RR The Wire 2230Z December 5, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR

DTG: 223005Z DEC 23

ICOD: 213005Z DEC 23

CONTROLS: Public Release

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BLUF: CONFLICT CONTINUES IN GAZA AND WEST BANK. SOUTH AMERICA AWAITS VENEZEULA’S NEXT MOVE.

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-International Events-

Middle East: Conflict in Jenin intensifies following IDF actions in the area. Airstrikes continue to be persistent throughout much of the West Bank. Hezbollah militants in Lebanon continue rocket attacks as before.

South America: Brazilian military forces remain at a heightened state of readiness following the escalation of tensions in the region. So far, there are no solid indicators of Venezuelan actions regarding their potential annexation of Esequibo. AC: Some demonstrators in the Esequibo have conducted displays of support for Venezuela on social media. Several Venezuelan flags have been placed on strategic mountaintops in the region as well.

Europe: Among US politicians, rhetoric concerning the Ukrainian war has radically reversed course over the past few weeks. Even the most dedicated supporters of the Ukrainian war are announcing that financial and military support for Ukraine will continue to dwindle.

-HomeFront-

TX: A chemical incident at the Altivia Specialty Chemicals plant in La Porte resulted in the release of phosgene gas. This incident prompted evacuations for the local area. No word on what caused the incident.

-Analyst Comments-

It is currently unclear as to whether or not Venezuela will actually go through with plans to invade Guyana. Posts on social media (which are the only insight into the remote region) remain wildly variable and extremely unconfirmed. If Venezuela were to launch an invasion, terrain will likely be the biggest limiting factor as Guyana’s entire military (using 2018 numbers) is roughly the size of the Dallas Police Department. Additionally, if an invasion were to occur, it would be difficult to determine virtually any information as the Esequibo region is largely untouched by civilization.

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Analyst: S2A

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