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This episode examines the U.S. ban on humanoid robot exports to China and China's retaliation threat through a value investor's lens. Co-hosts Lucas and Luna discuss how trade tensions challenge assumptions about durable competitive advantage, using Berkshire Hathaway's recent strength (BRK-B +3% in 5 days) and flat interest rates (Fed funds at 3.63%) as context. They explore why companies with complex global supply chains may see their moats erode, while domestically focused value stocks offer more predictable returns. The hosts also break down how to adjust margin of safety when geopolitical risk is high, and why the market's reaction so far—with value ETFs like IWD up 1% and VTV flat—suggests investors may be underestimating the long-term impact.
#ValueInvesting #GeopoliticalRisk #TradeWar #HumanoidRobot #Moats #BerkshireHathaway #China #Tariffs #SupplyChain #IWD #VTV #InterestRates #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Finance #Investing #LongTerm #StockPicking
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This week the Dow briefly plunged a thousand points. Lucas and Luna discuss how value investors should interpret sharp market drops, using recent data: the iShares S&P 100 Value ETF is up while the Vanguard Value ETF is flat, and Berkshire Hathaway gained nearly 4 percent. They explore the case for buying the dip, the role of cash reserves, and how geopolitical headlines like the China-U.S. robot ban create both risk and opportunity. Plus a look at why dividend stocks and companies with pricing power may benefit when volatility spikes. Recorded July 30, 2026.
#ValueInvesting #MarketDrop #DowCrash #BuyTheDip #BerkshireHathaway #GeopoliticalRisk #DividendStocks #Volatility #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Finance #Investing #StockMarket #Recession #CashIsKing #LongTerm #Patience #Opportunity
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With the NASDAQ tumbling 2.8% in five days while the Russell 1000 Value Index rises 1.4%, the growth-to-value rotation is accelerating. Lucas and Luna examine what's driving the shift, from the Fed's steady rates to bond market inflation signals. They explore how Berkshire Hathaway's 3.7% gain reflects the value advantage and discuss which sectors may benefit next. Plus, practical advice for value investors on navigating the rotation without falling for hype.
#ValueInvesting #GrowthToValue #MarketRotation #Fed #InterestRates #BerkshireHathaway #BRKB #IWDRussell1000Value #NASDAQ #StockMarket #Inflation #Gundlach #BondMarket #InvestingStrategy #Business #Finance #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast
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Lucas and Luna explore how the rise of AI-driven trading algorithms, operating 24/7, is reshaping stock markets. Far from a threat, these bots create mispricings that patient value investors can exploit. Using current examples like energy stocks Exxon and Chevron, and banks JPMorgan and Bank of America, they explain how to spot companies sold off irrationally. With the S&P 500 above 7,400 and value ETFs like IWD and VTV flat, the disconnect between price and fundamentals is wide. They also discuss the importance of free cash flow yield and low debt in a stable interest rate environment. This episode offers a contrarian take: the age of AI trading may be a golden era for disciplined value investors.
#AI #TradingBots #ValueInvesting #Mispricing #Algorithms #ArtificialIntelligence #StockMarket #Banking #Energy #FreeCashFlow #InterestRates #FlatRates #Fundamentals #Inefficiencies #LongTermInvesting #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Value
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As of July 28, 2026, the Fed Funds rate has held steady at 3.63 percent since June, creating a clear divergence between value and growth. Over the past five days, the NASDAQ has fallen over 3 percent while value ETFs like the iShares Russell 1000 Value (IWD) have gained 1.8 percent. Lucas and Luna break down why a flat rate environment benefits value stocks—shorter duration cash flows, stable discount rates, and a tailwind for financials like JPMorgan and Bank of America. They also discuss Visa's recent layoffs as an example of cost discipline in a stagnant rate world. Plus, a look at how the Dow's strong performance compared to the NASDAQ reflects this rotation. This episode offers a concrete framework for understanding interest rate impacts on portfolio positioning.
#ValueInvesting #InterestRates #FederalReserve #FedFundsRate #ValueVsGrowth #NASDAQ #IWD #VTV #JPMorgan #BankOfAmerica #Visa #Layoffs #Efficiency #DiscountRates #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Finance #Investing
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In this episode of The Value Investing Podcast, Lucas and Luna analyze Steve Eisman's recent decision to sell a major AI position and publicly question the tech narrative. With the Nasdaq down 3.5% over the last five days and value ETFs like IWD and VTV up, they explore how disciplined value investors like Eisman avoid hype cycles. They discuss the importance of knowing when to exit, the role of behavioral discipline, and what this move means for long-term stock pickers. Tune in for a focused breakdown of one of 2026's most telling investor pivots.
