S2 Underground

//The Wire//2300Z October 5, 2026//
 //ROUTINE//
 //BLUF: SAUDI PIPELINE HIT AGAIN BY HOUTHIS, STATUS OF PIPELINE UNCLEAR. BRITISH AUTHORITIES ISSUE DISPERSAL ORDER FOR ENTIRE TOWN TO CONCEAL ILLEGAL MIGRANT INVASION. RESEARCHER DIES OF PLAGUE FOLLOWING LAB ACCIDENT IN SIBERIA. EPSTEIN INVESTIGATOR FOUND DEAD AFTER EXPOSING HOWARD LUTNICK'S FINANCIAL TIES TO EPSTEIN.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Russia: Concerns are growing regarding an accident involving pneumonic plague at the Irkutsk Research Anti-Plague Institute of Siberia. A few days ago, one researcher at the facility died from the plague after accidentally breaking a test tube containing the Yersinia pestis virus.

Analyst Comment: Though this story seems quite alarming, this is not to the level of outbreak just yet. The researcher who caused her own initial infection did so accidentally, and immediately followed the proper procedures for such an incident. She was promptly hospitalized, but nevertheless died from the plague a few days later. This will be important to monitor just in case additional infections appear, and 197 people are currently under observation. So far, the only infected person has been the original researcher who broke the test tube.

United Kingdom: Over the weekend authorities issued a Section 34 dispersal order for the entire town of Gosport, effectively locking down the entire population of this town. This order has been issued specifically to protect the migrant arrivals in the town, as major deployments of police are underway to aid and abet the migrants arriving on small boats, which are being escorted into the country. At the same time the lockdown of Gosport was announced, large and coordinated groups of migrants arrived on the beaches in France, to facilitate the highly organized illegal migration during the time that the Section 34 mandate was in place.

Analyst Comment: This is a major concern. To be clear, the Section 34 order is not to the level of outright martial law, but right now if a locals in the town Gosport were to take out their phones and record the migrant hordes being protected and escorted into the country by the police, the police could order that person to leave or be arrested.

United Kingdom: Over the weekend, reports emerged claiming that Simon Andriesz was found dead a few days ago under unclear circumstances. Andriesz was a former employee of Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's firm, who turned whistleblower after unearthing new data confirming Lutnick's direct link to Jeffrey Epstein. He testified before the House Oversight Committee, and his work was used to directly summon Lutnick for closed-door testimony before the Committee regarding his financial ties to Epstein. Previously, Lutnick had claimed that he had briefly stopped at Epstein's island for lunch on one occasion, however Andriesz discovered emails between Lutnick and Eptsein, indicating that they were exploring the creation of a business together. On August 9th, Andriesz posted this discovery on social media, and over the weekend he was found dead. The cause of Andriesz's death has not yet been confirmed by authorities.

Saudi Arabia: Last night Houthi forces struck another pumping station along the East-West Pipeline, with heavy smoke plumes being observed by locals being emitted from the facility. Fighting continued throughout the day, with Houthi strikes being reported in Riyadh, Yanbu, and Jizan, which was prompted by continued fighting on the ground between Houthi forces and Saudi backed militia groups.

Analyst Comment: Saudi sources claim that the East-West pipeline is still operational, however if the Saudi-backed militia groups keep poking the bear and making gains on the ground, the Houthis will continue hitting the extremely exposed and undefended Saudi oil infrastructure. In any case, a smoke plume 30 miles long is not exactly good news for pipeline repairs. The Houthis have already demonstrated multiple times that they will wait for the pipeline to be repaired, before hitting it once again, and will continue to do so until something changes on the diplomatic front.

Persian Gulf: Strikes have continued on merchant shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. A total of two vessels were struck over the weekend, and two more were hit today. Also this morning the UKMTO reported one vessel turning back after being hailed by Iranian forces, and warned to not proceed further.

Analyst Comment: If this report is true, this would be an indicator that at least the crew of this vessel did not have any confidence in the American abilities to protect them, so they turned back before being struck.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Over the weekend, the United States withdrew the flight of B-1B Lancer bombers that were stationed at RAF Fairford. This withdrawal was reportedly of an emergency nature; the bombers departed England before the usual refueling tankers had departed the United States to refuel them along the way, and unconfirmed closed-source reporting from personnel at the base suggest that the movement was not announced very far in advance. Currently the Pentagon is insinuating that this movement is being conducted for security reasons. However, this is almost certainly not the case.

Right now, at this very moment, a dozen U.S. Air Force refueling tankers are sitting on the tarmac at Al Udeid airbase, the same base which got hit hard by Iran during the height of the war. This is also the same base that has so far been a key indicator of escalations...when Al Udeid empties out, major strikes are likely to follow within a couple of days. If the US is going to keep these aircraft in Qatar, there is absolutely zero chance that they would move B-1's from England due to being struck by Iran directly, or via proxy groups. Also, the United States maintains a significant presence at other bases in England, such as RAF Mildenhall and RAF Lakenheath. Both of these bases are arguably more important for the United States, with both having been used to house bombers as well. Both of these bases remain at a heightened security posture, but the American presence remains the same as before. 

As to why the US is moving these bombers, it's anyone's guess. It could be a de-escalatory measure, or it could be a feint and they're going to forward-deploy somewhere else. For launching additional strikes on Iran, the B-1's would be helpful (as they launch long-range cruise missiles and larger bombs), but not strictly necessary. B-2's can always deploy from within the United States and fly directly to Iran for precision strikes on certain locations, and considering that the main armament of the B-1B's includes the JASSM cruise missile, and the JDAM smart bomb (both of which are reportedly in short supply), the cost/benefit analysis of keeping the B-1's in the U.K. might suggest this deployment is no longer necessary. Either way, it will be interesting to see what other movements might take place over the next few days, as the war in the Middle East remains as kinetic as before.

