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Taking the analysis further
If you want to go deeper than the weekly charts — including how the levels translate into actual trade planning and risk management — you can follow the work Brian Shannon and I do at Alphatrends.
That’s where we walk through the same market structure in real time and apply the process to actual trade setups.
Learn More at Alphatrends.net
Trading Adventures is a price-focused market analysis newsletter helping traders understand trend, structure, and key levels across the market.
Each week I break down charts across major indices, sectors, and individual names to provide clear technical context.
Market Update Notes
The Process Behind the Work
* Price > opinion
* Trend > prediction
* Risk first
If you like how I think here, this is where that thinking is applied every day.
Alphatrends.net
Trading Adventures is a reader-supported publication. Subscribers receive new posts and occasional private updates not shared publicly.
Important: This content is provided for educational purposes only. If you’re reading this online, please review the full disclosure here.
Trading Adventures is a price-focused market analysis newsletter helping traders understand trend, structure, and key levels across the market.
Each week I break down charts across major indices, sectors, and individual names to provide clear technical context.
Market Update Notes
The Process Behind the Work
* Price > opinion
* Trend > prediction
* Risk first
If you like how I think here, this is where that thinking is applied every day.
Alphatrends.net
Trading Adventures is a reader-supported publication. Subscribers receive new posts and occasional private updates not shared publicly.
Important: This content is provided for educational purposes only. If you’re reading this online, please review the full disclosure here.
Trading Adventures is a price-focused market analysis newsletter helping traders understand trend, structure, and key levels across the market.
Each week I break down charts across major indices, sectors, and individual names to provide clear technical context.
Market Update Notes
The Process Behind the Work
* Price > opinion
* Trend > prediction
* Risk first
If you like how I think here, this is where that thinking is applied every day.
Alphatrends.net
Trading Adventures is a reader-supported publication. Subscribers receive new posts and occasional private updates not shared publicly.
Important: This content is provided for educational purposes only. If you’re reading this online, please review the full disclosure here.
Taking the analysis further
If you want to go deeper than the weekly charts — including how the levels translate into actual trade planning and risk management — you can follow the work Brian Shannon and I do at Alphatrends.
That’s where we walk through the same market structure in real time and apply the process to actual trade setups.
Learn More at Alphatrends.net
Trading Adventures is a price-focused market analysis newsletter helping traders understand trend, structure, and key levels across the market.
Each week I break down charts across major indices, sectors, and individual names to provide clear technical context.
The Process Behind the Work
* Price > opinion
* Trend > prediction
* Risk first
If you like how I think here, this is where that thinking is applied every day.
Alphatrends.net
Trading Adventures is a reader-supported publication. Subscribers receive new posts and occasional private updates not shared publicly.
Important: This content is provided for educational purposes only. If you’re reading this online, please review the full disclosure here.
Trading Adventures is a price-focused market analysis newsletter helping traders understand trend, structure, and key levels across the market.
Each week I break down charts across major indices, sectors, and individual names to provide clear technical context.
Market Update — Show Notes
Theme:
Trend lower. Today confirmed it.
Key Level
* SPY: Closed below 200-day → trend deterioration
Index Snapshot
* SPY: Below 200-day, weak bounce
* QQQ: Lost support, near 200-day
* DIA: 2 days below 200-day
* IWM: Last holdout, weakening
Context
* Below declining 5-day
* Below AVWAPs
* Rallies failing
* No follow-through
Other Markets
* Bitcoin: Rejected YTD AVWAP
* Dollar / Bonds: No change
Playbook
* Go slow
* Do less
* Small size
* Respect risk
Bottom Line
Sellers in control. No reason to force trades.
The Process Behind the Work
* Price > opinion
* Trend > prediction
* Risk first
If you like how I think here, this is where that thinking is applied every day.
Alphatrends.net
Trading Adventures is a reader-supported publication. Subscribers receive new posts and occasional private updates not shared publicly.
Important: This content is provided for educational purposes only. If you’re reading this online, please review the full disclosure here.
Taking the analysis further
If you want to go deeper than the weekly charts — including how the levels translate into actual trade planning and risk management — you can follow the work Brian Shannon and I do at Alphatrends.
That’s where we walk through the same market structure in real time and apply the process to actual trade setups.
Learn More at Alphatrends.net
Trading Adventures is a price-focused market analysis newsletter helping traders understand trend, structure, and key levels across the market.
Each week I break down charts across major indices, sectors, and individual names to provide clear technical context.
Show Notes
Trend remains firmly higher
SPY, QQQ, and IWM at new highs; DIA catching up
~11% move in just over two weeks confirms strong momentum
Extension is the current condition
Price stretched vs. short-term averages
Not an ideal location for initiating risk on higher timeframes
Execution shifts to lower timeframes
Use 30-min / 15-min charts for precision
Define entries against recent lows, 5-day MA, and AVWAPs
Risk management becomes the edge
Smaller size + tighter levels improves participation
Avoid chasing extended price
Bitcoin showing constructive behavior
Holding near YTD AVWAP instead of rejecting
Early sign of potential change in behavior
Intermarket backdrop stable
Bonds steady
Commodities holding
Volatility declining alongside equities
What this teaches
Strong trends don’t eliminate risk—they require better execution
When price is extended, timeframe selection becomes a key decision
Forward lens
Market likely to resolve extension via time or price
Rising 50-day MAs reinforce underlying trend strength
Focus remains: align with trend, define risk, avoid forcing trades
The Process Behind the Work
* Price > opinion
* Trend > prediction
* Risk first
If you like how I think here, this is where that thinking is applied every day.
Alphatrends.net
Trading Adventures is a reader-supported publication. Subscribers receive new posts and occasional private updates not shared publicly.
Important: This content is provided for educational purposes only. If you’re reading this online, please review the full disclosure here.
Taking the analysis further
If you want to go deeper than the weekly charts — including how the levels translate into actual trade planning and risk management — you can follow the work Brian Shannon and I do at Alphatrends.
That’s where we walk through the same market structure in real time and apply the process to actual trade setups.
Learn More at Alphatrends.net
Markets advance from decline → bounce → follow-through
Two strong green weeks lift SPX back above key averages
DeMARK 9 buy setup leads to meaningful upside response
Short-term trend improves: higher highs/lows above rising 5-day
Multi-timeframe alignment begins to build
IWM shows relative strength, DIA lags near resistance
Semiconductors lead, software remains weak
Participation improves, but still not fully confirmed
Market now in a balance phase with overhead supply
Focus shifts to continuation vs. failure of this sequence
From the publisher's feed