Tom Nelson

Dai Ato presents findings from three papers arguing atmospheric CO2 rise is largely natural, claiming multivariate analyses reject human emissions as a significant predictor of annual CO2 increases while sea surface temperature (SST) is significant. He says detrended annual-change comparisons show emissions vs CO2 change has near-zero correlation, while SST retains moderate correlation, consistent with CO2 solubility in water. He also claims ice-core CO2 reconstructions are incorrect and that temperature leads specific humidity, rejecting CO2–water vapor positive feedback; absorbed shortwave and total solar irradiance correlate with SST while CO2 is negligible or negative. In Q&A, he expects the Keeling Curve to keep rising, COVID emission drops to have little effect, and rejects a stable 280 ppm preindustrial CO2.

00:00 Intro And Agenda

00:39 Three Paper Overview

04:01 CO2 Rise Not Human

07:05 Detrending Spurious Links

10:33 Water Vapor Feedback Tested

13:19 Solar And Albedo Drivers

17:12 Past Evidence SST Leads

21:50 Global Temperature Averaging

23:58 Key Takeaways And DOE

26:04 Why I Wrote These Papers

33:06 Ice Core Reconstruction Issues

34:17 Closing Thoughts And Q&A

https://x.com/info45037254

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Ron Clutz continues a three-part framework on climate change: humans cause warming, warming is dangerous, and government can stop it. He argues observed warming can be explained by post–Little Ice Age recovery plus multidecadal oscillations and solar-orbital effects, and says “alarmists” deny these. He describes a taxpayer-funded “climate scare machine” and cites a Climate Change Business Journal estimate of a $3.4T/year global climate industry. Using Joseph D’Aleo’s materials, he disputes claims about heatwaves, storms, droughts, wildfires, ice loss, ocean acidification, health, and food, then focuses on Arctic sea ice cycles and sea-level model projections versus tide gauges. He stresses climate is local (Köppen zones) and says climate policies are wasteful, ineffective, and harmful, citing project failures, costs, and energy poverty.

00:00 Framework Recap

01:07 Natural Warming Factors

03:56 Climate Scare Machine

07:59 Eleven Empty Claims

13:56 Polar Bears and Sea Ice

20:00 Sea Level Scare Tactics

28:27 Climates Are Local

35:13 Warming Impacts Summary

35:59 Can Governments Stop It

37:56 Energy Transition Reality

40:19 Why Hydrocarbons Rule

42:06 Energy Mix Big Picture

43:47 Trillions Visualized

45:22 Waste One Missing Funds

45:59 Waste Two Project Failures

48:35 Waste Three Blade Graveyards

49:13 Waste Four Operational Collapse

50:18 Hydrogen And Biofuels

51:32 Fear Sells Climate Policy

53:06 Policy Weapons And Results

55:51 Energy Poverty And Jobs

59:09 Rare Metals And Land Use

01:01:40 Better Priorities Consensus

01:02:29 Absurd Costly Pointless

01:03:59 Cartoons And Media Satire

01:09:33 Arctic Update And Data

01:13:28 Wrap Up Links And Wildfires

https://rclutz.com/

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Henrik Svensmark discusses how solar activity modulates cosmic rays, which ionize the atmosphere and can help form aerosols that grow into cloud condensation nuclei, potentially altering clouds and Earth’s energy balance. He describes lab experiments showing more aerosols with increased ionization, critiques models that predicted no cloud effect, and presents observations from Forbush decreases where drops in cosmic rays are followed days later by reduced aerosols, cloud changes, and radiative-budget responses. He argues solar-cycle forcing may be ~1–1.5 W/m² and could affect CO2 sensitivity. On longer timescales, he links supernova-driven cosmic-ray variations to glaciations, ocean temperature, organic carbon burial, oxygen production, and biodiversity, while noting funding and career pressures.