Analyst: S2A1
 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
NomadNet: 5fa68c88be727a0e1a250a75e5e79269
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
//END REPORT//

Research Notes/Bibliography can be found here: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground 

Common Intelligence Picture: https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=204a59b01f4443cd96718796fd102c00 

Border Crisis Map: https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=7f13eda1f301431e98a7ac0393b0e6b0 

TOC Dashboard: https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/ebe374c40c1a4231a06075155b0e8cb9/ 

00:00 - Global Overview 

01:04 - Strategic Reserves 

04:30 - The Fairford Five 

07:35 - Ukraine 

08:18 - Hormuz Shenanigans 

12:31 - Dodgy Statistics 

19:53 - False Flag Season 

25:40 - Strategic Movement 

30:08 - GhostNet 

Download the GhostNet plan here! https://github.com/s2underground/GhostNet 

The text version of the Wire can be found on Twitter: https://twitter.com/s2_underground 

And on our Wire Telegram page here: https://t.me/S2undergroundWire If you would like to support us, we're on Patreon! https://www.patreon.com/user?u=30479515 

Disclaimer: No company sponsored this video. In fact, we have ZERO sponsors. We are funded 100% by you, the viewer. All of our funding comes from direct support from platforms like Patreon, or from ad revenue on YouTube. Without your support, I simply could not do this work at all, so to those of you who chose to support my efforts, I am eternally thankful. Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/S2Underground BitChute: https://www.bitchute.com/channel/P2NMGFdt3gf3/ Just a few reminders for everyone who's just become aware of us, in order to keep these briefings from being several hours long, I can't cover everything. I'm probably covering 1% of the world events when we conduct these briefings, so please remember that if I left it out, it doesn't necessarily mean that it's unimportant. Also, remember that I do these briefings quite often, so I might have covered an issue previously that you might not see if you are only watching our most recent videos. I'm also doing this in my spare time, so again I fully admit that these briefings aren't even close to being perfect; I'm going for a healthy blend of speed and quality. If I were to wait and only post a brief when it's "perfect" I would never post anything at all. So expect some minor errors here and there. If there is a major error or correction that needs to be made, I will post it here in the description, and verbally address it in the next briefing. Also, thanks for reading this far. It is always surprising the number of people that don't actually read the description box to find more information. This content is purely educational and does not advocate for violating any laws. Do not violate any laws or regulations. This is not legal advice. Consult with your attorney. Our Reading List! https://www.goodreads.com/user/show/133747963-s2-actual The War Kitchen Channel! https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYmtpjXT22tAWGIlg_xDDPA 

//The Wire//2300Z October 2, 2026//
 //ROUTINE//
 //BLUF: VIOLENT RIOTS CONTINUE IN FRANCE. SECURITY INCIDENT REPORTED AT GRAND MOSQUE IN MECCA. TROOP DEPLOYMENT SURGE OBSERVED AT SOUTHERN US BORDER. UNITED STATES CONTINUES STAGING NAVAL FORCES AND MISSILE DEFENSES IN MIDDLE EAST.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

 
 -International Events-

Europe: This morning the United States and other G7 countries gathered to examine the release of strategic diesel fuel reserves, to combat the current global fuel crisis. Following morning meetings, the G7 nations agreed to release a total of 100 million barrels of diesel, 50 million of which will be released by the United States.

France: Overnight riots continued to grow in size and scope, with mobs increasing attacks on random citizens. Fire has remained a constant weapon, with schoolteachers and firefighters alike being doused with gasoline and set on fire, or having been hit with Molotov incendiary devices. Reports of looting have emerged in some areas as authorities are not able to maintain order.

Saudi Arabia: Last night, an incident was reported at the Grand Mosque in Mecca. Initial reports circulated suggesting that a man had been arrested after being discovered wearing an explosive vest which failed to detonate. After a few hours, Saudi officials stated that one individual had been arrested for harassing people and "causing panic and alarm", without any mention of any sort of terrorism concern.

Analyst Comment: At face value, it does not make sense for an Islamic terrorist to conduct an attack at the most revered site within Islam, and accounts of what happened very widely. In this case, the cultural significance of the site warrants further investigation to determine exactly what happened. In the videos of the incident that have circulated on social media, bystanders don't seem to be too concerned with evacuating, and the response by security guards is rather lackluster for this to have been a terror attack.

-HomeFront-

Texas: Following a cross-border shooting in the vicinity of Garceño a few days ago, a surge of US military forces was conducted this morning, reinforcing the border region with approximately 500 soldiers. Helicopter Assault Force (HAF) operations were conducted today, inserting several platoons to combat outposts along the border.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Within the Middle East, indications and warnings are growing to suggest significant logistical efforts are being conducted by the United States and Iran, to prepare for a further intensification of the conflict. Earlier this week the USS THEODORE ROOSEVELT (CVN-71) Carrier Strike Group (CSG) departed port San Diego, bound for the Middle East. The USS MAKIN ISLAND (LHD-8) Amphibious Ready Group (ARG) also departed port San Diego the next day, also bound for the Middle East.

The crucial unknown detail is whether or not the US intends to replace the assets on station with these new platforms. If this is a standard relief-in-place operation, this is normal and not an indication of much. However, if these new battle groups are not intended to replace, but rather supplement the assets already on station, this would be a major indicator that major escalations of the war are very likely within a few weeks. As it stands, the current disposition of US forces in the region includes the USS GEORGE WASHINGTON CSG, the USS GEORGE HW BUSH CSG, and the USS BOXER ARG already on station in the Indian Ocean. Of these three, the BUSH has been on station the longest, having been in the region since April, and should be approaching the end of a standard deployment. Similarly, the BOXER has been on station since the end of June, and should be about halfway through her deployment. Considering the fiasco with the USS LINCOLN which resulted in her rapid withdrawal from theater, it's possible that the US Navy is playing it safe and trying to replace battle groups more frequently. However, if these new groups arrive on station and the already-deployed groups stay on station (which happened during the lead up to the war), this would put a total of three aircraft carriers, two amphibious assault ships, and at least one Special Forces Expeditionary Sea Base...a total of six flattops...in the region at the exact moment to be within the predicted window for an intensification of the war.