#SteveEisman #BigShort #ValueInvesting #AICaution #TechHype #Discipline #LongTermInvesting #BerkshireHathaway #Nasdaq #ValueOutperformance #BehavioralFinance #EismanExit #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Finance #Investing #StockPicking #Patience
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In this episode of The Value Investing Podcast, Lucas and Luna examine the recent market rotation: the NASDAQ fell 3.5% in the past five days, while value indices like IWD and VTV gained nearly 1%. They discuss why value investors should resist the urge to buy the dip in overvalued tech, drawing on Steve Eisman's recent sale of an AI stock and Berkshire Hathaway's ongoing cash holdings. Using real data from July 27, 2026, they explore how patience and a focus on intrinsic value can pay off during sector selloffs. The hosts also explain how to distinguish a genuine value opportunity from a value trap, using examples from the current market. A timely look at staying disciplined when growth stocks are on sale.
#ValueInvesting #MarketRotation #TechSelloff #NASDAQCrisis #SteveEisman #BerkshireHathaway #Patience #ValueTrap #IntrinsicValue #S&P500Value #IWDetf #VTVetf #AIDoubts #InvestmentStrategy #Finance #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #LongTermInvesting
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In this episode of The Value Investing Podcast, Lucas and Luna dissect Moody's recent warning that 'unprecedented' AI spending by tech giants like Amazon, Meta, and Alphabet threatens their credit quality. Recorded on July 27, 2026, with the Fed funds rate at 3.63% and oil prices rising, they explain how value investors can use credit rating reports as a key part of their research. Lucas outlines the specific metrics to watch—interest coverage, debt-to-EBITDA, free cash flow adequacy—and shows how a single analyst report can flag deteriorating balance sheets before the market reprices risk. Luna pushes back on whether ratings are always accurate, and they both share practical steps for incorporating Moody's, S&P, and Fitch reports into a value investor's toolkit. If you own or are considering any stock with significant debt, this episode will sharpen your ability to spot red flags early.
#ValueInvesting #CreditRatings #Moodys #AISpending #BigTech #Amazon #Meta #Alphabet #DebtAnalysis #FreeCashFlow #InterestCoverage #Finance #Business #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #InvestingPodcast #StockMarket #RiskManagement
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In this episode, Lucas and Luna break down Warren Buffett's favorite 'free money' machine: insurance float. They explain how Berkshire Hathaway's property-casualty subsidiaries generate billions in premium float at a negative cost, and why that gives the company a permanent competitive advantage in capital allocation. With the Fed funds rate flat at 3.63% and Berkshire shares trading near $495, the hosts walk listeners through how to evaluate the durability and cost of float, using real numbers from the 2025 annual report. They also discuss why float is especially valuable in a rising-rate environment and how value investors can look for similar dynamics in other insurers. A must-listen for anyone trying to understand what truly powers Berkshire's long-term returns.
#ValueInvesting #BerkshireHathaway #InsuranceFloat #WarrenBuffett #CapitalAllocation #Finance #Investing #LongTerm #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Insurance #Float #Berkshire2026 #FedFundsRate #CompetitiveAdvantage #Graham #Buffettology #InvestmentStrategy
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With the Fed holding rates at 3.63% and odds of a hike surging, Moody's has warned that massive AI spending could pressure the credit ratings of Amazon, Meta, and Alphabet. In this episode, Lucas and Luna break down how value investors read balance sheets for debt risk: why the debt-to-EBITDA ratio matters more than ever, how interest coverage ratios signal trouble, and what the yield curve inversion means for borrowing costs. They walk through a real example from the energy sector, where oil price spikes are tempting companies to lever up, and explain why free cash flow coverage trumps all. Plus, they discuss how to spot hidden debt in operating leases and pension obligations. If you're a value investor trying to avoid the next value trap, this episode gives you the tools to stress-test any company's capital structure.
#ValueInvesting #DebtAnalysis #InterestRates #FedHike #Moodys #Amazon #Meta #Alphabet #BalanceSheet #DebtToEBITDA #InterestCoverage #FreeCashFlow #OilPrices #EnergySector #CreditRisk #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Finance
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