00:00 Cosmic Rays and Clouds

00:42 Meet Henrik Svensmark

02:59 Solar Activity Basics

03:31 IPCC Forcing Debate

05:13 Sunspots and Cosmic Rays

07:03 Cosmic Ray Showers

08:55 Isotopes as Solar Proxies

11:48 Climate Correlations

15:17 Ocean Heat Amplification

17:55 Clouds as Amplifier

19:39 How CCN Form

22:22 Testing in Chambers

24:59 Models vs Reality

27:52 Forbush Natural Experiments

36:14 Fixing the Physics

41:17 Billion Year Timescales

42:08 Galactic Spiral Arms

44:02 Star Formation Setup

44:33 Open Clusters Explained

45:57 Mapping Nearby Clusters

46:53 Supernovas Meet Climate

48:27 Zooming Into Ice Ages

51:31 Nutrients And Carbon Isotopes

53:54 Organic Burial Correlation

55:15 Deep Time Starbursts

57:12 Oxygen And Complex Life

59:51 Dwarf Galaxies Trigger Stars

01:02:18 Fossils And Diversity Curves

01:05:13 Shelf Area Drives Richness

01:09:04 Area Normalization Test

01:11:34 Big Picture Conclusions

01:13:35 Funding And Career Risks

01:22:15 Critiques And Solar Events

01:25:16 Wrap Up And Farewell

Svensmark: The Cloud Mystery https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ANMTPF1blpQ

The Chilling Stars [2008]: https://www.amazon.com/Chilling-Stars-New-Theory-Climate/dp/1840468661

Papers: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2843-3417

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Randall Bock argues opioids have dual legal and illicit markets and that most prescribed users don’t become street addicts. He recounts refusing drug-seekers (“Dr. No”) and later using buprenorphine as a temporary bridge, advocating a 4–6 month taper to sobriety rather than lifelong “maintenance.” He claims methadone maintenance, originated at Rockefeller University and expanded nationally via Nixon-era policy and Medicaid incentives, aimed to curb New York City crime but instead seeded the first wave of the opioid crisis and spread heroin use. He challenges the “addiction as disease/insulin” analogy, cites Vietnam vet recovery and Rat Park, and promotes his book “Withdraw to Freedom.”

00:00 Opioid Desert Intro

01:06 Two Marketplaces Theory

02:01 Doctor No Stories

03:29 Suboxone And DATA 2000

04:50 Maintenance Therapy Critique

06:22 New York City Sets Stage

08:04 Bridge To Sobriety Plan

10:47 Long Boom And Opioid Spike

14:24 Classic Narcotic Control Era

17:26 Harm Reduction And Methadone

18:43 OxyContin Myth Busting

19:48 Addiction As Exposure

23:28 Rockefeller Methadone Origins

26:40 Crime Control Not Cure

28:14 Why Methadone Feels Dopey

31:59 National Spread And Incentives

36:46 Did Crime Drop Actually

38:46 Equality Of Misery

40:49 Dealers Adapt And Expand

43:03 Dopesick Narrative Setup

43:36 Methadone First Wave

45:22 Medicalization Lessons

48:15 Disease Model Tested

50:20 Replacement vs Proclivity

53:29 Russia and Hard Truths

55:38 Rat Park Recovery

01:00:14 Economy and Despair

01:03:18 Bock Taper and Five Fs

01:09:28 Board Backlash

01:11:28 Book Launch Pitch

01:13:51 Incentives and COVID Parallels

01:19:01 Mental Health Parity

01:22:43 Wrap Up and Dual Path

https://randybock.com/

https://x.com/@DrRandallBock

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Jim Lakely, EVP and communications director at The Heartland Institute, describes Heartland’s free-market mission and its global role “pushing back on climate alarmism,” plus his weekly Climate Realism Show. He recounts Heartland’s 16 climate conferences since 2008 (300+ speakers, videos online), efforts to invite opposing views, and claims the IPCC’s mandate is to emphasize human influence. They discuss natural forcings, scientific uncertainty, warming since the Little Ice Age, and skepticism about “global average temperature.” Lakely cites funding pressures in academia, conference disruptions by Climate Defiance, and notes Roy Spencer’s satellite data work. He recounts “Fakegate,” alleging Peter Gleick stole documents and forged a memo. They also discuss COPs, social-media throttling, and AI’s energy demands weakening climate media funding.

00:00 Meet Jim Lakely

00:32 Heartland Climate Mission

01:34 Inside Climate Conferences

04:25 Debate And The IPCC

07:06 Natural Forcings Focus

09:32 Warming And Perspective

12:23 Young Skeptics Rising

15:40 Disruptions And Threats

20:44 Will Happer Spotlight

23:25 Models Funding And Media

28:01 Journalism Background

29:13 Congress Reality Check

30:39 Oval Office With Bush

32:44 Climate Beat Back Then

35:09 Momentum After 2024

38:32 AI Needs Real Energy

40:24 Fakegate Scandal Recap

47:03 Inside UN COP Meetings

48:57 Social Media Censorship

51:38 YouTube UN Banners

53:02 Closing Thoughts Freedom

https://x.com/jlakely

See all Heartland “International Conference on Climate Change” videos here: https://climateconferences.heartland.org/