In addition to naval movements, cargo flights continue to take place around the Middle East. Following the combat loss of the headquarters for US 5th Fleet in Bahrain, much of the logistical effort to keep the Navy supplied has been relocated to Diego Garcia. Concerning air defenses, Axios claims that the US has moved two Patriot air defense batteries to Saudi Arabia and Qatar, to bolster defenses in the region. The battery in Qatar was destroyed earlier in the war, and would need to be replaced in any case, and the relocation of another Patriot battery to Saudi Arabia would explain the sudden effectiveness (or existence) of air defenses that intercepted Houthi missiles last week. All things considered, purely in terms of the hardware that is moving into the region, capabilities are stacking up to support whatever (if any) escalation of force that might be in store for the next few months.

Analyst: S2A1
 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
NomadNet: 5fa68c88be727a0e1a250a75e5e79269
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2300Z October 1, 2026//
 //ROUTINE//
 //BLUF: CHINA HALTS ALL FUEL EXPORTS. MIGRANT STUDENT RIOTS CONTINUE IN FRANCE, HUNDREDS ARRESTED AS MOB ATTACKS REMAIN CONSTANT. ENERGY DEPARTMENT FILES CONTRACT FOR AN ADDITIONAL 40 MILLION BARREL RELEASE FROM THE STRATEGIC PETROLEUM RESERVE.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

 
 -International Events-

Europe: The fuel crisis continues to deteriorate. This morning the White House requested France and Germany to tap into their emergency diesel reserves, to ease high prices. The proposal as described would release around 120 million barrels of diesel from the strategic reserves of EU member states over the next 6 months. 

Analyst Comment: So far, this is not a formalized demand, but rather an indirect request made by the White House. No European nation has officially responded to the idea, but many mainstream media reports suggest that the indirect threat has been made of cutting off diesel exports to noncompliant nations.

France: Mass riots continue around the nation. Several days ago, protests began at schools around the country due to long schooldays and declining infrastructure. After the initial low-level protests began in Paris, civil unrest spread throughout the nation. This morning, limited protests and arson incidents had spread to Belgium, with students beginning to conduct similar protests there.

Analyst Comment: This initially started small but after some vandalism took place on the first night, the situation snowballed from there to be more of an African uprising than a simple school schedule dispute. Now, a substantial number of the participants of the attacks are visibly not of French ancestry...most of the arson attacks are being conducted by the children of African migrants. Throughout this afternoon, the riots have expanded to include other non-student migrant enclaves. The mayor of Saint Dennis, Bally Bagayoko (who is ethnically Malian) joined students in setting fire to a trash can in the street, encouraging them to destroy more infrastructure. Many school officials and police officers have been attacked by violent mobs, and several hundred arrests have been made so far nationwide. As it stands, this situation is already very violent, and is only likely to increase in severity over the next few days.

Far East: Last night, China suspended all exports of fuel for the month of October, effective immediately. Hong Kong and Macau have been granted an exemption, but all other export partners will receive zero fuel from China in October.

Analyst Comment: This move will probably affect the decision that the United States has been weighing regarding halting diesel exports. China is not a major exporter of petroleum products, but Singapore and the Philippines are major importers of diesel from China, which is now completely cut off. Malaysia, Bangladesh, and Vietnam are also likely to be heavily affected by the halting of Chinese exports.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Yesterday the Department of Energy authorized an emergency release of 40 million barrels of crude from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). This is an attempt to retry a sale that was initially offered in June, that did not pan out because oil companies did not want to commit to the sale when prices were at new heights.

As a reminder, SPR releases are really loans. When a private oil company is given oil from the SPR to sell on the open market, they have to replace it with more oil than they took out. Now that the market is in a disastrous state, a lot of oil companies have not wanted to take on that obligation, because they think that by the time they have to re-fill that loan, it won't be financially viable (because oil will be more expensive than it is now). Since the SPR has been drained heavily over the past few months, the current levels sit at roughly 283.8 million barrels.

As a result, if petroleum companies take up this contract for all 40 million barrels, and don't replace it soon enough, SPR levels will probably bounce below the Congressionally mandated limit of 252 million barrels. Whether or not companies will indeed take this contract is up in the air, but as it stands emergency levels are being approached, and concerns are growing regarding the structural integrity of the SPR caverns housing America's emergency oil supply.

Analyst: S2A1
 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
NomadNet: 5fa68c88be727a0e1a250a75e5e79269
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2300Z September 30, 2026//
 //ROUTINE//
 //BLUF: ATTEMPTED HIJACKING OF COMMERCIAL AIRLINER HALTED IN MIDDLE EAST, PILOT SEVERELY WOUNDED DURING ATTACK. SMOKE PLUMES OBSERVED AT MAJOR SAUDI OIL PROCESSING FACILITY. UNITED STATES ANNOUNCES FORMAL WITHDRAWAL FROM IRAQ. IRANIAN ATTACKS ON SHIPPING CONTINUE IN HORMUZ STRAIT.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

 
 -International Events-

Middle East: Overnight a possible hijacking incident was reported onboard a FlyDubai aircraft. At 0653 local time, Flight FZ1073 departed Dubai International Airport, bound for Tel Aviv. Approximately 136 minutes into the flight, the transponder data indicates the aircraft conducted a very sharp nosedive, losing over 14,000 feet of altitude in 37 seconds. Within the aircraft, reports indicate that the copilot stabbed the pilot multiple times, and attempted to deliberately crash the aircraft. After the initial nosedive, the wounded Captain was able to open the cockpit door, allowing passengers and cabin crew to subdue the copilot. Over a period of six seconds, a passenger was able to recover from the dive, banking hard to the north. Two off-duty FlyDubai pilots who were passengers on the flight regained control off the aircraft, and twenty minutes after the incident, the aircraft turned around over Jordanian airspace and diverted to Prince Sultan International Airport in Tabuk. The aircraft landed safely despite the sharp decent causing a significant portion of the rudder to break off.

Analyst Comment: If these details are true, this incident was host to multiple aspects which are nothing short of miraculous. Based on the rate of decent, the aircraft was approximately 27 seconds from hitting the ground before a passenger was reportedly able to pull up on the yoke and recover the aircraft from the dive. The presence of two other pilots onboard the aircraft is also itself remarkable, as if the copilot was the terrorist, and the lead pilot was stabbed, there was no one left to fly the aircraft except the passengers in the back. 

