's 3% move as real-time examples. Luna pushes back on buybacks funded by debt and questions the signaling effect when management buys high. The episode also covers how to combine buyback yield with dividend yield for a total shareholder yield metric, and why investors should watch the pace of repurchases relative to intrinsic value. A practical, numbers-driven episode for anyone who wants to look beyond the press release.

#ValueInvesting #ShareBuybacks #BuybackYield #BerkshireHathaway #JPMorgan #BankOfAmerica #Chevron #ExxonMobil #ShareholderYield #CapitalAllocation #IntrinsicValue #DividendYield #TotalShareholderYield #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Finance #LongTermInvesting #StockBuybacks

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In this episode of The Value Investing Podcast, Lucas and Luna explore how the margin of safety concept works in today's market. With the S&P 500 at 7,534 and small caps lagging, they dive into a case study on Pfizer, trading near $25 with strong fundamentals. Lucas explains how a 40% discount to intrinsic value can protect against uncertainty, using a real-world framework from Seth Klarman. They discuss why cash flow and book value matter more than earnings estimates, and how to adjust for rising interest rates. Tune in for a practical take on Benjamin Graham's most enduring principle.

#MarginOfSafety #ValueInvesting #Pfizer #SethKlarman #BenjaminGraham #IntrinsicValue #CashFlowAnalysis #SmallCaps #S&P500 #FedPolicy #InterestRates #StockPicking #LongTermInvesting #Finance #InvestingPodcast #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Podcast

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Episode 115 of The Value Investing Podcast with Fexingo: Lucas and Luna unpack a metric that's gaining traction in 2026—return on tangible equity. They explain why stripping out goodwill and intangibles gives a cleaner picture of a bank's real profitability, using JPMorgan and Bank of America as current examples. With JPMorgan up 2% and Bank of America up 3.1% over the past five days, the hosts discuss how ROTE helps value investors spot which lenders are genuinely earning their cost of capital. They also touch on how the metric applies to non-financials like ExxonMobil and Chevron, which have rallied 5.1% and 4.2% respectively. No fluff—just a focused look at why return on tangible equity matters right now, with concrete numbers and a clear framework. Perfect for anyone who wants to cut through accounting noise and measure a business's true operating performance.

#ReturnOnTangibleEquity #ValueInvesting #BankStocks #JPMorgan #BankOfAmerica #ExxonMobil #Chevron #IntangibleAssets #Goodwill #ROTE #FinancialStocks #Accounting #InvestingPodcast #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Podcast #Finance #StockMarket

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In Episode 114 of The Value Investing Podcast, Lucas and Luna explore a counterintuitive value strategy: buying stocks where the market prices tangible assets but ignores valuable intangibles like patents, software, or brand strength. They anchor on recent headlines including Warren Buffett's remark that 'it's tough to find values when everybody is preferring gambling' and Anthropic's looming mega-IPO, which highlight the tension between speculative markets and hidden asset plays. The hosts walk through a concrete example—a hypothetical industrial company trading below book value whose unvalued patent portfolio could unlock 30% upside. They discuss how to find such 'free options' using R&D spend as a ratio of enterprise value, and why this approach fits the current 3.63% Fed rate environment where yield is scarce. Specific numbers from the week's market action—including Chevron's 4.3% five-day gain and the Russell 2000's 0.5% dip—ground the conversation in real conditions. No marketing fluff, no forced jokes—just a clear, specific angle on a neglected value hunting technique.

#ValueInvesting #IntangibleAssets #PatentValue #WarrenBuffett #AnthropicIPO #HiddenValue #FreeOption #RDSpend #BookValue #Chevron #Russell2000 #FedRate #AssetPlay #Contrarian #LongTermInvesting #Finance #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast

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Episode 113 of The Value Investing Podcast with Fexingo. Lucas and Luna explore how value investors use low earnings expectations as a contrarian signal. They discuss the recent performance of Pfizer and bank stocks like JPMorgan, and why low expectations can create a margin of safety. Drawing on Warren Buffett's latest comment about 'preferring gambling,' they examine the gap between market sentiment and intrinsic value. A practical look at how to find opportunities in unloved sectors, using real-time data from July 2026.

#ValueInvesting #LowExpectations #Contrarian #Pfizer #JPMorgan #BankStocks #WarrenBuffett #MarginOfSafety #IntrinsicValue #EarningsSurprise #PharmaStocks #MoneyConversations #Finance #InvestmentStrategy #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #StockMarket #LongTermInvesting

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In this episode, Lucas and Luna explore how value investors use insider buying as a signal for undervalued stocks. They examine a recent surge in insider purchases at JPMorgan Chase, where top executives have been buying shares in early July 2026, just ahead of the bank's strong earnings. Lucas breaks down three criteria for evaluating insider transactions: the size of the buy relative to the executive's salary, the insider's role, and the transaction's timing relative to news. They contrast this with a cautionary tale at Pfizer, where insider selling has continued despite the stock's low valuation. The hosts discuss how the current market environment, with the S&P 500 at 7,544 and interest rates steady at 3.63%, is creating opportunities for value investors to follow insider leads. A concrete example: JPMorgan's CEO recently bought $5 million worth of stock at an average price of $332, and the stock has since risen to $343. Lucas emphasizes that insider buying is not a standalone signal but works best combined with fundamental analysis like the price-to-book ratio and cash flow yield. This episode provides practical tools for listeners to track and interpret insider transactions, a classic approach refined for today's market.

#ValueInvesting #InsiderBuying #JPMorgan #Pfizer #StockPicking #WarrenBuffett #BenjaminGraham #Finance #Podcast #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #EarningsSeason #BankStocks #PharmaStocks #InsiderTrading #UndervaluedStocks #MarketSignals #InvestmentStrategy

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