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Thomas Kurz discusses chapters from his book Why There Is No Climate Crisis, citing positive reviews, then explains the greenhouse effect and argues CO2’s warming is limited and logarithmic. He claims doubling CO2 yields about 3 W/m² effective forcing, or ~0.9°C via Stefan–Boltzmann calculations, and says even burning all known fossil fuel reserves would add under ~1°C. He argues “climate crisis” claims rely on compounded positive feedbacks in IPCC models, but says observations show models overpredict warming, relative humidity aloft is declining, and a predicted tropical hotspot is missing. He attributes discrepancies to cloud/aerosol cooling, proposing an Earth “thermostat” and net slightly negative feedback.

00:00 Guest and Book Update

02:31 Greenhouse Effect Basics

04:53 CO2 Absorption and Saturation

07:38 Four Ways to Calculate Forcing

17:11 Convert Forcing to Temperature

21:19 Logarithmic Warming Limits

24:20 Fossil Fuels and Max Warming

28:13 Feedbacks Behind the Crisis

32:55 Models vs Observations

41:30 Clouds and Cooling Evidence

55:51 Earth Thermostat Conclusion

57:52 Q&A and Scientific Method

01:01:33 Wrap Up and Farewell

“Why There is No Climate Crisis: The Surprising Evidence You Should Know”: https://a.co/d/05rKxsYU

https://www.whynoclimatecrisis.com/

Email: [email protected]

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Ray Sanders updates his Surface Stations project to classify all 385 UK Met Office weather stations using WMO siting classes, claiming 88% are class 3–5 and 112 meet no regulations, including many in walled or private gardens and car parks. He argues poor siting, degraded maintenance after automation, and rapid platinum resistance thermometers in Stevenson screens create spikes and non-comparable records versus older liquid-in-glass methods. He alleges rounding/conversion issues, data from non-existent “climate averages” sites, refusals under FOI, and deletion of queried webpages. He presents analyses of stable long-term records at Wye and effects from a solar farm at RAF Lyneham, and plans more reconstructions with helpers.

00:00 Project Update Intro

01:49 WMO Siting Classes Explained

03:23 Most Stations Fail Standards

05:54 Walled Gardens Hotspots

11:55 Car Parks and Heat Sources

13:58 Thermometers and Response Time

18:27 Stevenson Screen Meets PRT

20:36 Sampling Rates and Spikes

24:45 Fahrenheit to Celsius Rounding

28:00 Maintenance and Automation Decay

32:30 Phantom Stations and FOI Fight

37:59 Allies and Data Deletions

42:16 Searching for Good Stations

42:30 Best Station Locations

43:39 Wye Data Deep Dive

44:59 Anomalies And Baselines

46:36 Manual Records Reveal 1930s

50:00 Solar Farm Heat Jump

51:19 Dyce Vs Craibstone

55:06 Met Office Classification Errors

59:53 Questionable Data Practices

01:02:21 US Climate Reference Network

01:07:38 Why He Started The Crusade

01:13:53 Focus On Great Britain

01:14:51 Thanks And Wrap Up

https://x.com/RaySand17710097

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Willie Soon and Jonathan Cohler argue the rise in atmospheric CO2 is mostly natural, challenging claims it is 100% manmade from hydrocarbon burning. They cite analyses using bomb-produced carbon-14 showing a single-exponential decay and a short CO2 atmospheric residence time (~3.8 years), contrasting with IPCC claims of thousands of years and criticizing undefined terms like “adjustment time.” They say their work falsifies the Suess effect and that delta-13C of atmospheric change stays near -13‰ from 1978–2022 and in proxies over 500 years, inconsistent with a dominant fossil-fuel signature (~-28‰). They discuss ocean/land cycling, solar/energy imbalance hypotheses, and skepticism of ice-core CO2 constancy claims.