Nearly all details are known via video recordings from passengers onboard the aircraft, but the exact nature of what took place inside the cockpit (and when) is not confirmed yet. Videos from within the cabin indicate both the pilot and copilot were severely wounded during the fight, and the status of both is not known. The nationalities of all involved are also important due to the current tensions around the region. Most of the passengers were Israeli citizens traveling back to Tel Aviv. The pilot (who was stabbed) is Indian, and the alleged terrorist copilot is Omani.

Iraq: This morning, the Pentagon announced the completion of the withdrawal of the last troops from Erbil Airbase, marking the official end of Operation INHERENT RESOLVE in Iraq. Officially, the only American military personnel within Iraq are located at the American Embassy in Baghdad, with the diplomatic mission being the only officially recognized deployment location at this time.

Analyst Comment: While the ending of a 23 year war is significant and worthy of further reflection, in the more immediate short term, the abandonment of the Erbil Airbase confirms prior reporting that the Patriot battery had been relocated from this facility weeks ago. The withdrawal from this critical air defense sector will probably affect American bases in Jordan, if Iranian missile launches continue.

Persian Gulf: This morning the UKMTO released a batch of "time late" reports, confirming that a total of three merchant vessels were struck by Iranian cruise missiles while attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz over the past few days. Due to the delay in reporting these strikes, it is not clear when they took place, however several Iranians reported witnessing missile launches from Sirik yesterday.

Iran: Civil defense preparations continue to expand in size and scope. The week of October 26 - November 2 has been designated Civil Defense Week nationwide, with various drills and exercises being planned among the civilian populace to prepare for three different scenarios: Normal natural disaster emergencies, a state of ceasefire, or a full-scale war. IRGC-affiliated social media accounts have also claimed that military units in southern Iran have been issued Chemical, Biological, Radiological, Nuclear (CBRN) protective equipment, such as gas masks and decontamination kits.

Analyst Comment: These reports are sporadic at best, and the photos from one soldier on social media are not exactly indicative of what the entire 600,000-man army is doing. However, the Iranians are not taking any chances an very clearly expect and escalation of attacks, possibly to include the use of more serious weapons.

Saudi Arabia: This morning an incident was reported at ARAMCO's North Ghawar processing facility, with locals on the ground observing a large smoke plume emitting from the installation. No official statements have disclosed what happened, but no missile/drone warnings were noted by locals.

Analyst Comment: This may or may not be the result of a drone strike; it could be the result of an industrial accident or exceptionally abnormal gas flaring. The Abqaiq processing plant at this facility is a major complex, and critically important as it's the start point for the East-West Pipeline (the other end being the terminals at Yanbu). By now, the pipeline should be functional to some degree, pumping an unknown amount of oil to the terminals on the Red Sea, but if this was an unplanned event of some kind, it might be slow going to get this pipeline fully back online.

Syria: This afternoon, a major explosion was reported at a natural gas pipeline near the Tishreen Power Plant in Damascus. The resulting fire burned throughout the evening, and the power plant was shut down. The cause of the blast has not yet been publicly released.

Analyst Comment: This follows yesterday's pipeline attack in southern Syria, which was directly confirmed to be sabotage. It's not clear as to if this pipeline explosion was sabotage, but at this point malign action is likely. Various insurgent groups within Syria have been hitting gas pipelines for weeks now, but no one group has claimed responsibility for these strikes yet.

India: Overnight a major explosion was reported at the MRPL refinery in Mangaluru. One worker was killed and several others injured after a rupture occurred in a high-pressure tank at the Coker Hydrotreater Unit. At the time of the explosion, this refinery was already operating at peak capacity, to refine and process as much crude as physically possible at the site.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Within the United Kingdom, more questions than answers remain concerning two incidents which have captured media attention for the past few days. At RAF Fairford, not many details have come to light that can be corroborated with much reliability. The US continues to claim that this was a major terror attack that the US was involved in tracking, while British authorities claim that no explosives were found in the vehicles and the contents turned out to be drums of gasoline. However, this morning British authorities radically shifted their position, with PM Burnham stating that there are "strong indications that Iran played a part" in the incident. Despite these claims, all of the assailants are still free from detention.

In Rotherham, almost zero details have been released regarding yesterday's explosive incident. The individual who was killed has not been identified, but authorities have stated that the incident was the result of a "household accident", without providing any further amplifying information. Due to the sheer lack of information, speculation has run rampant, but nothing is verifiable yet. Considering the very odd circumstances of this incident, more scrutiny on this case would be worthwhile, especially considering the heightened terrorism concerns around the continent.

Analyst: S2A1
 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
NomadNet: 5fa68c88be727a0e1a250a75e5e79269
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2000Z September 29, 2026//
 //ROUTINE//
 //BLUF: GAS PIPELINE IN SYRIA SABOTAGED. GLOBAL FUEL CRISIS CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN SEVERITY. ESTONIA FORMALLY ACCUSES RUSSIA OF LAST MONTH'S SABOTAGE ATTACK IN TALLINN. FBI CO-DEPUTY DIRECTOR RESIGNS.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

 
 -International Events-

Estonia: This morning federal authorities officially released the results of the investigation into an arson attack that was conducted at the Milrem Robotics factory in Tallinn last month. The Estonian Internal Security Service stated that this attack was an act of sabotage conducted by Russian Security Services.

Syria: Overnight a major natural gas pipeline was sabotaged near Deir Al-Zour. Local officials state that explosives were used to damage an isolation valve along the pipeline, which resulted in a fire that lasted throughout the night. As of this morning, the fire is out, but the pipeline is still offline.

United Kingdom: This morning an explosion was reported in Rotherham, which resulted in the death of one individual. The victim has not yet been identified, and the cause of the explosion has not been disclosed. No further details have been provided by authorities, other than statements claiming that there is no further threat to the public.

Analyst Comment: Eyewitnesses report that this was a very significant blast that resulted in the dismemberment of the deceased individual. This is a major red flag worthy of further investigation. In residential areas, there are very few accidental situations which would result in the body parts of a victim being recovered down the street, so the possibility of malign action must be considered. Also of note, the gas utility (Cadent Gas) issued a statement confirming that whatever it was, it was not the result of a gas explosion.

-HomeFront-

USA: Around the nation, the fuel crisis continues to deteriorate, with multiple states enacting emergency measures to ease high costs. In Georgia, a state of emergency was declared yesterday, suspending the gas tax for 30 days, and bringing down prices by about 37 cents per gallon. Texas also declared a state of emergency this morning due to the fuel crisis, lifting the restrictions on the use of red diesel in on-highway vehicles, as well as to increase the allowable weight limits for trucks carrying fuel or agricultural products.

Washington D.C. - Andrew Bailey, the co-Deputy Director of the FBI resigned last night. Bailey cited family reasons for his departure from his position, which was set up by Dan Bongino before he departed the other half of the "co-deputy" position last December.

Within the Pentagon, officials have confirmed that a major data breach from months ago resulted in the leak of millions of service members' personal information via an unencrypted file sharing system. The Defense Manpower Data Center (DMDC) initially noticed malign activity on July 16, and on September 18th issued a data breach notice. This morning the DMDC confirmed that the vulnerability has been open since October of 2025, and the records of roughly 3-4 million people were accessed by malign actors.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Within the Middle East, Iranian strikes on merchant shipping continued overnight, with at least one vessel being struck in the Strait of Hormuz. Otherwise, indications and warnings are growing down south suggesting that an intensification of the fighting with the Houthis may be on the verge of escalating. Various meetings have taken place between Gulf states over the past few weeks to examine the Houthi problem, and as of this morning reports are circulating suggesting several Gulf states may be forming a coalition to wage war against the Houthis in Yemen. On the ground, the situation in Yemen does support this possibility. Saudi Arabia has been staging forces in the southern regions along the border with Yemen for weeks, and several other Gulf states have been making preparations for a further expansion of the war in Yemen. 

As far as the United States becoming involved, American involvement is still on the table following the attack plans that were in place two weeks ago (but were called off at the last minute). Nothing has changed in terms of American readiness in the region, and forces are still more or less in the same spot as before, with the chief concerns being the lack of sufficient stocks of interceptor missiles, and a shortage of bombs needed to wage a wider campaign. Whatever the Gulf states plan to carry out, most throughout the region seem to think that the campaign against the Houthis will begin in a few days.

Analyst: S2A1
 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
NomadNet: 5fa68c88be727a0e1a250a75e5e79269
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2300Z September 28, 2026//
 //ROUTINE//
 //BLUF: QUESTIONS REMAIN AS THE EXACT DETAILS AND MOTIVE OF THE INCIDENT AT RAF FAIRFORD REMAIN UNKNOWN. MAJOR DRONE STRIKES REPORTED IN UKRAINE. WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST REMAINS CONSTANT WITH LITTLE PROGRESS MADE ON THE DIPLOMATIC FRONT.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

 
 -International Events-

Ukraine: Substantial strikes on Kiev have continued over the past few days, with Russian munitions impacting several government facilities within the capital city. The Dobrobut Medical Center was struck this morning, and the main building continued to burn throughout this afternoon. Several gas stations around the city were also hit, along with various governmental agencies and scientific research facilities. In the far western districts of Ukraine, another Russian drone strike was reported in close proximity to a border crossing with Poland, with eyewitnesses at the checkpoint visually observing the impact.

Middle East: The situation remains much the same as before, with various rhetoric surrounding diplomatic efforts remaining steady. So far, nothing concrete has emerged from either side regarding whatever indirect talks or messages might be getting conveyed. More tactically, fighting has continued within the Strait of Hormuz, with Iranian forces continuing strikes on merchant convoys attempting to exit the Gulf. Over the weekend, American efforts to get larger convoys through the Strait increased, along with Iranian attempts to strike these ships. Several cruise missile launches were noted by locals, though it is not clear as to if any vessels were struck.

United Kingdom: Questions remain following the incident at RAF Fairford, with very little information being conveyed to the public throughout the day. The suspects have not been identified publicly, and the general situation of what took place is not fully clear. Counterterrorism police have stated that the five suspects that were arrested, have been granted bail and released from detention while the investigation continues. Unconfirmed reports also suggest that forensic analysis of the materials found in the vans outside the airbase did not contain explosives, but this has not yet been confirmed via official statements.

Furthermore, President Trump made statements this morning implying that this was a real terror attack, though he did not state whether or not he received this information from official British channels or from his inner circle. British authorities have stated that the reason for the discovery of the suspects was due to the actions of a concerned citizen, and that these individuals were not rolled up as part of trigger-based criteria, or an ongoing surveillance effort. This afternoon, other reports from locals emerged claiming that they were warned about the potential for attacks on the base in the days leading up to the incident.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: So far, an intense amount of sheer insanity has hit the timeline regarding the RAF Fairford saga, which is largely the result of the sheer lack of information and the confusing nature of what actually happened. On the one hand, some governmental sources claim that an attack was foiled by the farmer who found the individuals, but other sources claim that intelligence agencies were watching these suspects for some time. Clearly, discrepancies in the official story exist, and an objective approach is still called for to determine what is really happening...because this might not be over just yet.

Based on what little evidence is in the public eye, there are a few possible explanations for what happened:

Theory 1- A genuine terror attack was foiled by a prepared citizen before it could get underway.
 Theory 2 - That this was a false-flag attack that was not actually a genuine threat.
 Theory 3 - A band of diesel thieves got caught transferring fuel between themselves on a back road, and the farmer who caught them immediately thought it was a terror attack.
 Theory 4 - That RAF Fairford has been expecting a terror attack since being publicly threatened by Iran weeks ago, and a band of fuel thieves being caught this close to the base triggered all counterterrorism responses and caused everyone to jump the gun, while the real threat still remains.