00:00 Big CO2 Claim Questioned

01:30 Decades of Doubt

02:16 Researchers Who Challenged It

04:13 Natural Rise Hypothesis

05:14 Suess Effect Origins

07:35 Bomb Pulse Carbon-14

12:39 Short Residence Time

14:22 Word Games vs Definitions

16:44 3.8 Years Explained

21:21 Bridge Equation Breakthrough

25:34 Peer Pushback and Talks

29:43 Physical Tether Theorem

34:01 Koutsoyiannis Delta13C Test

42:46 Why Delta13C Still Drops

44:23 Lineage and Credit

45:43 Cycle Time vs IPCC

49:14 Debunking Net Sink

51:06 Biosphere Expansion Idea

51:48 Satellite Imbalance Fraud

56:17 Outgassing Explains CO2 Rise

01:01:40 Proxy Limits and Ice Cores

01:09:26 Future CO2 and Benefits

01:13:18 C14 Tracers and Dating

01:15:02 Suez Effect Model Critique

01:21:15 Wrapping Up and Links

Jonathan Cohler – “The IPCC Circle of Lies: Five Papers Falsify the Entire Framework”

https://x.com/cohler/status/2081407310493081791

Willie Soon – “From Demon to Dinner: The Scientific Case for CO₂ and Fossil Fuels”

https://x.com/cohler/status/2081408758308077952

Slides:

Jonathan Cohler: https://x.com/cohler/status/2081410426147938599

Willie Soon: https://x.com/cohler/status/2081410908392133048

CERES-Science: https://www.ceres-science.com/

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Steve Milloy reviews Trump’s fossil-fuel agenda, EPA rollback of the 2009 endangerment finding, and concerns that litigation delays and Justice Department staffing could let a future Democratic administration reverse course. The speaker attacks the National Academy of Sciences as climate activists, cites a climate chapter in a judges’ science manual, notes Elena Kagan said she didn’t read it, and urges cutting NAS funding. They praise Matt Wielicki’s appointment to lead the U.S. Global Change Research Program. They argue wildfire-smoke PM2.5 health scares lacked NYC hospital spikes, criticize linear no-threshold regulation (radiation, PFAS), and discuss Yucca Mountain standards. They describe shareholder activism against corporate ESG (Netflix, Exxon), criticize carbon capture subsidies, and praise young “climate realist” advocates.

00:00 Trump EPA Rollbacks

01:37 NAS Versus Trump

04:16 Defunding NAS Push

06:30 Kagan Foreword Controversy

08:24 Climate Realist Appointment

09:43 Democrats And Green Money

11:59 Big Tech Climate Censorship

13:21 X Algorithms And Reach

16:10 Viral Tweet No Warming

18:20 Wildfire Smoke Reality Check

22:30 EPA PM2.5 Experiments

26:12 LNT Model And Hormesis

30:18 Yucca Mountain Absurdity

32:37 PFAS And Low Dose Effects

33:37 Forever Chemicals Are Inert

34:41 Dose Makes the Poison

36:34 Parts Per Trillion Panic

37:31 Why Fear Spreads

38:06 Conservative Shareholder Activism

41:07 Exxon and ESG Battles

42:23 Carbon Capture Reality Check

43:53 Subsidies and Nanny Government

45:31 Next Gen Climate Realists

47:43 Awards and Staying the Course

50:31 NASA Names and Media Retreat

56:01 Debate Challenge and Wrap Up

Steve on X: https://x.com/JunkScience

Web: https://junkscience.com/

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Mark Glendening argues free speech in Britain and the West is under increasing internal attack, citing “non-crime hate incidents,” broad Public Order Act powers, online and even private-message prosecutions, and proposals to criminalize non-affirmation of transgender identity under “conversion therapy” laws. He says enforcement is often aimed at the right and anti-transgender feminists, though he notes prosecutions of some left-wing Palestine Action supporters. Glendening traces today’s speech controls to cultural strategies developed after Marxism waned, highlighting Gramsci, the Frankfurt School (especially Marcuse), and French postmodernists. He urges electoral pressure campaigns, praises Elon Musk and X, and warns that debanking, digital ID, and Soros-backed regulation threaten liberties.

00:00 Meet Mark Glendening

01:07 Britain’s Free Speech Legacy

02:04 Non Crime Hate Incidents

04:23 Policing Private Speech

06:52 Who Gets Targeted

09:29 Conversion Therapy Crackdown

16:09 Why the New Left Censors

21:21 Three Intellectual Roots

28:37 The Sixties Cultural Turn

36:12 Words Liberal vs Progressive

43:31 Digital ID and Debanking

44:46 Fighting Back Politically

48:04 Elon Musk and X

50:07 US Elections and Internet Speech

52:20 Final Thoughts on Liberty

https://iea.org.uk/tag/marc-glendening/

https://iea.org.uk/publications/transgender-ideology-a-new-threat-to-liberal-values/

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1