As it stands, determining exactly which theory bears more weight is challenging, but as noted this morning, there are a lot of data points that don't make sense if this were a terror attack. Likewise, the "fuel theft" theory might not be correct either, but this theory certainly cannot be dismissed and most of the evidence does support this theory. Also, there is a history of thieves stealing fuel specifically from American bases in Europe, with a major fuel theft ring being busted in Romania five years ago. Similarly, diesel prices today in the U.K. reached a historical record, reaching more than 199.18p/liter (roughly the equivalence of $10 American per gallon). This is merely tangential to the exact incident at Fairford, but it is important to know in a broader sense.

The release of the assailants on bail is not really an indicator of much either, as the British government probably would release legitimate terrorists and diesel thieves alike. Another non-helpful detail is the list of charges themselves. All five men were arrested under suspicion of Offenses under the Explosives Act, as well as Section 5 of the Terrorism Act of 2006. Both laws are catch-all legal codes, and the terms by which both laws are applied are extremely broad, so being held (without charge) under these laws is not entirely proof of much without amplifying information.

To balance out all factors by examining one detail which does NOT directly support the diesel theft theory, locals report that RAF Fairford was actually at a higher Force Protection (FPCON) level than normal this week. Though the exact timeline is critically important (but not confirmed yet), the base was allegedly at a heightened state of alert before the incident involving the three vans. Daring to go out on a limb to interpret this data point, it's possible that the base was quietly preparing for a terror attack, and some idiots stealing fuel just let the cat out of the bag regarding what the base had secretly being preparing for. It's possible that the base responded to this threat, thinking it was "the one" but in reality it was something unrelated. Two things can be true at the same time; the base could have been expecting a major attack, and jumped the gun on some idiots with fuel cans. The off-the-cuff statements by President Trump also support this eventuality; maybe he thought that this was indeed the attack that had been expected, and jumped the gun himself based on media reports.

This leads into the real danger with events like this: If this was not a genuine terror attack, but instead just some rather brazen thieves, any actual terrorist group that's out there just went underground and are hardening their security practices. Due to the internet getting spun up over this incident, real terrorists have learned quite a bit and they also now know just how primed society is for a real attack. Likewise, any activist groups now know that they will get their own bright and shiny news helicopter to photograph their propaganda banners, if they were to try another breach of an RAF facility, like the Palestine Action group has been known to do.

At the end of the day, the truth of what actually happened is the only thing that matters, because truth helps us to determine where future risks may lie. If this was a deliberate terror attack, a certain course of action would be indicated. If this was NOT a terror attack, a different course of action would be a better fit, because other terrorists are probably out there waiting. In the early hours after what seems like a major incident like this, no one can be blamed for making decisions out of an abundance of caution. In most cases, it is wise to over-assess the threat during the heat of the moment, and then walk back the assessment to more reasonable ground once the fog of war clears and more information becomes available. In this case, the only thing worse than catching a group of terrorists, is not catching a group of terrorists, who can then learn from the situation and alter their attack plans accordingly. With tensions palpably high throughout the continent, it would make perfect sense for this type of overreaction to take place.

The United Kingdom is currently facing many serious disasters. From the importation of millions of people who seek to cause harm, to the aging military infrastructure that has been unable to keep up with modern war in the homeland, the U.K. certainly has problems. Like most western nations at this point, public trust in government is also at an all-time low and the British government specifically has a long track record of covering up incidents like this, which might cast decision makers in a bad light. Whatever the truth is, it will eventually come out one way or another. Clearly, if the US is increasing FPCON levels at overseas bases (levels which have varied over the past few months) a genuine attack is expected. Focusing on idiots stealing fuel could be a distraction from a real attack, which could strike at any time. Constant vigilance is recommended as more generally, the western world has been primed for terror attacks for some time. The hard part is knowing which incidents are genuine, and which events are not what they seem.

Analyst: S2A1
 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
NomadNet: 5fa68c88be727a0e1a250a75e5e79269
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
//END REPORT//

//The Wire//1300Z September 28, 2026//
 //PRIORITY//
 //BLUF: INCIDENT REPORTED AT RAF FAIRFORD AS MULTIPLE MEN ARRESTED IN MULTIPLE VEHICLES NEAR THE AIRBASE PERIMETER.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

 
 -International Events-

United Kingdom: Yesterday a possible terror attack was foiled at Fairford Airbase, after a group of men were discovered acting suspiciously in the vicinity of the base. Local authorities state that a local farmer visually observed three vans parked in the roadway just outside the base. When the farmer approached the vehicles blocking the road, a group of masked men fled from the scene. After the alarm was raised, authorities responded and a total of five men were detained after being found hiding in the woods near the van site. A search of their vans revealed large containers of hazardous material, which prompted a mass evacuation of the local area. A total of 85x homes were evacuated for several hours while EOD personnel examined the contents of the vans, with residents being allowed to return to their homes last night. All five suspects have been detained, and government officials have declined to officially attribute motive.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: As this is a developing situation, many of the details as presented to the public either are not clear, or do not make much sense in terms of what attack might have been planned. Right now, the finger is being pointed at Iran for this incident for obvious reasons, however before attribution can be laid on any group or nation, the basic facts of the case must be ironed out. Government officials and media groups are insinuating that this was a Vehicle Borne IED (VBIED) attack that was foiled before it could materialize. Other claims are being made suggesting that this incident is not terrorism...but rather a group of thieves who were trying to steal diesel from the farm that they were discovered at. Examining the Most Deadly theory first, if it was a VBIED attack, it would be one of the most unorthodox VBIED attacks in history, for many different reasons.

First of all, multiple people being located in each vehicle is odd; these types of attacks almost never result in multiple attackers being located in the same vehicle...it's almost always just one person inside the VBIED. If multiple people are to take part in an attack, it would have made more sense for the additional personnel to travel to the site in separate vehicles, to conduct a more complex attack (such as the infamous Bataclan attack back in 2015). In this case however, local authorities have not stated whether or not any small arms were found inside the vehicles, and no ideological material (such as flags, banners, or other paraphernalia) was found either.

Additionally, the local farmer who claims to have been the original source for visually observing these individuals stated that she initially became suspicious after these men were seen wearing hoods and masks. If this observation is true (and it probably is), this is another detail that does not make sense. VBIED attacks are usually a one-way trip, and therefore the attackers aren't normally concerned with keeping their identity a secret. On the contrary, they usually want to be known publicly as martyrs, so wearing masks goes against nearly all other similar attacks.

Furthermore, the attackers were spotted by the farmer blocking the roadway, and fled from the scene on foot after the farmer drove up on them. This is once again another clue that something is amiss. Normally, once a terrorist begins moving into the final stages of their attack and starts maneuvering to the attack site, a series of events is in place that would be difficult to stop. Once they've committed to the attack, violence from authorities is usually the only thing that can stop an attack at that point. Following the narrative as presented, five very physically fit Military Aged Males spent months planning an attack, had obtained three vehicles packed with explosives, had arrived at the attack site, and were preparing the attack...but were shooed away by an unarmed British lady right as they were about to detonate. This framing makes absolutely zero sense unless the story as presented is missing large and very critical details.

Another discrepancy is the exact location of where the vehicles were discovered blocking the road. The farmer who made the discovery found these men and their vehicles at a junction on Horcott Road, a quiet English lane just to the east of the base itself. This road is nowhere near a main entrance to the facility. Speculating a bit (and following the VBIED theory), it is possible that the attackers intended to attack the perimeter fence itself, and not a main gate. Right at the junction where the vehicles were parked is a farm which features a small path that leads somewhat close to the perimeter fence itself. However, based on the satellite imagery (which the attackers surely would have had) this is a rather poor attack site. There is no High-Speed Avenue of Approach, and even if they detonated their cargo right where they were sitting, it's not very likely that any military aircraft at the base would have been damaged (although a LOT of citizens would have been killed). There are several other points where the attackers could have breached the perimeter, including one site that is directly on a main road, easily accessible, and offered absolutely zero resistance to a vehicle ramming through the flimsy fence to drive directly onto the runway itself. If the attackers were dedicated enough to fill three vans with explosives in an attempt to carry out one of the most substantial IED attacks in British history...they would have had to drive past one of the most devastatingly vulnerable parts of the base, to pick a far less effective target. Now that the jig is up and base security is heightened, there is no risk to pointing out this glaring vulnerability, because base security have parked heavy vehicles near all of the gates that are easy to ram through. This indicates that the vulnerabilities along the base perimeter were genuine...and the alleged terrorists did not choose to exploit them for some reason.

Finally, the vehicles themselves provide a major clue which adds helpful context that must be considered in the broader context of what might have happened. At least one of the vans was marked with the logo of "Fuel 2You" a fuel delivery company, which provides fueling services to machinery and industrial sites, for customers who need small fuel deliveries. However, the logo is NOT the same as the company...they misspelled the name. The vans are marked with "Fuel 2YOU", but the actual company is stylized as "FUEL2U" with the letter "U". The logo is also green in the United Kingdom; the red logo that the suspects copied is from an American company.

This small detail alone is the strongest evidence of malign action. Camouflage is an act that, when discovered, betrays intent to conceal something. And in this case, it's fantastic camouflage, because if a terrorist were to be pulled over with barrels full of flammable liquid, there is no better camouflage than to take on the identity of a company that is known for operating mobile gas stations. The problem is that the suspects googled "Fuel 2 You" and got the logo from the American company, instead of the British company that is called "Fuel2U". The actual company released a statement confirming that their company likeness was used by the suspects without their permission, and that these vehicles had no affiliation with their company whatsoever.

As a result of this final detail, the suspects were almost certainly up to no good, but exactly what they were planning is up for debate and will have to be determined later on. The use of camouflage on their vans is a clever trick that would support either the VBIED theory or the diesel theft theory, but adding up all of the details that are known, every factor lines up more with the diesel theft theory than the VBIED theory. Speculating on the diesel theft theory, everything so far makes sense. A band of thieves masquerading as a fuel delivery service company, and using that as cover to steal fuel would be a rather slick criminal operation (that is, if they weren't dumb enough to use the wrong logo). Since the suspects were captured alive, it is certain that some information will be obtained, but for now a lot of guesswork is required both to determine what actually was being planned, and also what future threats might be still on the horizon.

The discrepancies in the other details of the case indicate that this case is not as cut-and-dry as depicted in the media...there is very clearly something that the authorities are not telling the public. This does not necessarily indicate much on it's own; there is certainly enough wiggle room in the official story for everything to technically be true. Maybe the attackers got lost, or had a breakdown, or were not that great at planning. Maybe they weren't trying to conduct an attack at the time of their discovery, and were instead trying to stage IEDs for later on. On the other hand, it's also possible that these individuals were not terrorists, but rather thieves attempting to steal fuel from the farm at which they were caught. As it stands, the possibilities vary widely, and until more details are known we just don't know.

More broadly, this incident is a high profile matter that will have several follow-on effects even if it was just diesel theft. First and foremost, the American B-1B bombers will probably be moved around the base, since news helicopters revealed where they are parked. Fairford is not the only base where American bombers are located, and these assets are rotated around fairly regularly anyway. Random Antiterrorism Measures (RAM) are certain to increase at

Research Notes/Bibliography can be found here: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground 

Common Intelligence Picture: https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=204a59b01f4443cd96718796fd102c00 

Border Crisis Map: https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=7f13eda1f301431e98a7ac0393b0e6b0 

TOC Dashboard: https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/ebe374c40c1a4231a06075155b0e8cb9/ 

00:00 - Global Overview 

00:44 - Europe 

05:36 - Illegal Surveillance 

06:56- UNGA 

08:10 - Media Ban 

09:28 - Ethiopia 

17:38 - Middle East 

19:38 - Magic Dirt 

26:31 - Calm Before the Storm 

29:52 - GhostNet 

Download the GhostNet plan here! https://github.com/s2underground/GhostNet 

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And on our Wire Telegram page here: https://t.me/S2undergroundWire 

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Disclaimer: No company sponsored this video. In fact, we have ZERO sponsors. We are funded 100% by you, the viewer. All of our funding comes from direct support from platforms like Patreon, or from ad revenue on YouTube. Without your support, I simply could not do this work at all, so to those of you who chose to support my efforts, I am eternally thankful. Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/S2Underground BitChute: https://www.bitchute.com/channel/P2NMGFdt3gf3/ Just a few reminders for everyone who's just become aware of us, in order to keep these briefings from being several hours long, I can't cover everything. I'm probably covering 1% of the world events when we conduct these briefings, so please remember that if I left it out, it doesn't necessarily mean that it's unimportant. Also, remember that I do these briefings quite often, so I might have covered an issue previously that you might not see if you are only watching our most recent videos. I'm also doing this in my spare time, so again I fully admit that these briefings aren't even close to being perfect; I'm going for a healthy blend of speed and quality. If I were to wait and only post a brief when it's "perfect" I would never post anything at all. So expect some minor errors here and there. If there is a major error or correction that needs to be made, I will post it here in the description, and verbally address it in the next briefing. Also, thanks for reading this far. It is always surprising the number of people that don't actually read the description box to find more information. This content is purely educational and does not advocate for violating any laws. Do not violate any laws or regulations. This is not legal advice. Consult with your attorney. Our Reading List! https://www.goodreads.com/user/show/133747963-s2-actual The War Kitchen Channel! https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYmtpjXT22tAWGIlg_xDDPA 

//The Wire//2300Z September 25, 2026//
 //ROUTINE//
 //BLUF: RUSSIA AND UKRAINE INCREASE MUTUAL TARGETING EFFORTS OVERNIGHT. HOUTHIS ATTEMPT TO STRIKE SAUDI TARGETS, ALL MISSILES INTERCEPTED. AMERICAN ASPIRATIONS FOR INTERVENTION IN CUBA CONTINUE TO MOUNT.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

 
 -International Events-

Baltic Sea: Tensions are high as a series of escalations have remained constant between NATO and Russia. Overnight a flight of Russian Tu-134 transport aircraft being escorted by fighters was observed patrolling over the Gulf of Finland, prompting Finland and Sweden to scramble fighters to intercept and identify the Russian aircraft.

Analyst Comment: This was the first time a joint identification mission was carried out between Finland and Sweden, but more generally this is a routine mission set and not really anything out of the ordinary. However, as the tensions around the continent remain high and European leaders have issued serious statements over the past few days urging war, these standard identification missions are usually the tip of the spear in terms of the potential for sharp escalations to occur. Fighter aircraft intercepting each other tends to be an opportunity for nations to keep up more active "foreign relations", and an increase in flights over international waters tends to be a barometer for determining how serious nations are with regard to their rhetoric. As it stands, a lot of bluster is going around between NATO and Russia, which will probably get more intense over the next few weeks.

Russia: Overnight, Ukraine increased attacks on Russian infrastructure in retaliation for last night's strikes in Kiev. Ukrainian drones targeted petroleum refineries in Perm and Rostov. A chemical plant was also struck in Voronezh, and a factory was hit in Ulyanovsk. In response, Russia continued strikes in and around Kiev, most notably targeting a McDonald's warehouse.

Analyst Comment: The strikes conducted by Ukraine were the most significant reported in a few weeks, all of which were conducted hundreds of miles from the front lines. The continual Ukrainian strikes on Russian petroleum infrastructure despite President Trump's order to cease these attacks is quite interesting, and highlights the frustrations within the United States regarding the administration of the war. At the moment, many are pointing the finger at Zelensky for his open defiance of the United States regarding strikes on Russian refineries, but reading between the lines in a larger sense, these strikes are also probably not explicitly and solely Zelensky's decision. Looking within, if the US genuinely wants to stop diesel refineries from getting hit (even Russian ones) a quick phone call to Langley is probably more effective in stopping Ukrainian targeting than anything else.

China: Yesterday the National Development and Reform Commission announced an increase in the price of gasoline and diesel, raising the national price cap for the second time in two weeks, bringing fuel prices to levels roughly 24-26% higher than pre-war levels.

Middle East: Overnight Houthi forces launched a total of 6x ballistic missiles toward various targets in Saudi Arabia. Saudi forces intercepted all missiles, with no impacts being reported on the ground.

Analyst Comment: Thankfully for the Saudis, this time missile defenses were effective at neutralizing the threat. However, this latest attack has strained the newly-signed Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, which is a mutual defense pact between Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Turkey. Both Pakistan and Turkey are in a tough spot, because this new agreement is essentially the Arab version of NATO's Article 5 in that an attack on one, is treated as an attack on all. Neither Turkey nor Pakistan want to become involved in the Houthi crisis, and as a result have treated the Houthi problem as a "preexisting condition" which is not covered by their new defense policy. Either way, it's semantics at the end of the day, and the biggest threat to Saudi Arabia at present, is the Houthis.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Over the past few days, mainstream media reporting has claimed to have leaked emails describing a potential American ground invasion of Cuba. While this sounds fantastical at face value (which is not helped by the lack of any corroborating sources being publicly available), this has been on the table for some time. Right now, the origin for these claims is a single CBS news report, which references internal Army communications concerning this potential campaign.

Examining the raw data, the current situation in the region does not indicate an imminent invasion or other military campaign. There have been no increases in observable aircraft staging in Florida, nor have there been any irregular troop movements to the region. The US Navy is currently not staging forces for an expected increase in operations within SOUTHCOM, and all naval deployments so far seem to be routine. There has been an observable increase in Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) flights around Cuba for a few months, but nothing that indicates anything serious.

In terms of the likelihood of American intervention in Cuba, the likelihood must be considered in the context of the past few months of rhetoric. President Trump quite literally stated back in March that "Cuba's going to be next", and various statements over the past few months have rather strongly depicted American aspirations on the island. Whether or not the US intends to actually follow through on the desires to seize the island (or do something else) is anybody's guess, but it's not likely to happen anytime soon in any case. For the moment however, posturing and pressure are likely to continue, and probably will escalate over the next few weeks.

Analyst: S2A1
 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
NomadNet: 5fa68c88be727a0e1a250a75e5e79269
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
//END REPORT//